Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.
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2022 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
UPDATED: Dec 23, 2021
AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: Though he wouldn’t be an Oscar-nominee like the late Kobe Bryant was able to do (and win) for the animated short winner “Dear Basketball,” NBA legend Shaquille O’Neal’s name on Ben Proudfoot’s “The Queen of Basketball” will surely help in the awards campaign. It also helps that many feel that Proudfoot should have won the Oscar last year, along with Kris Bowers (who is on the shortlist this year for his score on “King Richard”) for “A Concerto is a Conversation.”
While final credited nominees are not final, we could see Emmy-nominee Courteney Cox, most famous for playing Monica Gellar on “Friends,” add an Oscar nomination to her list of accolades. After impressive acting and producing career, she finally nabbed her first Emmy nomination last year as one of the executive producers on HBO Max’s “Friends: The Reunion.” As one of the producers on Alexandria Jackson’s “Sophie & the Baron,” she could become the first “friend” to land an Oscar nom. A sad fact considering Oscar nominations should have been given to Jennifer Aniston for “Cake” (2014) and Lisa Kudrow for “The Opposite of Sex” (1998)
Documentarian Laura Poitras is back in the fray with Neon’s “Terror Contagion,” It helps when the branch is familiar with your work. She’s a two-time nominee for “My Country, My Country” (2006) and “Citizenfour” (2014), the latter of which won her the Oscar for documentary feature.
Netflix has going to be juggling four doc shorts in the field of 15 – “Audible” from Matt Ogens, “Camp Confidential: America’s Secret Nazis” from Daniel Sivan and Mor Loushy, “Lead Me Home” from Pedro Kos (who’s documentary feature “Rebel Hearts” failed to make the shortlist) and Jon Shenk, and “Three Songs for Benazir” from Elizabeth Mirzaei and Gulistan Mirzaei. Unsure which one will make the cut, but the films from Ogens, Sivan and Loushy seem to have the best shot at the moment.
Oscar nominations voting begins on Thursday, Jan. 27, 2022, and will end on Tuesday, Feb. 1, 2022. The official Academy Awards nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022, with the ceremony taking place on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022.
Precursor Awards Leader: None
Awards Season Calendar
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:
2022 Academy Awards Predictions
About the Academy Awards (Oscars)
The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.
The date for the 94th Oscars will be held on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022
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