Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress – Are We Headed for a Veteran Showdown Between Angela Bassett and Jamie Lee Curtis?

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

LAST UPDATED: Nov. 22, 2022

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2023 Oscars Predictions: Best Supporting Actress

EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Jamie Lee Curtis, 2022. © A24 / Courtesy Everett Collection
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Jamie Lee Curtis, 2022. © A24 / Courtesy Everett Collection

CATEGORY COMMENTARY: Two veteran actresses – Angela Bassett from “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” and Jamie Lee Curtis from “Everything Everywhere All at Once” — both going for their first statuette.

It’ll be a race for the ages.

See the latest film predictions, in all 23 categories, in one place on Variety’s Oscars Collective.

To see the ranked predictions for each individual category, visit Variety’s Oscars Hub.

See the Golden Globe predictions in all of the film categories.

See the 2022-2023 Awards Season calendar for all key dates and timelines.

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY, (aka KNIVES OUT 2), from left: Kate Hudson, Jessica Henwick, 2022. ph: John Wilson /© Netflix / Courtesy Everett Collection
GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY, (aka KNIVES OUT 2), from left: Kate Hudson, Jessica Henwick, 2022. ph: John Wilson /© Netflix / Courtesy Everett Collection

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

Rank

Name

Film

Distributor

1

Angela Bassett

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

The nation of Wakanda is pitted against intervening world powers as they mourn the loss of their king T’Challa.

2

Jamie Lee Curtis

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

A24

An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.

3

Kerry Condon

“The Banshees of Inisherin”

Searchlight Pictures

Two lifelong friends find themselves at an impasse when one abruptly ends their relationship, with alarming consequences for both of them.

4

Jessie Buckley

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

A group of women in an isolated religious colony as they struggle to reconcile their faith with a string of sexual assaults committed by the colony’s men.

5

Charmaine Bingwa

“Emancipation”

Apple Original Films

A runaway slave forges through the swamps of Louisiana on a tortuous journey to escape plantation owners that nearly killed him.

Next in Line

6

Nina Hoss

“Tár”

Focus Features

Set in the international world of classical music, the film centers on Lydia Tár. widely considered one of the greatest living composer/conductors and first-ever female chief conductor of a major German orchestra.

7

Kate Hudson

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story”

Netflix

Famed Southern detective Benoit Blanc travels to Greece for his latest case.

8

Janelle Monáe

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Famed Southern detective Benoit Blanc travels to Greece for his latest case.

9

Hong Chau

“The Whale”

A24

A reclusive English teacher suffering from severe obesity attempts to reconnect with his estranged teenage daughter for one last chance at redemption.

10

Gabrielle Union

“The Inspection”

A24

A young, gay Black man, rejected by his mother and with few options for his future, decides to join the Marines, doing whatever it takes to succeed in a system that would cast him aside.

Other Top-Tier Contenders

11

Claire Foy

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

12

Dolly De Leon

“Triangle of Sadness”

Neon

13

Stephanie Hsu

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

A24

14

Carey Mulligan

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

15

Thuso Mbedu

“The Woman King”

Sony Pictures

16

Laura Dern

“The Son”

Sony Pictures Classics

17

Keke Palmer

“Nope”

Universal Pictures

18

Aimee Lou Wood

“Living”

Sony Pictures Classics

19

Olivia DeJonge

“Elvis”

Warner Bros.

20

Lashana Lynch

“The Woman King”

Sony Pictures

Also In Contention

21

Judith Ivey

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

22

Sadie Sink

“The Whale”

A24

23

Jennifer Connelly

“Top Gun: Maverick”

Paramount Pictures

24

Anne Hathaway

“Armageddon Time”

Focus Features

25

Vanessa Kirby

“The Son”

Sony Pictures Classics

26

Whoopi Goldberg

“Till”

Orion/United Artists Releasing

27

Emma Corrin

“My Policeman”

Amazon Studios

28

Jennifer Ehle

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

29

Jean Smart

“Babylon”

Paramount Pictures

30

Sally Field

“Spoiler Alert”

Focus Features

All Contenders Listed (Unranked-Alphabetical)

Ahna O’Reilly

“Where the Crawdads Sing”

Sony Pictures

Aimee Lou Wood

“Living”

