The Russian mobilization reserve, which is four times larger than the Ukrainian one, does not guarantee them victory, Yevhen Dykyi, a veteran of the Russo-Ukrainian war and former company commander of the Aidar battalion, said in an interview with Radio NV on Feb. 2.
"There are indeed more of them, but not by orders of magnitude," said Dykyi.
“In fact, there are about 30 million of us, and about 130 million Russians. This is a roughly fourfold difference. The demographics of the countries are similar, and even now we have a slight male skew since (travel outside Ukraine) for men is closed. But we assume that the demographics are the same. Thus, their mobilization reserve is four times larger than ours. This is a lot.”
But the assumption of equal losses, that "we will be spent and they will remain," is incorrect.
"The losses are very different," said the former company commander of the Aidar battalion.
“If, God forbid, one of our defenders died for every orc killed, then this arithmetic would indeed be so scary and not promising for us at all,” he said.
“But the ratio of losses is completely different. We are not in a war that we entered completely unprepared, and we compensated for any unpreparedness with the heroism of people. I am sorry, but where there is heroism, there are always terrible losses. Let’s take the outbreak of the war off the table. From the moment both sides joined the war, the war became absolutely regular, and all this time our losses have been much lower than Russia's.”
The worst ratio of losses during the Ukrainian military offensive was "1:2, 1:3 in our favor,”Dykyi stated.
"Even when we were on the offensive, three orcs fell for every one of our defenders.”
“When we fought in Bakhmut, the ratio was 1:7, 1:8. We said that Vuhledar was a record,” Dykyi asserted.
“At the moment, Avdiivka is the record area for the destruction of enemy forces, with a loss ratio of 1:10 or even 1:12. And I'm not taking our official data here, but information directly from the guys there. They confirm that even now, despite the fact that we have a big problem with shell hunger there, Russian meat assaults cost them this ratio of 1:12. I'm sorry, but with such a ratio of losses, this arithmetic that “we will be spent and they will remain” does not work. It works out exactly the opposite.”
The head of the Servant of the People faction, David Arakhamia, proposed on Jan. 26 to disclose data on Ukraine's losses during Russia's full-scale invasion. The figures are supposedly "much lower" than 100,000.
According to the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as of Feb. 2, the Russian army had lost 387,060 soldiers.
According to British intelligence, since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, Russia has lost more than 300,000 troops, but even Russian officials do not know the exact number of dead.
Read the original article on The New Voice of Ukraine