Oscars Predictions: Best Cinematography – Greig Fraser Could Nab His First Gold

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Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.

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2022 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

UPDATED: Oct 21, 2021

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: It seems to be all about black and white movies this year with “Belfast,” “The Tragedy of Macbeth,” “C’mon C’mon,” “Passing” and parts of “The French Dispatch” but it’s Greig Fraser’s work on “Dune” that will turn heads, no matter the box office returns.

Oscar nominations voting begins on Thursday, Jan. 27, 2022, and will end on Tuesday, Feb. 1, 2022. The official Academy Awards nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022, with the ceremony taking place on Sunday, March 27, 2022.

Awards Season Calendar (2021-2022)

Rachel Zegler as Maria in 20th Century Studios’ WEST SIDE STORY. Photo by Niko Tavernise. © 2021 20th Century Studios. All Rights Reserved. - Credit: Niko Tavernise
Rachel Zegler as Maria in 20th Century Studios’ WEST SIDE STORY. Photo by Niko Tavernise. © 2021 20th Century Studios. All Rights Reserved. - Credit: Niko Tavernise

Niko Tavernise

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

RANK

FILM

STUDIO

CINEMATOGRAPHER

1

Dune

Warner Bros

Greig Fraser

2

Belfast

Focus Features

Haris Zambarloukos

3

The Tragedy of Macbeth

A24/Apple Original Films

Bruno Delbonnel

4

The Power of the Dog

Netflix

Ari Wegner

5

Nightmare Alley

Searchlight Pictures

Dan Laustsen

NEXT IN LINE

6

West Side Story

20th Century Studios

Janusz Kaminski

7

tick, tick…Boom!

Netflix

Alice Brooks

8

Spencer

Neon

Claire Mithon

9

C’mon C’mon

A24

Robbie Ryan

10

Licorice Pizza

United Artists Releasing/MGM

Michael Bauman and Paul Thomas Anderson

OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

11

Parallel Mothers

Sony Pictures Classics

José Luis Alcaine

12

Don’t Look Up

Netflix

Linus Sandgren

13

The Harder They Fall

Netflix

Mihai Mălaimare Jr.

14

Cyrano

United Artists Releasing/MGM

Seamus McGarvey

15

Swan Song

Apple Original Films

Masanobu Takaynagi

16

Being the Ricardos

Amazon Studios

Jeff Cronenweth

17

Passing

Netflix

Eduard Grau

18

Nine Days

Sony Pictures Classics

Wyatt Garfield

19

King Richard

Warner Bros

Robert Elswit

20

The Last Duel

20th Century Studios

Dariusz Wolski

ALSO IN CONTENTION

21

Val

Amazon Studios

Val Kilmer

22

House of Gucci

United Artists Releasing/MGM

Dairusz Wolski

23

No Time to Die

United Artists Releasing/MGM

Linus Sandgren

24

CODA

Apple Original Films

Paula Huidobro

25

The French Dispatch

Searchlight Pictures

Robert Yeoman

26

Eternals

Marvel Studios

Ben Davis

27

Last Night in Soho

Focus Features

Chung-hoon Chung

29

The Green Knight

A24

Andrew Droz Palermo

30

The Tender Bar

Amazon Studios

Martin Ruhe

31

The Lost Daughter

Netflix

Helene Louvart

UNRANKED LISTING

12 Mighty Orphans

Sony Pictures Classics

To be added

7 Prisoners

Netflix

To be added

A Chiara

Neon

To be added

A Cop Movie

Netflix

To be added

A Hero

Amazon Studios

Ali Ghazi, Arash Ramezani

A Journal for Jordan

Sony Pictures

To be added

A Quiet Place Part II

Paramount Pictures

To be added

Ailey

Neon

To be added

All Light Everywhere

Super LTD

To be added

American Underdog

Lionsgate

To be added

Annette

Amazon Studios

Caroline Champetier

Antlers

Searchlight Pictures

To be added

Army of the Dead

Netflix

To be added

ATTICA

Showtime

To be added

Bad Luck Banging or Loony Porn

Magnolia Pictures

To be added

Becoming Cousteau

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Benedetta

IFC Films

To be added

Bergman Island

IFC Films

To be added

Berlin Alexanderplatz

Kino Lorber

To be added

Big Gold Brick

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Bill Traylor: Chasing Ghosts

