Oscar Predictions: Best Original Screenplay – The Daniels Bring the Multiverse to the Writers Branch

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UPDATED: July 28, 2022

2023 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:

Could The Daniels’ whimsical “Everything Everywhere All at Once” go the way of Charlie Kaufman of “Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind” or Spike Jonze of “Her?”

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Oscars Predictions Hub

More to come.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

2022 category winner: “Belfast” (Focus Features) – Kenneth Branagh

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

Rank

Film

Writer(s)

Distributor

1

“The Fabelmans”

Tony Kushner, Steven Spielberg

Universal Pictures

A semi-autobiography based on Spielberg’s own childhood growing up in post-war Arizona, from age seven to eighteen.

2

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert

A24

An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.

3

“Triangle of Sadness”

Ruben Östlund

Neon

A cruise for the super-rich sinks thus leaving survivors, including a fashion model celebrity couple, trapped on an island.

4

“Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)”

Nicolás Giacobone, Alejandro González Iñárritu

Netflix

The film explores the political and social modernity of Mexico.

5

“TÁR”

Todd Field

Focus Features

Set in the international world of classical music, the film centers on Lydia Tár. widely considered one of the greatest living composer/conductors and first-ever female chief conductor of a major German orchestra.

Next in Line

6

“Till”

Keith Beauchamp, Chinonye Chukwu, Michael Reilly

Orion/United Artists Releasing

The story of Emmett Louis Till and the legacy of his mother who pursued justice for her lynched son.

7

“Empire of Light”

Sam Mendes

Searchlight Pictures

“Empire of Light” is a love story set in and around a beautiful old cinema on the South Coast of England in the 1980s.

8

“Babylon”

Damien Chazelle

Paramount Pictures

Set in Hollywood during the transition from silent films to talkies, focusing on a mixture of historical & fictional characters.

9

“The Inspection”

Elegance Bratton

A24

Based on the life of filmmaker and Marine Corps veteran Elegance Bratton.

10

“Elvis”

Baz Luhrmann, Sam Bromell, Craig Pearce

Warner Bros.

Baz Luhrmann’s biopic of Elvis Presley, from his childhood to becoming a rock and movie star in the 1950s while maintaining a complex relationship with his manager, Colonel Tom Parker.

Other Top-Tier Contenders

11

“Bros”

Billy Eichner, Nicholas Stoller

Universal Pictures

12

“The Woman King”

Maria Bello, Dana Stevens

TriStar Pictures

13

“Don’t Worry Darling”

Katie Silberman, Carey Van Dyke, Shane Van Dyke

Warner Bros

14

“Decision to Leave”

Park Chan-wook, Seo-kyeong Jeong

Mubi

15

“Amsterdam”

David O. Russell

20th Century Studios

16

“A Jazzman’s Blues”

Tyler Perry

Netflix

17

“Cha Cha Real Smooth”

Cooper Raiff

Apple Original Films

18

“The Greatest Beer Run Ever”

Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly, Pete Jones

Apple Original Films

19

“Argentina, 1985”

Mariano Llinás, Santiago Mitre

Amazon Studios

20

“Armageddon Time”

James Gray

Focus Features

Also In Contention

21

“Holy Spider”

Ali Abbasi, Afshin Kamran Bahrami

Utopia

22

“I Wanna Dance With Somebody”

Anthony McCarten

Sony Pictures

23

“Master Gardener”

Paul Schrader

No U.S. Distribution

24

“The Menu”

Seth Reiss, Will Tracy

Searchlight Pictures

25

“The Lost King”

Steve Coogan, Jeff Pope

Warner Bros.

26

“Wendell & Wild”

Clay McLeod Chapman, Jordan Peele, Henry Selick

Netflix

27

“Golda”

Nicholas Martin

Bleecker Street

28

“Aftersun”

Charlotte Wells

A24

29

“Broker”

Hirokazu Koreeda

Neon

30

“Chevalier”

Stefani Robinson

Searchlight Pictures

All Contenders Listed (Unranked-Alphabetical)

“A Jazzman’s Blues”

Tyler Perry

Netflix

“About My Father”

Austen Earl, Sebastian Maniscalco

Lionsgate

“Aftersun”

Charlotte Wells

A24

“Alice, Darling”

Alanna Francis

Lionsgate

“Am I OK?”

