Oscars Predictions: Best Supporting Actor – Can Bradley Cooper Become the Fifth Winner With Less Than 10 Minutes of Screen Time?

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2022 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

UPDATED: Dec 23, 2021

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: Bradley Cooper delivers two dynamite performances this year, worthy of Academy attention. One as the ambitious and manipulative carny in Guillermo del Toro’s “Nightmare Alley,” which has him vying for lead actor attention. The other is as the producer, hairdresser and ex-boyfriend of Barbra Streisand, Jon Peters in Paul Thomas Anderson’s “Licorice Pizza.”

Cooper has netted an impressive eight Oscar nominations thus far and has yet to win (only four have been for acting).

In “Licorice,” his role is brief, with about seven minutes of screen time. Only four actors have won with roles under 10 minutes — Gloria Grahame in “The Bad and the Beautiful” (1952), Ben Johnson in “The Last Picture Show” (1971), Beatrice Straight in “Network” (1976) and Judi Dench in “Shakespeare in Love” (1998).

The Academy has shown resistance to giving big movie stars “supporting” trophies seen as leading men. Both Christian Bale (“The Fighter”) and Brad Pitt (“Once Upon a Time in … Hollywood”) are notable exceptions, both of which carried their movies but weren’t submitted in the lead actor category. Prime examples include Tom Cruise in “Magnolia” (1999) losing to Michael Caine in “The Cider House Rules,” which is also the last time the megastar was nominated. Even Leonardo DiCaprio wasn’t nominated for “Django Unchained” (2012) in favor of his co-star Christoph Waltz, arguably a lead performance, who picked up his second statuette.

He missed Critics Choice and Golden Globe nominations, and if his team is angling for a late-season surge, he’ll need key mentions from the SAG Awards and BAFTA. A win may be a bit far-fetched, but a nom is not out of the question.

Kodi Smit-McPhee leads the charge for his work in Jane Campion’s “The Power of the Dog,” while Troy Kotsur is a distant second for Sian Heder’s “CODA.” With “Belfast” still very competitive in best picture, I’m still looking at Ciarán Hinds as a possibility to run away with this prize for his loving grandfather in Kenneth Branagh’s “Belfast.”

Assuming that Hinds’ co-star Jamie Dornan is as safe as he feels, there is a fifth spot up for grabs that could be between Cooper, Ben Affleck (for either “The Last Duel” or “The Tender Bar”), Jared Leto (“House of Gucci”) and J.K. Simmons (“Being the Ricardos”). Others like Jesse Plemons (“The Power of the Dog”), Mark Rylance (“Don’t Look Up”), Colman Domingo (“Zola”) and David Alvarez and Mike Faist (“West Side Story”) are still lurking.

We’ll see what voters watch over the holiday break.

Oscar nominations voting begins on Thursday, Jan. 27, 2022, and will end on Tuesday, Feb. 1, 2022. The official Academy Awards nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022, with the ceremony taking place on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022.

Precursor Awards Leader: Kodi Smit-McPhee, “The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Awards Circuit Winners Chart (2021-2022) – coming soon
Awards Season Calendar

Belfast - Credit: Credit : Rob Youngson / Focus Features
Belfast - Credit: Credit : Rob Youngson / Focus Features

Credit : Rob Youngson / Focus Features

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

RANK

ACTOR

FILM

DISTRIBUTOR

1

Ciarán Hinds

“Belfast”

Focus Features

2

Troy Kotsur

“CODA”

Apple Original Films

3

Kodi Smit-McPhee

“The Power of the Dog”

Netflix

4

Jamie Dornan

“Belfast”

Focus Features

5

Bradley Cooper

“Licorice Pizza”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

NEXT IN LINE

6

J.K. Simmons

“Being the Ricardos”

Amazon Studios

7

Jared Leto

“House of Gucci”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

8

Ben Affleck

“The Tender Bar”

Amazon Studios

9

Jesse Plemons

“The Power of the Dog”

Netflix

10

Colman Domingo

“Zola”

A24

OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

11

Vincent Lindon

“Titane”

Neon

12

Mike Faist

“West Side Story”

20th Century Studios

13

David Alvarez

“West Side Story”

20th Century Studios

14

Mark Rylance

“Don’t Look Up”

Netflix

15

Timothy Spall

“Spencer”

Neon/Topic Studios

16

Andrew Garfield

“The Eyes of Tammy Faye”

Searchlight Pictures

17

Jeffrey Wright

“The French Dispatch”

Searchlight Pictures

18

Robin de Jesús

“Tick, Tick … Boom!”

