Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress – Could Angela Bassett Finally Nab Her Second Nom for ‘Wakanda Forever’?

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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.

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UPDATED: July 28, 2022

2023 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:

With “The Fabelmans” set to debut at TIFF, it could start the coronation of Michelle Williams (depending on the categorization of the performance). Also, with the trailer for “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” dropping, showcasing a brief but passionate showing of Angela Bassett, who’s only been nominated once for “What’s Love Got to Do With It?” (1993), rumors say she could be one to watch on the circuit.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Oscars Predictions Hub

More to come.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

2022 category winner: Ariana DeBose, “West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

Rank

Name

Film

Distributor

1

Michelle Williams*

“The Fabelmans”

Universal Pictures

A semi-autobiography based on Spielberg’s own childhood growing up in post-war Arizona, from age seven to eighteen.

2

Jessie Buckley

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

A group of women in an isolated religious colony as they struggle to reconcile their faith with a string of sexual assaults committed by the colony’s men.

3

Dolly De Leon

“Triangle of Sadness”

Neon

A cruise for the super-rich sinks thus leaving survivors, including a fashion model celebrity couple, trapped on an island.

4

Vanessa Kirby

“The Son”

Sony Pictures Classics

Peter as his busy life with new partner Emma and their baby is thrown into disarray when his ex-wife Kate turns up with their teenage son, Nicholas.

5

Angela Bassett

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

The nation of Wakanda is pitted against intervening world powers as they mourn the loss of their king T’Challa.

Next in Line

6

Janelle Monáe

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Sequel to the 2019 film “Knives Out.”

7

Jean Smart

“Babylon”

Paramount Pictures

Set in Hollywood during the transition from silent films to talkies, focusing on a mixture of historical & fictional characters.

8

Jamie Lee Curtis

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

A24

An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.

9

Stephanie Hsu

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

A24

An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.

10

Sadie Sink

“The Whale”

A24

A reclusive English teacher suffering from severe obesity attempts to reconnect with his estranged teenage daughter for one last chance at redemption.

Other Top-Tier Contenders

11

Griselda Sicillani

“Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)”

Netflix

12

Jennifer Ehle

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

13

Joely Richardson

“Lady Chatterley’s Lover”

Netflix

14

Kerry Condon

“The Banshees of Inisherin”

Searchlight Pictures

15

Keke Palmer*

“Nope”

Universal Pictures

16

Nina Hoss

“TÁR”

Focus Features

17

Lashana Lynch

“The Woman King”

Sony Pictures

18

Rooney Mara

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

19

Claire Foy

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

20

Hong Chau

“The Whale”

A24

Also In Contention

21

Sally Field

“Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies”

Focus Features

22

Patricia Clarkson

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

23

Laura Dern

“The Son”

Sony Pictures Classics

24

Whoopi Goldberg

“Till”

Orion/United Artists Releasing

25

Dakota Johnson

“Cha Cha Real Smooth”

Apple Original Films

26

Julia Butters

“The Fabelmans”

Universal Pictures

27

Anne Hathaway*

“Armageddon Time”

Focus Features

28

Lucy Boynton

“The Pale Blue Eye”

Netflix

29

Tamara Lawarance*

“The Silent Twins”

Focus Features

30

Doona Bae

“Broker”

Neon

Other Awards Possibilities

31

Anya Taylor-Joy

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

32

Nicole Kidman

“The Northman”

Focus Features

33

Olivia DeJonge

“Elvis”

Warner Bros.

34

Thuso Mbedu

“The Woman King”

Sony Pictures

35

Kate Winslet

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

36

Zoe Saldaña

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

37

Taylor Swift

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

38

Danai Gurira

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

39

Lupita Nyong’o

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

40

Samara Weaving

“Chevalier”

Searchlight Pictures

All Contenders Listed (Unranked-Alphabetical)

Aimee Carrero

“The Menu”

Searchlight Pictures

Aimee Lou Wood*

“Living”

Sony Pictures Classics

Andrea Riseborough

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Angela Bassett

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Anne Hathaway*

“Armageddon Time”

Focus Features

Anya Taylor-Joy

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Billie Piper

“Catherine, Called Birdy”

Amazon Studios

Bria Danielle Singleton

“I Wanna Dance With Somebody”

Sony Pictures

Camille Cottin

“Golda”

Bleecker Street

Candice Bergen

“As They Made Us”

Quiver

Carey Mulligan*

“Spaceman”

Netflix

CCH Pounder

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

Charlotte Gainsbourg

“The Pale Blue Eye”

Netflix

Chloë Sevigny

“Bones & All”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Claire Foy

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Crystal Clarke

“Empire of Light”

Searchlight Pictures

Dakota Johnson

“Cha Cha Real Smooth”

Apple Original Films

Danai Gurira

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Dolly De Leon

“Triangle of Sadness”

Neon

Dominique Thorne

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Doona Bae

“Broker”

Neon

Edie Falco

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

Elizabeth Olsen

“Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness”

Marvel Studios

Ella Hunt

“Lady Chatterley’s Lover”

Netflix

Emma Corrin*

“My Policeman”

Amazon Studios

Emma Thompson

“What’s Love Got to Do With It?”

No U.S. Distribution

Florence Kasumba

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Frances McDormand*

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Gabrielle Union

“Strange World”

Walt Disney Pictures

Gabrielle Union

“The Inspection”

A24

Gemma Chan

“Don’t Worry Darling”

Warner Bros

Gillian Anderson

“The Pale Blue Eye”

Netflix

Grace Caroline Currey

“Shazam! Fury of the Gods”

Warner Bros.