Kino Lorber

To be added

Bitterbrush

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Black Widow

Marvel Studios

Gabriel Beristain

Blue Bayou

Focus Features

Matthew Chuang, Ante Cheng

Bruised

Netflix

To be added

Can You Bring It: Bill T. Jones

Kino Lorber

To be added

Candyman

Universal Pictures

To be added

Chaos Walking

Lionsgate

To be added

Citizen Ashe

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Come True

IFC Midnight

To be added

Coming 2 America

Amazon Studios

Joe “Jody” Williams

Compartment No. 6

Sony Pictures Classics

Jani-Petteri Passi

Concrete Cowboy

Netflix

To be added

Cruella

Walt Disney Pictures

Nicolas Karakatsanis

Cry Macho

Warner Bros

Ben Davis

Cusp

Showtime

To be added

Dave Chappelle: This Time, This Place

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Days

Grasshopper Film

To be added

Dear Evan Hansen

Universal Pictures

To be added

Decision to Leave

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Demonic

IFC Midnight

To be added

Dream Horse

Bleecker Street

Erik Alexander Wilson

Drive My Car

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Ema

Music Box Films

To be added

Encounter

Amazon Studios

Benjamin Kračun

Enemies of the State

IFC Films

To be added

Everybody’s Talking About Jamie

Amazon Studios

To be added

F9

Universal Pictures

To be added

Fabian – Going to the Dogs

Kino Lorber

To be added

Falling for Figaro

IFC Films

To be added

False Positive

A24

To be added

Fathom

Apple Original Films

To be added

Fauci

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Faya Dayi

Janus Films

To be added

Final Account

Focus Features

To be added

Finch

Apple Original Films

To be added

Fire

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Flag Day

United Artists Releasing/MGM

To be added

Flora & Ulysses

Disney Plus

To be added

Four Good Days

Vertical Entertainment

To be added

Free Guy

20th Century Studios

To be added

Freeland

Dark Star Pictures

To be added

Georgetown

Vertical Entertainment

To be added

Ghostbusters: Afterlife

Sony Pictures

To be added

Godzilla vs. Kong

Warner Bros

To be added

Gold

Chicken Soup for the Soul Entertainment

To be added

Gunpowder Milkshake

STXfilms

To be added

Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Halloween Kills

Universal Pictures

To be added

Holler

IFC Films

To be added

How It Ends

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Huda’s Salon

IFC Films

To be added

I’m Your Man

Bleecker Street

To be added

In the Heights

Warner Bros

Alice Brooks

In the Same Breath

HBO Max

To be added

India Sweets and Spices

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Infinite

Paramount Plus

To be added

Introducing, Selma Blair

Discovery Plus

To be added

Italian Studies

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Jockey

Sony Pictures Classics

To be added

John and the Hole

IFC Films

To be added

Julia

Sony Pictures Classics

To be added

Jungle Cruise

Walt Disney Pictures

Flavio Martínez Labiano

Karen

Quiver

To be added

Kenny Scharf: When Worlds Collide

Greenwich Entertainment

To be added

Kurt Vonnegut: Unstuck In Time

IFC Films

To be added

Lamb

A24

To be added

Language Lessons

Shout! Studios

To be added

LFG

HBO Max

To be added

Luca

Pixar

Kim White, David Juan Bianchi

Luzzu

Kino Lorber

To be added

Mainstream

IFC Films

To be added

Mass

Bleecker Street

To be added

Mayor Pete

Amazon Studios

To be added

Memoria

Neon

To be added

Merrily We Roll Along

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Moffie

IFC Films

To be added

Mortal Kombat

Warner Bros

To be added

Mothering Sunday

Sony Pictures Classics

Jamie Ramsay

Muhammad Ali

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Munich – Edge of War

Netflix

To be added

My Name is Pauli Murray

Amazon Studios

Claudia Raschke

My Salinger Year

IFC Films

To be added

Needle in a Timestack

Lionsgate

To be added

Never Gonna Snow Again

Kino Lorber

To be added

No Sudden Move

HBO Max

Peter Andrews

Not Going Quietly

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Nuclear Family

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Official Competition

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Old

Universal Pictures

To be added

Old Henry

Shout! Studios

John Matysiak

Petite Maman

Neon

To be added

Pig

Neon

To be added

Pleasure

A24

To be added

President

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Procession

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Queenpins

STXfilms

To be added

Raya and the Last Dragon

Walt Disney Pictures

Rob Dressel, Adolph Lusinsky

Red Rocket

A24

To be added

Respect

United Artists Releasing/MGM

Kramer Morgenthau

Rita Moreno: Just a Girl Who Decided to Go For It

Roadside Attractions

To be added

River

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Roadrunner: A Film About Anthony Bourdain