Netflix

19

Woody Norman

“C’mon C’mon”

A24

20

Ben Affleck

“The Last Duel”

20th Century Studios

ALSO IN CONTENTION

21

Al Pacino

“House of Gucci”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

22

Richard Jenkins

“The Humans”

A24/Showtime

23

Idris Elba

“The Harder They Fall”

Netflix

24

Jonah Hill

“Don’t Look Up”

Netflix

25

Jon Bernthal

“King Richard”

Warner Bros

26

Benicio del Toro

“The French Dispatch”

Searchlight Pictures

27

Corey Hawkins

“The Tragedy of Macbeth”

Apple Original Films/A24

28

Jason Isaacs

“Mass”

Bleecker Street

29

Terence Stamp

“Last Night in Soho”

Focus Features

30

Sean Penn

“Licorice Pizza”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

UNRANKED LISTING

Adam Beach

“Swan Song”

Apple Original Films

Aditya Geddada

“Encounter”

Amazon Studios

Adrien Brody

“The French Dispatch”

Searchlight Pictures

Alex Lawther

“The Last Duel”

20th Century Studios

Alex Wolff

“Pig”

Neon

Alexander Skarsgård

“Passing”

Netflix

André Holland

“Passing”

Netflix

Andrew Garfield

“Spider-Man: No Way Home”

Sony Pictures

Arsenio Hall

“Coming 2 America”

Amazon Studios

Ben Kingsley

“Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings”

Marvel Studios

Ben Mendelsohn

“Cyrano”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Benedict Wong

“Nine Days”

Sony Pictures Classics

Benedict Wong

“Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings”

Marvel Studios

Benicio del Toro

“No Sudden Move”

HBO Max

Benny Safdie

“Licorice Pizza”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Bill Duke

“No Sudden Move”

HBO Max

Bill Murray

“The French Dispatch”

Searchlight Pictures

Billy Magnussen

“The Many Saints of Newark”

Warner Bros

Billy Magnussen

“No Time to Die”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Billy Porter

“Cinderella”

Amazon Studios

Bradley Whitford

“Tick, Tick … Boom!”

Netflix

Brendan Fraser

“No Sudden Move”

HBO Max

Brendan Gleeson

“The Tragedy of Macbeth”

Apple Original Films/A24

Brian d’Arcy James

“West Side Story”

20th Century Studios

Chang Chen

“Dune”

Warner Bros

Christopher Lloyd

“The Tender Bar”

Amazon Studios

Cillian Murphy

“A Quiet Place Part II”

Paramount Pictures

Colin Firth

“Mothering Sunday”

Sony Pictures Classics

Corey Hawkins

“In the Heights”

Warner Bros

Corey Stoll

“The Many Saints of Newark”

Warner Bros

Craig muMs Grant

“No Sudden Move”

HBO Max

Damian Lewis

“Dream Horse”

Bleecker Street

Daniel Durant

“CODA”

Apple Original Films

Daniel Ranieri

“The Tender Bar”

Amazon Studios

Dave Bautista

“Dune”

Warner Bros

David Dastmalchian

“The Suicide Squad”

Warner Bros

David Harbour

“No Sudden Move”

HBO Max

David Morrissey

“The Colour Room”

Sky Cinema

David Strathairn

“Nightmare Alley”

Searchlight Pictures

Delroy Lindo

“The Harder They Fall”

Netflix

Dennis Quaid

“American Underdog”

Lionsgate

Dwight Yoakam

“Cry Macho”