Greta Gerwig*

“White Noise”

Netflix

Griselda Sicillani

“Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)”

Netflix

Haley Bennett

“Till”

Orion/United Artists Releasing

Helen Mirren

“Shazam! Fury of the Gods”

Warner Bros.

Hong Chau

“The Whale”

A24

Iris Berben

“Triangle of Sadness”

Neon

Isabella Rossellini

“Marcel the Shell with Shoes On”

A24

Jamie Lee Curtis

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

A24

Janelle Monáe

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Janet McTeer

“The Menu”

Searchlight Pictures

Jayme Lawson

“Till”

Orion/United Artists Releasing

Jean Smart

“Babylon”

Paramount Pictures

Jennifer Connelly

“Top Gun: Maverick”

Paramount Pictures

Jennifer Ehle

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

Jessica Chastain

“Armageddon Time”

Focus Features

Jessica Hardwick

“The Lost King”

Warner Bros.

Jessica Henwick

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Jessie Buckley

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Jodie Turner-Smith

“White Noise”

Netflix

Joely Richardson

“Lady Chatterley’s Lover”

Netflix

Judi Dench

“Allelujah”

No U.S. Distribution

Judith Ivey

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Judith Light

“The Menu”

Searchlight Pictures

Julia Butters

“The Fabelmans”

Universal Pictures

Julianne Nicholson

“Blonde”

Netflix

Kaitlyn Dever

“Ticket to Paradise”

Netflix

Kate Hudson

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Kate Winslet

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

Kathryn Hahn

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Keke Palmer*

“Nope”

Universal Pictures

Kerry Condon

“The Banshees of Inisherin”

Searchlight Pictures

Kim Cattrall

“About My Father”

Lionsgate

Kim Dickens

“The Good Nurse”

Netflix

Kristen Stewart

“Crimes of the Future”

Neon

Lashana Lynch

“The Woman King”

Sony Pictures

Laura Dern

“The Son”

Sony Pictures Classics

Léa Seydoux

“Crimes of the Future”

Neon

Letitia Wright*

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Lucy Boynton

“Chevalier”

Searchlight Pictures

Lucy Boynton

“The Pale Blue Eye”

Netflix

Lucy Lui

“Shazam! Fury of the Gods”

Warner Bros.

Lupita Nyong’o

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Madelyn Cline

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Mar Carrera

“Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)”

Netflix

Margot Robbie*

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Maria Bakalova

“Bodies Bodies Bodies”

A24

Marsha Stephanie Blake

“Brother”

No U.S. Distribution

Meagan Good

“Shazam! Fury of the Gods”

Warner Bros.

Meteora Fontana

“Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)”

Netflix

Mia Wasikowska

“Blueback”

No U.S. Distribution

Michelle Williams

“The Fabelmans”

Universal Pictures

Minnie Driver

“Chevalier”

Searchlight Pictures

Niamh Algar

“The Wonder”

Netflix

Nicole Kidman

“The Northman”

Focus Features

Nina Hoss

“TÁR”

Focus Features

Noémie Merlant

“TÁR”

Focus Features

Octavia Spencer

“Spirited”

Apple Original Films

Olivia DeJonge

“Elvis”

Warner Bros.

Olivia Wilde

“Babylon”

Paramount Pictures

Olivia Wilde

“Don’t Worry Darling”

Warner Bros

Patricia Clarkson

“Monica”

No U.S. Distribution

Patricia Clarkson

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

Quintessa Swindell

“Black Adam”

Warner Bros

Rachel Keller

“Butcher’s Crossing”

Saban Films

Rachel Keller

“A Man Called Otto”

Sony Pictures

Rachel Zegler

“Shazam! Fury of the Gods”

Warner Bros.

Radha Mitchell

“Blueback”

No U.S. Distribution

Raffey Cassidy

“White Noise”

Netflix

Rooney Mara

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Ruth Wilson

“See How They Run”

Searchlight Pictures

Sadie Sink

“The Whale”

A24

Sally Field

“Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies”

Focus Features

Samantha Morton

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

Samantha Morton

“The Whale”

A24

Samara Weaving

“Chevalier”

Searchlight Pictures

Saoirse Ronan*

“See How They Run”

Searchlight Pictures

Sheila Atim

“The Woman King”

Sony Pictures

Sian Clifford

“See How They Run”

Searchlight Pictures

Sigourney Weaver

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

Sigourney Weaver

“Call Jane”

Roadside Attractions

Sigourney Weaver

“Master Gardener”

No U.S. Distribution

Sophie Okonedo

“Raymond & Ray”

Apple Original Films

Stephanie Hsu

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

A24

Tamara Lawarance*

“The Silent Twins”

Focus Features

Tamara Tunie

“I Wanna Dance With Somebody”

Sony Pictures

Tanya Moodie

“Empire of Light”

Searchlight Pictures

Taylor Swift

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Tessa Thompson

“Thor: Love and Thunder”

Marvel Studios

Thusa Mbedu

“The Woman King”

Sony Pictures

Vanessa Kirby

“The Son”

Sony Pictures Classics

Vicki Berlin

“Triangle of Sadness”

Neon

Whoopi Goldberg

“Till”

Orion/United Artists Releasing

Wunmi Mosaku

“Alice, Darling”

Lionsgate

Ximena Lamadrid

“Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)”

Netflix

Zoë Kravitz

“The Batman”

Warner Bros.

Zoe Saldaña

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Zooey Deschanel

“Dreamin’ Wild”

No U.S. Distribution

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The 95th Oscars ceremony at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on Sunday, March 12, 2022, on ABC

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