Oscars Predictions: Best Film Editing – Action-Packed Vehicles Like ‘Dune’ and ‘Spider-Man: No Way Home’ Could Appeal to Branch Voters

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Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.

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2022 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST FILM EDITING

UPDATED: Dec 27, 2021

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: While there have been a few examples of best editing failing to matter when naming the best picture winner (i.e., 2014’s “Birdman” was snubbed), for 33 consecutive years, 1981 to 2013, every winner had a correlating nomination for film editing. The assumed top two feel safe in this category, Úna Ní Dhonghaíle’s tight storytelling on “Belfast” and Peter Sciberras’s deliberate slow burn on “The Power of the Dog.”

Editing master Joe Walker, who’s been nominated by his Oscar peers twice before – “12 Years a Slave” (2013) and “Arrival” (2016), and including a couple of snubs for films such as “Blade Runner 2049” (2017) and “Widows” (2018) – could be part of a rising trajectory for “Dune.” But, of course, it also helps to lead with precursor wins so far.

The other spots are part of a sprawling battle that brings critics favorites like “Licorice Pizza” by Andy Jurgensen, action-packed vehicles like “Spider-Man: No Way Home” by Leigh Folsom Boyd and Jeffrey Ford, and acclaimed crowdpleasers like “King Richard” by Pamela Martin.

There’s also the validity in what longer, even more, divisive achievements bring to the table, such as Hank Corwin’s assembly of Adam McKay’s “Don’t Look Up” or the sprawling epic conclusion of Cary Joji Fukunaga’s James Bond film “No Time to Die” by Oscar-winner Tom Cross and Elliot Graham.

The American Cinema Editors (or ACE Eddies) will be very telling in this arena, with voting set to open on Jan. 11. Let’s see where they land.

Oscar nominations voting begins on Thursday, Jan. 27, 2022, and will end on Tuesday, Feb. 1, 2022. The official Academy Awards nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022, with the ceremony taking place on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022.

Precursor Awards Leader: “Dune” (Warner Bros) – Joe Walker
Awards Circuit Winners Chart (2021-2022) – coming soon
Awards Season Calendar

DUNE, from left: Josh Brolin, Oscar Isaac, 2020. ph: Chiabella James / © Warner Bros. / Courtesy Everett Collection - Credit: Courtesy of Warner Bros/Everett Collection
DUNE, from left: Josh Brolin, Oscar Isaac, 2020. ph: Chiabella James / © Warner Bros. / Courtesy Everett Collection - Credit: Courtesy of Warner Bros/Everett Collection

Courtesy of Warner Bros/Everett Collection

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

RANK

FILM

STUDIO

EDITOR(S)

1

“Belfast”

Focus Features

Úna Ní Dhonghaíle

2

“Dune”

Warner Bros

Joe Walker

3

“The Power of the Dog”

Netflix

Peter Sciberras

4

“Licorice Pizza”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Andy Jurgensen

5

“Spider-Man: No Way Home”

Sony Pictures

Leigh Folsom Boyd, Jeffrey Ford

NEXT IN LINE

6

“West Side Story”

20th Century Studios

Sarah Broshar, Michael Kahn

7

“CODA”

Apple Original Films

Geraud Brisson

8

“King Richard”

Warner Bros

Pamela Martin

9

“No Time to Die”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Tom Cross, Elliot Graham

10

“Don’t Look Up”

Netflix

Hank Corwin

OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

11

“Tick, Tick … Boom!”

Netflix

Myron Kerstein, Andrew Weisblum

12

“Being the Ricardos”

Amazon Studios

Alan Baumgarten

13

“Drive My Car”

Janus Films/Sideshow

Azusa Yamazaki

14

“Nightmare Alley”

Searchlight Pictures

Cam McLauchlin

15

“The Tragedy of Macbeth”

Apple Original Films/A24

Reginald Jaynes, Lucian Johnston

16

“Flee”

Neon

Janus Billeskov Jansen

17

“The Harder They Fall”

Netflix

Tom Eagles

18

“The Last Duel”

20th Century Studios

Claire Simpson

19

“Red Rocket”

A24

Sean Baker

20

“C’mon C’mon”

A24

Jennifer Vecchiarello

ALSO IN CONTENTION

21

“The Lost Daughter”

Netflix

Affonso Goncalves

22

“A Hero”

Amazon Studios

Hayedeh Safiyari

23

“Parallel Mothers”

Sony Pictures Classics

Teresa Font

24

“The French Dispatch”

Searchlight Pictures

Andrew Weisblum

25

“Spencer”

Neon/Topic Studios

Sebastián Sepúlveda

26

“The Matrix: Resurrections”

Warner Bros

Joseph Jett Sally

27

“House of Gucci”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Claire Simpson

28

“In the Heights”

