Tony Predictions: Best Musical Revival — Encores! Alumni and Lush Orchestras Dominate the Field

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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

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UPDATED: April 28, 2023

2023 Tony Predictions:
Best Revival of a Musical

Weekly Commentary: The annual Encores! series of staged concert readings, produced every year by City Center in Manhattan, is no stranger to Broadway success: After all, it’s where the current “Chicago” – now the longest-running show on Broadway – got its start.

This season, Encores! spawned two serious contenders that are sure to score nominations: “Into the Woods,” in a warm staging of the Sondheim favorite with a stacked cast of Broadway names, and “Parade,” reviving the well-regarded Jason Robert Brown musical in an illuminating new version with a strong cast led by Ben Platt and Micaela Diamond.

Both shows boast big, lush orchestras – and the same is true of “Sweeney Todd,” which brings back Sondheim’s beloved penny dreadful with a notably hefty band of musicians and an ensemble of strong singers led by Josh Groban and Annaleigh Ashford.

The latest staging of “Camelot,” with a new book by Aaron Sorkin, was less favorably received overall, but it’s impeccably appointed and beautifully played by another large-scale orchestra. It seems poised to nudge out the other eligible titles in this category, “1776” and “Dancin’,” neither of which were universally adored.

And the Predicted Nominees Are:

  1. Into the Woods” (St. James Theatre)

  2. Parade” (Bernard B. Jacobs Theatre)

  3. Sweeney Todd” (Lunt-Fontanne Theatre)

  4. Camelot” (Vivian Beaumont Theater – Lincoln Center Theater)

Next in Line

  1. 1776” (American Airlines Theatre)

  2. Bob Fosse’s Dancin’” (Music Box Theatre)

All Eligible Shows (Unranked)

Tony Awards Predictions Categories

BEST MUSICAL | BEST PLAY | MUSICAL REVIVAL | PLAY REVIVAL | ACTOR (MUSICAL) | ACTOR (PLAY) | ACTRESS (MUSICAL) | ACTRESS (PLAY) | FEATURED ACTOR (MUSICAL) | FEATURED ACTOR (PLAY) | FEATURED ACTRESS (MUSICAL) | FEATURED ACTRESS (PLAY) | DIRECTOR (MUSICAL) | DIRECTOR (PLAY) | ORIGINAL SCORE | MUSICAL BOOK | CHOREOGRAPHY

About the Tony Awards

The Antoinette Perry Award for Excellence in Broadway Theatre, better known as the Tony Awards, is given out annually by the American Theatre Wing and The Broadway League, recognizing excellence in live Broadway theatre. The ceremony, held annually in New York City, was founded by theatre producer and director Brock Pemberton and is named after Antoinette “Tony” Perry, an actress, producer and theatre director who was co-founder of the American Theatre Wing.

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