Lauren Pomerantz

HBO Max

“Amsterdam”

David O. Russell

20th Century Studios

“Argentina, 1985”

Mariano Llinás, Santiago Mitre

Amazon Studios

“Armageddon Time”

James Gray

Focus Features

“As They Made Us”

Mayim Bialik

Quiver

“Athena”

Elias Belkeddar, Romain Gavras, Ladj Ly

Netflix

“Babylon”

Damien Chazelle

Paramount Pictures

“Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)”

Nicolás Giacobone, Alejandro González Iñárritu

Netflix

“Beyond the Wall”

Vahid Jalilvand

No U.S. Distribution

“Blueback”

Robert Connolly

No U.S. Distribution

“Bodies Bodies Bodies”

Sarah DeLappe, Kristen Roupenian

A24

“Broker”

Hirokazu Koreeda

Neon

“Bros”

Billy Eichner, Nicholas Stoller

Universal Pictures

“Call Jane”

Hayley Schore, Roshan Sethi

Roadside Attractions

“Causeway”

Luke Goebel, Ottessa Moshfegh

A24/Apple Original Films

“Cha Cha Real Smooth”

Cooper Raiff

Apple Original Films

“Chevalier”

Stefani Robinson

Searchlight Pictures

“Chevalier”

Stefani Robinson

Searchlight Pictures

“Close”

Lukas Dhont, Angelo Tijssens

A24

“Corsage”

Marie Kreutzer

IFC Films

“Crimes of the Future”

David Cronenberg

Neon

“Decision to Leave”

Jeong Seo-kyeong, Park Chan-wook

Mubi

“Don’t Worry Darling”

Katie Silberman, Carey Van Dyke, Shane Van Dyke

Warner Bros

“Easter Sunday”

“Easter Sunday”

Universal Pictures

“Elvis”

Baz Luhrmann, Sam Bromell, Craig Pearce

Warner Bros.

“Emily the Criminal”

John Patton Ford

Roadside Attractions

“Empire of Light”

Sam Mendes

Searchlight Pictures

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert

A24

“God’s Country”

Julian Higgins, Shaye Ogbonna

IFC Films

“Golda”

Nicholas Martin

Bleecker Street

“Holy Spider”

Ali Abbasi, Afshin Kamran Bahrami

Utopia

“Hustle”

Taylor Materne, Will Fetters

Netflix

“I Love My Dad”

James Morosini

Magnolia Pictures

“I Wanna Dance With Somebody”

Anthony McCarten

Sony Pictures

“Il Signore Delle Formiche”

To be added

No U.S. Distribution

“Master Gardener”

Paul Schrader

No U.S. Distribution

“Montana Story”

Scott McGehee, David Siegel, Mike Spreter

Bleecker Street

“Moving On”

Paul Weitz

No U.S. Distribution

“Nitram”

To be added

IFC Films

“Nope”

Jordan Peele

Universal Pictures

“Prisoner’s Daughter”

Mark Bacci

No U.S. Distribution

“R.M.N.”

To be added

IFC Films

“Raymond & Ray”

To be added

Apple Original Films

“RRR”

To be added

Raftar Creations

“TÁR”

Todd Field

Focus Features

“The Blue Caftan”

To be added

No U.S. Distribution

“The Fabelmans”

Tony Kushner, Steven Spielberg

Universal Pictures

“The Greatest Beer Run Ever”

Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly, Pete Jones

Apple Original Films

“The Inspection”

Elegance Bratton

A24

“The Lost King”

Steve Coogan, Jeff Pope

Warner Bros.

“The Menu”

Seth Reiss, Will Tracy

Searchlight Pictures

“The Northman”

Robert Eggers

Focus Features

“The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent”

Tom Gormican, Kevin Etten

Lionsgate

“The Woman King”

Maria Bello, Dana Stevens

TriStar Pictures

“The Worst Ones”

To be added

No U.S. Distribution

“Ticket to Paradise”

Ol Prker, Daniel Pipski

Universal Pictures

“Till”

Keith Beauchamp, Chinonye Chukwu, Michael Reilly

Orion/United Artists Releasing

“Tori and Lokita”

The Dardenne Brothers

Janus Films

“Triangle of Sadness”

Ruben Östlund

Neon

“Wendell & Wild”

Clay McLeod Chapman, Jordan Peele, Henry Selick

Netflix

“What’s Love Got to Do With It?”

Jemima Khan

No U.S. Distribution

“When You Finish Saving the World”

To be added

A24

“X”

To be added

A24

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The 95th Oscars ceremony at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on Sunday, March 12, 2022, on ABC

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