Warner Bros

Ed Harris

“The Lost Daughter”

Netflix

Eduardo Minett

“Cry Macho”

Warner Bros

Edwin Hodge

“The Tomorrow War”

Amazon Studios

Eugenio Derbez

“CODA”

Apple Original Films

Florian Munteanu

“Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings”

Marvel Studios

Forest Whitaker

“Respect”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Gary Sinise

“Joe Bell”

Solstice Studios

Gregory Diaz IV

“In the Heights”

Warner Bros

Himesh Patel

“Don’t Look Up”

Netflix

Idris Elba

“Concrete Cowboy”

Netflix

Idris Elba

“The Suicide Squad”

Warner Bros

J.K. Simmons

“The Tomorrow War”

Amazon Studios

Jack Huston

“House of Gucci”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Jai Courtney

“The Suicide Squad”

Warner Bros

James Spencer Ashworth

“The Souvenir Part II”

A24

Jason Mamoa

“Dune”

Warner Bros

Javier Bardem

“Dune”

Warner Bros

Jeffrey Wright

“No Time to Die”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Jeremy Irons

“House of Gucci”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Jermaine Fowler

“Coming 2 America”

Amazon Studios

Jimmy Smits

“In the Heights”

Warner Bros

Joel Edgerton

“The Green Knight”

A24

Joel Kinnaman

“The Suicide Squad”

Warner Bros

John Cena

“The Suicide Squad”

Warner Bros

John Magaro

“The Many Saints of Newark”

Warner Bros

Jon Bernthal

“The Many Saints of Newark”

Warner Bros

Jon Hamm

“No Sudden Move”

HBO Max

Jonathan Groff

“The Matrix: Resurrections”

Warner Bros

Josh Brolin

“Dune”

Warner Bros

Joshua Henry

“Tick, Tick … Boom!”

Netflix

Julio Torres

“Together Together”

Bleecker Street

Kelvin Harrison, Jr.

“Cyrano”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Kevin Kline

“The Starling”

Netflix

Kieran Culkin

“No Sudden Move”

HBO Max

Kit Harington

“Eternals”

Marvel Studios

Kumail Nanjiani

“Eternals”

Marvel Studios

Lakeith Stanfield

“The Harder They Fall”

Netflix

Leslie Odom, Jr.

“The Many Saints of Newark”

Warner Bros

Lil Rel Howery

“Free Guy”

20th Century Studios

Lucian-River Chauhan

“Encounter”

Amazon Studios

Luke Kirby

“No Man of God”

RLJE Films

Marc Anthony

“In the Heights”

Warner Bros

Mark O’Brien

“Blue Bayou”

Focus Features

Marton Csokas

“The Last Duel”

20th Century Studios

Mathieu Amalric

“The French Dispatch”

Searchlight Pictures

Matt Smith

“Last Night in Soho”

Focus Features

Matthew Perry

“Don’t Look Up”

Netflix

Michaael Gandolfini

“The Many Saints of Newark”

Warner Bros

Michael Rooker

“The Suicide Squad”

Warner Bros

Neil Patrick Harris

“The Matrix: Resurrections”

Warner Bros

Noah Jupe

“No Sudden Move”

HBO Max

O-T Fagbenie

“Black Widow”

Marvel Studios

Oscar Isaac

“Dune”

Warner Bros

Owen Teale

“Dream Horse”

Bleecker Street

Owen Wilson

“The French Dispatch”

Searchlight Pictures

Paul Walter Hauser

“Cruella”

Disney Plus

Pete Davidson

“The Suicide Squad”

Warner Bros

Peter Capaldi

“The Suicide Squad”

Warner Bros

Peter Sarsgaard

“The Lost Daughter”

Netflix

Pierce Brosnan

“False Positive”

A24

Rami Malek

“No Time to Die”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Ray Liotta

“The Many Saints of Newark”

Warner Bros

Ray Liotta

“No Sudden Move”

HBO Max

Ray Winstone

“Black Widow”

Marvel Studios

Reed Birney

“Mass”

Bleecker Street

Reid Miller

“Joe Bell”

