Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.
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2022 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
UPDATED: Dec 27, 2021
AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: Ten films remain in the running for best achievement in sound. They are – “Belfast” (Focus Features), “Dune” (Warner Bros), “Last Night in Soho” (Focus Features), “The Matrix: Resurrections” (Warner Bros), “No Time to Die” (MGM/United Artists Releasing), “The Power of the Dog” (Netflix), “A Quiet Place Part II” (Paramount Pictures), “Spider-Man: No Way Home” (Sony Pictures), “Tick, Tick … Boom!” (Netflix) and “West Side Story” (20th Century Studios).
The first year that the Oscars have presented a shortlist for sound, just two years after merging the awards for sound mixing and sound editing. It seems not to be raising any glaring issues thus far as the ten features to make the cut are all respected entries and worthy of a nomination.
Edgar Wright’s “Last Night in Soho,” the most surprising entry, could bode well for a showing in other artisan categories like production and costumes. When looking at the revelations of a shortlist, it’s helpful to have a mindset that if something is surprising in the field, it’s probably there for a reason, and you should expect it called on nomination morning. Does that mean “Soho” gets a nom? Perhaps.
It was a massive year for musicals, and Lin-Manuel Miranda’s “Tick, Tick … Boom!” and Steven Spielberg’s “West Side Story” will represent the genre. Both stand an excellent chance to make the lineup.
The team behind “Spider-Man: No Way Home” is quite robust, which includes Kevin O’Connell, who’s been nominated by the Academy a staggering 21 times, and then finally won (in what many considered a shocking upset) for Mel Gibson’s war drama, “Hacksaw Ridge” (2016). In addition, his work on the Tobey Maguire versions of “Spider-Man” (2002) and “Spider-Man 2” (2004) was recognized, and this could be a safe bet, especially after a $1 billion worldwide box office.
All final sound credits are not finalized and will be determined by the Academy. They will be revealed when nominations are announced on Feb. 8.
Oscar nominations voting begins on Thursday, Jan. 27, 2022, and will end on Tuesday, Feb. 1, 2022. The official Academy Awards nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022, with the ceremony taking place on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022.
Precursor Awards Leader: “Dune” (Warner Bros)
Awards Circuit Winners Chart (2021-2022) – coming soon
Awards Season Calendar
Courtesy of Sony Pictures
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:
AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Sound)
The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. The most awarded films in Oscar history are “Ben-Hur,” “Titanic” and “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” at 11 statuettes. The most nominated films in Academy history are “All About Eve,” “Titanic” and “La La Land” at 14. “La La Land” is the only film of the three to have lost best picture. The most significant Oscar “losers,” meaning most nominated and walk away with zero awards, are 1977’s “The Turning Point” and 1985’s “The Color Purple” at 11 each. This category’s history is a bit more complex to track since it’s been through many inceptions of the history of AMPAS. For example, there were different record-holders when it was split between sound mixing and sound editing. Classic sound engineers Thomas T. Moulton and Greg P. Russell have the most nominations at 16, although the former netted five Oscars over his career. The latter has the record for most nominations and no win. Moulton has the most win record shared with Douglas Shearer and Fred Hynes, though they garnered 15 and 7 nominations. Richard King and Ben Burtt have the most wins for sound editing, with Alan Robert Murray having the most nods with 10.
2022 Academy Awards Predictions
About the Academy Awards (Oscars)
The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.
The date for the 94th Oscars will be held on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022
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