Oscars Predictions: Best Documentary Feature – Animation, Music and Former Acting Subjects Take the Lead

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2022 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

UPDATED: Oct 21, 2021

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: As can be expected, we should see another large number of documentaries in the running for Oscar recognition. Last year saw a record 238 submissions, and we can see something similar to that. At the top is the animated, international and documentary feature “Flee,” which would make history if it cracked all three of those respective lineups. It could even factor into the best picture conversation. Julie Cohen and Betsy West could also make a bit of history if they’re nominated for both “My Name is Pauli Murray” and “Julia.” Lots more to come down the pike.

The deadline for submissions to the Academy is Nov. 1. The shortlist of fifteen finalists is scheduled to be announced on Dec. 21.

Oscar nominations voting begins on Thursday, Jan. 27, 2022, and will end on Tuesday, Feb. 1, 2022. The official Academy Awards nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022, with the ceremony taking place on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022.

Awards Season Calendar (2021-2022)

<img class="size-vertical wp-image-1235056148" src="https://variety.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/julia-child.jpg?w=1000&quot; alt=" - Credit: Sony Pictures Classics" width="1000" height="563" srcset="https://variety.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/julia-child.jpg 1000w, https://variety.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/julia-child.jpg?resize=150,84 150w, https://variety.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/julia-child.jpg?resize=300,169 300w, https://variety.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/julia-child.jpg?resize=125,70 125w, https://variety.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/julia-child.jpg?resize=681,383 681w, https://variety.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/julia-child.jpg?resize=450,253 450w, https://variety.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/julia-child.jpg?resize=250,140 250w" sizes="(min-width: 87.5rem) 1000px, (min-width: 78.75rem) 681px, (min-width: 48rem) 450px, (max-width: 48rem) 250px" />Sony Pictures Classics

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

RANK

FILM

STUDIO

DIRECTOR(S)

1

Flee

Neon

Jonas Poher Rasmussen

2

The Rescue

National Geographic

Jimmy Chin, Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi

3

The Velvet Underground

Apple Original Films

Todd Haynes

4

Who We Are: A Chronicle of Racism in America

Sony Pictures Classics

Emily Kunstler, Sarah Kunstler

5

Summer of Soul (…Or, When the Revolution Could Not Be Televised)