Solstice Studios

Richard Ayoade

“The Souvenir Part II”

A24

Richard E. Grant

“Everybody’s Talking About Jamie”

Amazon Studios

Richard Jenkins

“Nightmare Alley”

Searchlight Pictures

Rob Morgan

“Don’t Look Up”

Netflix

Ron Perlman

“Don’t Look Up”

Netflix

Ron Perlman

“Nightmare Alley”

Searchlight Pictures

Rory Cochrane

“Encounter”

Amazon Studios

Sam Richardson

“The Tomorrow War”

Amazon Studios

Scott Haze

“Old Henry”

Shout! Studios

Simon Helberg

“Annette”

Amazon Studios

Skeet Ulrich

“Finch”

Apple Original Films

Stanley Tucci

“Worth”

Netflix

Stellan Skarsgård

“Dune”

Warner Bros

Stephen McKinley Henderson

“Bruised”

Netflix

Stephen McKinley Henderson

“Dune”

Warner Bros

Stephen Park

“The French Dispatch”

Searchlight Pictures

Steven Yeun

“The Humans”

A24

Sylvester Stallone

“The Suicide Squad”

Warner Bros

Timothée Chalamet

“Don’t Look Up”

Netflix

Timothée Chalamet

“The French Dispatch”

Searchlight Pictures

Timothy Olyphant

“The Starling”

Netflix

Tobey Maguire

“Spider-Man: No Way Home”

Sony Pictures

Toby Jones

“The Electrical Life of Louis Wain”

Amazon Studios

Toni Servillo

“The Hand of God”

Netflix

Tony Goldwyn

“King Richard”

Warner Bros

Tony Hale

“Being the Ricardos”

Amazon Studios

Tony Leung

“Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings”

Marvel Studios

Tracy Morgan

“Coming 2 America”

Amazon Studios

Tye Sheridan

“The Card Counter”

Focus Features

Tyler Perry

“Don’t Look Up”

Netflix

Vincent D’Onofrio

“The Eyes of Tammy Faye”

Searchlight Pictures

Vincent D’Onofrio

“The Unforgivable”

Netflix

Vondie Curtis-Hall

“Blue Bayou”

Focus Features

Wesley Snipes

“Coming 2 America”

Amazon Studios

Willem Dafoe

“Nightmare Alley”

Searchlight Pictures

Willem Dafoe

“Spider-Man: No Way Home”

Sony Pictures

Willem Dafoe

“The Card Counter”

Focus Features

William Hurt

“Black Widow”

Marvel Studios

Yahya Abdul-Mateen II

“The Matrix: Resurrections”

Warner Bros

Yuen Wah

“Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings”

Marvel Studios

Zeljko Ivanek

“The Last Duel”

20th Century Studios

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Best Supporting Actor)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. The most awarded films in Oscar history are “Ben-Hur,” “Titanic” and “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” at 11 statuettes. The most nominated films in Academy history are “All About Eve,” “Titanic” and “La La Land” at 14. “La La Land” is the only film of the three to have lost best picture. The most prominent Oscar “losers,” meaning most nominated and walk away with zero awards, are 1977’s “The Turning Point” and 1985’s “The Color Purple” at 11 each. Walter Brennan has the most wins in this category with three, while Mahershala Ali, Michael Caine, Melvyn Douglas, Anthony Quinn, Jason Robards, Peter Ustinov and Christoph Waltz have two. With four apiece, the most nominations in this category are shared between Brennan, Jeff Bridges, Robert Duvall, Arthur Kennedy, Jack Nicholson, Al Pacino, and Claude Rains. Christopher Plummer distinguishes being the oldest winner ever at 82 for “Beginners” and nominee for “All the Money in the World” at 88. The youngest winner is Timothy Hutton for his debut performance at 20 for “Ordinary People,” while Justin Henry is the youngest nominee ever at eight for “Kramer vs. Kramer.”.

2022 Academy Awards Predictions

2021 Oscars predictions are here.

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The date for the 94th Oscars will be held on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022

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