Focus Features

To be added

Ron’s Gone Wrong

20th Century Studios

To be added

Sabaya

MTV Documentary Films

To be added

Salvatore: Shoemaker of Dreams

Sony Pictures Classics

To be added

Saturday at the Starlight

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Settlers

IFC Midnight

To be added

Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings

Marvel Studios

Bill Pope

Shiva Baby

Utopia

To be added

Sight

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Slalom

Kino Lorber

To be added

Slayers

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Snake Eyes

Paramount Pictures

To be added

Sound of Violence

Gravitas Ventures

To be added

Speer Goes to Hollywood

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Spider-Man: No Way Home

Sony Pictures

To be added

Spiral: From the Book of Saw

Lionsgate

To be added

Stillwater

Focus Features

To be added

Street Gang: How We Got to Sesame Street

HBO Max

To be added

Summer of 85

Music Box Films

To be added

Summer of Soul (…Or, When the Revolution Could Not Be Televised)

Searchlight Pictures

To be added

Swan Song

Magnolia Pictures

To be added

Swimming Out Till the Sea Turn

Cinema Guild

To be added

Text for You

Screen Gems

To be added

The Automat

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

The Beatles: Get Back

Walt Disney Pictures

To be added

The Beta Test

IFC Films

To be added

The Card Counter

Focus Features

To be added

The Courier

Lionsgate

To be added

The Dry

IFC Films

To be added

The Duke

Sony Pictures Classics

To be added

The Electrical Life of Louis Wain

Amazon Studios

Erik Wilson

The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Searchlight Pictures

Mike Gioulakis

The Fallout

HBO Max

To be added

The Fantastic Flitcrofts

BBC Films

To be added

The Feast

IFC Midnight

To be added

The First Wave

National Geographic/Neon

To be added

The God Committee

Vertical Entertainment

To be added

The Good House

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

The Guilty

Netflix

To be added

The Hand of God

Netflix

To be added

The Humans

A24

To be added

The Jesus Music

Lionsgate

To be added

The Killing of Two Lovers

Neon

To be added

The King’s Man

20th Century Studios

To be added

The Last Leonardo

Sony Pictures Classics

To be added

The Loneliest Whale: The Search for 52

Bleecker Street

To be added

The Macaluso Sisters

Film Forum

To be added

The Many Saints of Newark

Warner Bros

Kramer Morgenthau

The Matrix: Resurrections

Warner Bros

Daniele Massaccesi, John Toll

The Meaning of Hitler

IFC Films

To be added

The Novice

IFC Films

To be added

The Nowhere Inn

IFC Films

To be added

The Perfect Candidate

Music Box Films

To be added

The Real Charlie Chaplin

Showtime

To be added

The Rescue

National Geographic

To be added

The Same Storm

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

The Souvenir Part II

A24

To be added

The Sparks Brothers

Focus Features

To be added

The Starling

Netflix

To be added

The Suicide Squad

Warner Bros

Henry Braham

The Tomorrow War

Amazon Studios

Larry Fong

The Unforgivable

Netflix

To be added

The Way of the Wind

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

The Worst Person in the World

Neon

To be added

There Is No Evil

Kino Lorber

To be added

Those Who Wish Me Dead

Warner Bros

To be added

Titane

Neon

To be added

Together

Bleecker Street

Iain Struthers

Together Together

Bleecker Street

Frank Barrera

Tonight at Noon

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Torn

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Triangle of Sadness

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Truman and Tennessee: An Intimate Conversation

Kino Lorber

To be added

Unbreakable Boy

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Unclenching the Fists

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Undine

IFC Films

To be added

Vacation Friends

Hulu

To be added

Venom: Let There Be Carnage

Sony Pictures

To be added

Violence of Action

STXfilms

To be added

Vortex

Utopia

To be added

Voyagers

Lionsgate

To be added

We Need to Do Something

IFC Midnight

To be added

Werewolves Within

IFC Films

To be added

When Hitler Stole Pink Rabbit

Greenwich Entertainment

To be added

Who We Are: A Chronicle of Racism in America

Sony Pictures Classics

To be added

Who You Think I Am

Cohen Media Group

To be added

Wife of a Spy

Kino Lorber

To be added

Wolf

Focus Features

To be added

Women is Losers

No U.S. Distribution

To be added

Worth

Netflix

To be added

Zola

A24

Ari Wegner

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Cinematography)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. The most awarded films in Oscar history are “Ben-Hur,” “Titanic” and “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” at 11 statuettes. The most nominated films in Academy history are “All About Eve,” “Titanic” and “La La Land” at 14. “La La Land” is the only film of the three to have lost best picture. The biggest Oscar “losers,” meaning most nominated and walk away with zero awards, are 1977’s “The Turning Point” and 1985’s “The Color Purple” at 11 each..

2022 Academy Awards Predictions

2021 Oscars predictions are here.

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners are selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). 17 branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The date for the 94th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 27, 2022

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