Oscars Predictions: Best Animated Feature – Did ‘Raya and the Last Dragon’ Cement Its Spot After Leading the Annie Noms?

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Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.

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2022 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

UPDATED: Dec 23, 2021

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: The Academy has always found room for smaller, more eclectic animation choices to sneak into the race, as seen with past nominees such as “A Cat in Paris” (2011) and “My Life as a Zucchini” (2016). This year looks like big studios, and populist choices could dominate it.

It’s hard to imagine an Oscar nomination announcement that didn’t include Walt Disney Pictures’ “Encanto” (National Board of Review winner), Neon’s “Flee” (likely to make history with noms in animated, documentary and international) and Netflix’s “The Mitchells vs. the Machines” (which has the most critics’ prizes so far this season).

Pixar’s “Luca” and Walt Disney’s “Raya and the Last Dragon” seem to be safe bets, but GKIDS has always managed to find room for one of its features in the race, and that could very well be “Belle.” Another film with its vocal supporters is Negativ Films’ “My Sunny Maad,” which could sneak past one of the larger animation houses.

It should be noted that “Raya” garnered the most nominations from the Annie Awards with 10, followed by “Encanto” with nine – both of which were nominated for best feature. “Luca,” “Mitchells” and “Sing 2” rounded out the nominations with the vital guild. In addition, “Flee” was recognized in categories like directing and best indie feature. Netflix led the tally for all studios with 52 nominations, with Disney in second place with 29.

We shouldn’t discount Illumination and Universal Pictures’ “Sing 2,” which had a decent run at the box office, and 20th Century Studios’ “Ron’s Gone Wrong,” which is far more delightful than many give credit.

Oscar nominations voting begins on Thursday, Jan. 27, 2022, and will end on Tuesday, Feb. 1, 2022. The official Academy Awards nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022, with the ceremony taking place on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022.

Awards Season Calendar (2021-2022)

. - Credit: Disney
. - Credit: Disney

Disney

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

RANK

FILM

DISTRIBUTOR

DIRECTOR(S) & PRODUCER(S)

1

“Encanto”

Walt Disney Pictures

Jared Bush, Byron Howard

2

“Flee”

Neon

Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sørensen

3

“The Mitchells vs The Machines”

Netflix

Mike Rianda, Phil Lord, Chris Miller

4

“Luca”

Pixar

Enrico Casarosa, Andrea Warren

5

“Raya and the Last Dragon”

Walt Disney Pictures

Osnat Shurer, Don Hall, Carlos López Estrada

NEXT IN LINE

6

“Belle”

GKIDS

Mamoru Hosoda

7

“Sing 2”

Illumination/Universal Pictures

Garth Jennings

8

“My Sunny Maad”

Negativ Films

Michaela Pavlátová

9

“Ron’s Gone Wrong”

20th Century Studios

Sarah Smith, Jean-Philippe Vine

10

“The Summit of the Gods”

Netflix

Jean-Charles Ostorero, Didier Brunner, Damien Brunner, Stéphan Roelants

UNRANKED LISTING

“Back to the Outback”

Netflix

Harry Cripps, Clare Knight

“Bob Spit – We Do Not Like People”

Outsider Pictures

Cesar Cabral

“Cryptozoo”

Magnolia Pictures

Dash Shaw

“Fortune Favors Lady Nikuko”

GKIDS

Ayumu Watanabe

“Josee, the Tiger and the Fish”

FUNimation

Kôtarô Tamura

“Paw Patrol: The Movie”

Paramount Pictures

Cal Brunker

“Pompo the Cinephile”

GKIDS

Takayuki Hirao

“Poupelle of Chimney Town”

Toho

Yusuke Hirota, Ryoichi Fukuyama, Eiko Tanaka

“Spirit Untamed”

Dreamworks Animation

Elaine Bogan

“The Addams Family 2”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Greg Tiernan, Conrad Vernon

“The Ape Star”

Viva Pictures

Linda Hambäck

“The Boss Baby: Family Business”

DreamWorks Animation/Universal Pictures

Tom McGrath

“The Laws of the Universe – The Age of Elohim”

Freestyle Digital Media

Isamu Imakake

“The Spine of Night”

Shudder

Philip Gelatt, Morgan Galen King

“Vivo”

Netflix

Kirk DeMicco

“Wish Dragon”

Netflix

Chris Appelhans, Chris Bremble, Aron Warner

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Animated Feature)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. The most awarded films in Oscar history are “Ben-Hur,” “Titanic” and “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” at 11 statuettes. The most nominated films in Academy history are “All About Eve,” “Titanic” and “La La Land” at 14. “La La Land” is the only film of the three to have lost best picture. The most prominent Oscar “losers,” meaning most nominated and walk away with zero awards, are 1977’s “The Turning Point” and 1985’s “The Color Purple” at 11 each. The animated feature category was introduced in 2001 when “Shrek” was the first awarded. Five animators have won this award twice: Brad Bird, Pete Docter, Jonas Rivera, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich. Bird and Docter are also among the most nominated, with Ron Clements, Dean DeBlois, Travis Knight, Hayao Miyazaki, Rich Moore, and Chris Sanders.

2022 Academy Awards Predictions

2021 Oscars predictions are here.

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The date for the 94th Oscars will be held on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022

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