Warner Bros

Myron Kerstein

29

“Cruella”

Walt Disney Pictures

Tatiana S. Riegel

30

“Cyrano”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Valerio Bonelli

UNRANKED LISTING

“A Quiet Place Part II”

Paramount Pictures

To be added

“Annette”

Amazon Studios

Nelly Quettier

“Black Widow”

Marvel Studios

Leigh Folsom Boyd, Matthew Schmidt

“Blue Bayou”

Focus Features

Reynolds Barney

“Candyman”

Universal Pictures

To be added

“Coming 2 America”

Amazon Studios

David Clark, Debra Neil-Fisher, Billy Fox

“Compartment No. 6”

Sony Pictures Classics

Jussi Rautaniemi

“Cry Macho”

Warner Bros

Joel Cox, David Cox

“Dream Horse”

Bleecker Street

Jamie Pearson

“Encanto”

Walt Disney Pictures

Jeremy Milton

“Encounter”

Amazon Studios

Maya Maffioli

“Eternals”

Marvel Studios

Dylan Tichenor, Craig Wood

“Free Guy”

20th Century Studios

Dean Zimmerman

“Jockey”

Sony Pictures Classics

To be added

“Jungle Cruise”

Walt Disney Pictures

Joel Negron

“Language Lessons”

Shout! Studios

Aleshka Ferrero

“Last Night in Soho”

Focus Features

Paul Machliss

“Luca”

Pixar

Catherine Apple, Jason Hudak

“Mothering Sunday”

Sony Pictures Classics

Emilie Orsini

“My Name is Pauli Murray”

Amazon Studios

Cinque Northern

“Nine Days”

Sony Pictures Classics

To be added

“Passing”

Netflix

Sabine Hoffman

“Petite Maman”

Neon

To be added

“Pig”

Neon

To be added

“Raya and the Last Dragon”

Walt Disney Pictures

Fabienne Rawley, Shannon Stein

“Respect”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Avril Beukes

“Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings”

Marvel Studios

Elísabet Ronaldsdóttir, Nat Sanders, Harry Yoon

“Summer of Soul (…Or, When the Revolution Could Not Be Televised)”

Hulu/Searchlight Pictures

Joshua L. Pearson

“Swan Song”

Apple Original Films

To be added

“Swan Song”

Magnolia Pictures

To be added

“The Card Counter”

Focus Features

Benjamin Rodriguez Jr

“The Colour Room”

Sky Cinema

Hoping Chen

“The Duke”

Sony Pictures Classics

To be added

“The Electrical Life of Louis Wain”

Amazon Studios

Selina Macarthur

“The Eyes of Tammy Faye”

Searchlight Pictures

Mary Jo Markey, Andrew Weisblum

“The Green Knight”

A24

David Lowery

“The Guilty”

Netflix

To be added

“The Hand of God”

Netflix

To be added

“The Humans”

A24/Showtime

To be added

“The Many Saints of Newark”

Warner Bros

Christopher Tellefsen

“The Sparks Brothers”

Focus Features

Paul Trewartha

“The Suicide Squad”

Warner Bros

Fred Raskin, Christian Wagner

“The Tender Bar”

Amazon Studios

To be added

“The Tomorrow War”

Amazon Studios

Roger Barton, Garret Elkins

“Titane”

Neon

To be added

“Together Together”

Bleecker Street

Annette Davey

“Together”

Bleecker Street

Úna Ní Dhonghaíle

“Val”

Amazon Studios

Leo Scott, Ting Poo

“Zola”

A24

To be added

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Film Editing)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. The most awarded films in Oscar history are “Ben-Hur,” “Titanic” and “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” at 11 statuettes. The most nominated films in Academy history are “All About Eve,” “Titanic” and “La La Land” at 14. “La La Land” is the only film of the three to have lost best picture. The most significant Oscar “losers,” meaning most nominated and walk away with zero awards, are 1977’s “The Turning Point” and 1985’s “The Color Purple” at 11 each. Four people have won this category three times: Ralph Dawson, Daniel Mandell, Michael Kahn and Thelma Schoonmaker. Kahn and Schoonmaker are the most nominated editors in the Academy’s history, with eight nominations each. Two editors have received six nominations but never won: Gerry Hambling (who died in 2013) and Frederic Knudtson (who died in 1963). Ten films have won best picture without being nominated for best editing since the category has existed since the seventh ceremony in 1934: “It Happened One Night” (1934), “The Life of Emile Zola” (1937), “Hamlet” (1948), “Marty” (1955), “Tom Jones” (1963), “A Man for All Seasons” (1966), “The Godfather Part II” (1974), “Annie Hall” (1977), “Ordinary People” (1980) and “Birdman” (2014).

2022 Academy Awards Predictions

2021 Oscars predictions are here.

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The date for the 94th Oscars will be held on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022

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