Final SAG Predictions: Best Supporting Actor – Sacha Baron Cohen’s Last Opportunity for an Upset

Clayton Davis
·5-min read

Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars from Film Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Following Academy Awards history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar predictions are updated regularly with the current year's contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. Eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and will be displayed next to revision date.

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DRAFT>>>PRE SEASON>>>REGULAR SEASON>>>POST SEASON

2021 SAG AWARDS PREDICTIONS:
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE

UPDATED: Apr. 1, 2021

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: This is the last stand for Sacha Baron Cohen (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”) or Leslie Odom Jr (“One Night in Miami”) to show weakness in Daniel Kaluuya (“Judas and the Black Messiah”) and his steamroll in the latter part of the awards season. Even if he were to lose to Boseman, in lieu of winning the lead actor category (losing to for Anthony Hopkins) or simply winning both, it wouldn’t deter enough to make a difference.

PRECURSORS LEADER:
Paul Raci, “Sound of Metal” (Amazon Studios)
Awards Circuit Winners Chart (2020-2021)
2021 Awards Season Calendar

AND THE NOMINEES ARE:

  1. Daniel Kaluuya
    "Judas and the Black Messiah" (Warner Bros.)

    ROLE: Fred Hampton
    SAG HISTORY: 3 nominations, 1 win
    (2018) - "Black Panther" - Cast ensemble in a motion picture (WINNER)
    (2017) - "Get Out" - Male actor in a leading role
    (2017) - "Get Out" - Cast ensemble in a motion picture


    DIRECTOR: Shaka King
    SYNOPSIS: The story of Fred Hampton, Chairman of the Illinois Black Panther Party, and his fateful betrayal by FBI informant William O'Neal.
    STARRING: Lakeith Stanfield, Daniel Kaluuya, Dominique Fishback, Jesse Plemons, Martin Sheen, Dominique Thorne, Algee Smith, Lil Rel Howery, Jermaine Fowler

  2. Chadwick Boseman
    "Da 5 Bloods" (Netflix)

    ROLE: Stormin' Norman
    SAG HISTORY: 1 nomination, 1 win
    (2019) - "Black Panther" - Cast ensemble in a motion picture


    DIRECTOR: Spike Lee
    SYNOPSIS: Four African American vets battle the forces of man and nature when they return to Vietnam seeking the remains of their fallen squad leader and the gold fortune he helped them hide.
    STARRING: Delroy Lindo, Clarke Peters, Jonathan Majors, Chadwick Boseman, Isiah Witlock, Jr,, Norm Lewis

  3. Sacha Baron Cohen
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

    ROLE: Abbie Hoffman
    SAG HISTORY: 1 nomination
    (2013) - "Les Misérables" - Cast ensemble in a motion picture


    DIRECTOR: Aaron Sorkin
    SYNOPSIS: The story of 7 people on trial stemming from various charges surrounding the uprising at the 1968 Democratic National Convention in Chicago, Illinois.
    STARRING: Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, Sacha Baron Cohen, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Michael Keaton, Frank Langella, John Carroll Lynch, Eddie Redmayne, Mark Rylance, Alex Sharp, Jeremy Strong

  4. Leslie Odom, Jr.
    "One Night in Miami" (Amazon Studios)

    ROLE: Sam Cooke
    SAG HISTORY: Never nominated

    DIRECTOR: Regina King
    SYNOPSIS: A fictional account of one incredible night in 1964, where four icons of activism, sports and music – Malcolm X, Muhammad Ali, Jim Brown and Sam Cooke – gathered, discussing their roles in the civil rights movement and cultural upheaval of the ’60s.
    STARRING: Kingsley Ben-Adir, Eli Goree, Aldis Hodge, Leslie Odom, Jr.

  5. Jared Leto
    "The Little Things" (Warner Bros)

    ROLE: Albert Sparma
    SAG HISTORY: 2 nomination, 1 win
    (2013) - "Dallas Buyers Club" - Best performance by a male actor in a supporting role (WINNER)
    (2013) - "Dallas Buyers Club" - Cast ensemble in a motion picture


    DIRECTOR: John Lee Hancock
    SYNOPSIS: Kern County Deputy Sheriff Joe Deacon is sent to Los Angeles for what should have been a quick evidence-gathering assignment. Instead, he becomes embroiled in the search for a serial killer who is terrorizing the city.
    STARRING: Denzel Washington, Jared Leto, Rami Malek

Academy Awards Predictions (All Categories)

2021 Golden Globes Predictions (Film)

2021 SAG Awards Predictions (Film)

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners are selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). 17 branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The Oscars are scheduled for Sunday, April 25, 2021.

About the Golden Globes

The Golden Globes Awards, hosted by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, is held annually with 93 members since 1944. The group recognizes excellence in film and television across drama and comedy or musical categories. Damien Chazelle’s “La La Land” holds the record for the most awards won by a single film with seven. Milos Forman’s “One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest” and Alan Parker’s “Midnight Express” are next in line with six each. Robert Altman’s “Nashville” has the record for most nominations received by a film with 11 while Colin Higgins’ “Foul Play,” Francis Ford Coppola’s “The Godfather Part III” and Mike Nichols’ “Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?” share the record for receiving the most nominations and not winning a single award at seven.

  • The Golden Globes are scheduled for Feb. 28, 2021.

About the SAG Awards

The Screen Actors Guild Awards, hosted by SAG-AFTRA, is an annual award show that has become one of the most important and key indicators for the Oscars. Four films have won the most SAG awards with three: 1999’s “American Beauty,” 2002’s “Chicago,” 2011’s “The Help” and 2017’s “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri.” Three movies have been nominated for the most SAG awards with five: 1998’s “Shakespeare in Love,” “Chicago” and 2008’s “Doubt.”

  • The SAG Awards are scheduled to take place on Sunday, April 4, 2021

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