Searchlight Pictures

Quest Love

NEXT IN LINE

6

Procession

Netflix

Robert Greene

7

Julia

Sony PIctures Classics

Julie Cohen, Betsy West

8

Val

Amazon Studios

Ting Poo, Leo Scott

9

The First Wave

Neon

Matthew Heineman

10

Francesco

Discovery Plus

Evgeny Afineevsky

OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

11

Attica

Showtime

Stanley Nelson

12

Roadrunner: A Film About Anthony Bourdain

Focus Features

Morgan Neville

13

Citizen Ashe

CNN Films/HBO Max/Magnolia Pictures

Rex Miller, Sam Pollard

14

Introducing, Selma Blair

Discovery Plus

Rachel Fleit

15

Pray Away

Netflix

Kristine Stolakis

16

Becoming Cousteau

National Geographic

Liz Garbus

17

The Sparks Brothers

Focus Features

To be added

18

Ascension

MTV Documentary Films

Jessica Kingdon

19

Mayor Pete

Amazon Studios

Jesse Moss

20

My Name is Pauli Murray

Amazon Studios

Julie Cohen, Betsy West

ALSO IN CONTENTION

21

Rita Moreno: Just a Girl Who Decided to Go for It

Roadside Attractions

To be added

22

Ailey

Neon

To be added

23

Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song

No U.S. Distribution

Daniel Geller, Dayna Goldfine

24

The Lost Leonardo

Sony Pictures Classics

To be added

25

Not Going Quietly

Greenwich Entertainment

Nicholas Bruckman

26

Found

Netflix

Amanda Lipitz

27

Billie Eilish: The World’s A Little Blurry

Apple Original Films

RJ Cutler

28

Street Gang: How We Got to Sesame Street

HBO Max

To be added

29

The Real Charlie Chaplin

Showtime Documentary Films

Peter Middleton, James Spinney

30

In the Same Breath

HBO Documentary Films

Nanfu Wang

OTHER POSSIBILITIES

31

Fauci

National Geographic

To be added

32

Torn

National Geographic

To be added

33

Life of Crime 1984-2020

No U.S. Distribution

Jon Albert

34

Cusp

Showtime Documentary Films

Parker Hill, Isabel Bethencourt

35

Ferguson Rises

Independent Lens

Mobolaji Olambiwonnu

36

DeAndré#Deandré Storia di un Impiegato

No U.S. Distribution

Roberta Lena

37

Los Hermanos (The Brothers)

First Run Features

Marcia Jarmel, Ken Schneider

38

Sisters on Track

Netflix

Corinne van der Borch, Tone Grøttjoord-Glenne

39

The Most Beautiful Boy in the World

Juno Films

Kristina Lindström and Kristian Petri

40

A Cop Movie

Netflix

Alonso Ruizpalaios

UNRANKED LISTING

All Light, Everywhere

Neon

To be added

Bring Your Own Brigade

Paramount Plus

To be added

Convergence: Courage in a Crisis

Netflix

Orlando von Einsiedel (UK), Alexander “Lali” Houghton (Peru), Guillermo Galdos (Peru), Juhi Sharma (India), Lieven Corthouts (Belgium), Mauricio Montiero Filho (Brazil), Mohammad Reza Eyni (Iran), Sara Khaki (Iran) and Wenhua Lin (China)

Courage

No U.S. Distribution

Aliaksei Paluyan

Django & Django

No U.S. Distribution

Luca Rea

Ezio Bosso. Le Cose Che Restano

No U.S. Distribution

Giorgio Verdelli

Homeroom

Hulu

To be added

Justin Bieber: Our World

Amazon Studios

Michael D. Ratner

Karen Dalton: In My Own Time

Greenwich Entertainment

Robert Yapkowitz, Richard Peete

Keyboard Fantasies: The Beverly Glenn-Copeland Story

Greenwich Entertainment

Posy Dixon

LFG

HBO Max

Andrea Nix Fine, Sean Fine

Like a Rolling Stone: The Life and Times of Ben Fong-Torres

StudioLA

Suzanne Kai

Love It Was Not

Greenwich Entertainment

Maya Sarfaty

Misha and the Wolves

Netflix

To be added

Paper & Glue

MSNBC Films

JR

President

Greenwich Entertainment

Camilla Nielsson

Rebel Hearts

Discovery Plus

Pedro Kos

Republic of Silence

No U.S. Distribution

Diana El Jeiroudi

Seyran Ates: Sex, Revolution, & Islam

Juno Films

Nefise Ozkal Lorentzen

Simple as Water

HBO

Megan Mylan

Storm Lake

PBS Independent Lens

Jerry Risius, Beth Levison

Stray

Magnolia Pictures

To be added

The Big Scary “S” Word

Greenwich Entertainment

Yael Bridge

The Last Forest

Netflix

Luiz Bolognesi

The Neutral Ground

POV

CJ Hunt

Tom Petty: Somewhere You Feel Free

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Tranchées

No U.S. Distribution

Loup Bureau

Try Harder!

Greenwich Entertainment

Debbie Lum

Viaggio Nel Crepuscolo

No U.S. Distribution

Augusto Contento

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Documentary Feature)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. The most awarded films in Oscar history are “Ben-Hur,” “Titanic” and “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” at 11 statuettes. The most nominated films in Academy history are “All About Eve,” “Titanic” and “La La Land” at 14. “La La Land” is the only film of the three to have lost best picture. The most prominent Oscar “losers,” meaning most nominated and walk away with zero awards, are 1977’s “The Turning Point” and 1985’s “The Color Purple” at 11 each.

2022 Academy Awards Predictions

2021 Oscars predictions are here.

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The date for the 94th Oscars will be held on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022

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