Sony Pictures Classics

Alejandra Flechner

“Argentina, 1985”

Amazon Studios

Alix West Leller

“The Good Nurse”

Netflix

Amanda Bearse

“Bros”

Universal Pictures

Amber Grey

“Master”

Amazon Studios

Andrea Riseborough

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Andrea Riseborough

“Matilda”

Netflix

Angela Bassett

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Anne Hathaway

“Armageddon Time”

Focus Features

Anya Taylor-Joy

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Anya Taylor-Joy

“The Northman”

Focus Features

Ashely Park

“Mr. Malcolm’s List”

Bleecker Street

BJÖRK

“The Northman”

Focus Features

Benja K. Thomas

“A Love Song”

Bleecker Street

Billie Piper

“Catherine Called Birdy”

Amazon Studios

Bria Danielle Singleton

“I Wanna Dance With Somebody”

Sony Pictures

Candice Bergen

“As They Made Us”

Quiver

Carey Mulligan

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

CCH Pounder

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

Charlotte Gainsbourg

“The Pale Blue Eye”

Netflix

Charmaine Bingwa

“Emancipation”

Apple Original Films

Chloë Sevigny

“Bones & All”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Christina Jackson

“Devotion”

Sony Pictures

Claire Foy

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Connie Britton

“Breaking”

Bleecker Street

Crystal Clarke

“Empire of Light”

Searchlight Pictures

Dakota Johnson

“Cha Cha Real Smooth”

Apple Original Films

Danai Gurira

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Dolly De Leon

“Triangle of Sadness”

Neon

Dominique Thorne

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Doona Bae

“Broker”

Neon

Dot-Marie Jones

“Bros”

Universal Pictures

Edie Falco

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

Ego Nwodim

“Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile”

Sony Pictures

Elaine Cassidy

“The Wonder”

Netflix

Elizabeth Olsen

“Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness”

Marvel Studios

Émilie Dequenne

“Close”

A24

Emily Mitchell

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Emma Corrin

“My Policeman”

Amazon Studios

Emma Thompson

“Matilda”

Netflix

Emma Thompson

“What’s Love Got to Do With It?”

No U.S. Distribution

Emmy Raver-Lampman

“Dog”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Eve Lindley

“Bros”

Universal Pictures

Florence Kasumba

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Frances McDormand

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Gabrielle Union

“Strange World”

Walt Disney Pictures

Gabrielle Union

“The Inspection”

A24

Gemma Chan

“Don’t Worry Darling”

Warner Bros

Gillian Anderson

“The Pale Blue Eye”

Netflix

Greta Gerwig

“White Noise”

Netflix

Griselda Sicillani

“Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths”

Netflix

Haley Bennett

“Till”

Orion/United Artists Releasing

Haley Lu Richardson

“After Yang”

A24

Hong Chau

“The Menu”

Searchlight Pictures

Hong Chau

“The Whale”

A24

Iris Berben

“Triangle of Sadness”

Neon

Isabella Rossellini

“Marcel the Shell with Shoes On”

A24

Jamie Lee Curtis

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

A24

Jane Adams

“Dog”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Janelle Monáe

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Janet McTeer

“The Menu”

Searchlight Pictures

Janet McTeer

“The Menu”

Searchlight Pictures

Jayme Lawson

“The Woman King”

Sony Pictures

Jayme Lawson

“Till”

Orion/United Artists Releasing

Jean Smart

“Babylon”

Paramount Pictures

Jeannie Berlin

“The Fabelmans”

Universal Pictures

Jennifer Connelly

“Top Gun: Maverick”

Paramount Pictures

Jennifer Ehle

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

Jessica Chastain

“Armageddon Time”

Focus Features

Jessica Hardwick

“The Lost King”

Warner Bros.

Jessica Harper

“Bones & All”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Jessica Henwick

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Jessie Buckley

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Jodie Turner-Smith

“After Yang”

A24

Joely Richardson

“Lady Chatterley’s Lover”

Netflix

Jojo Regina

“Where the Crawdads Sing”

Sony Pictures

Judi Dench

“Allelujah”

No U.S. Distribution

Judith Ivey

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Judith Ivey

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Judith Light

“The Menu”

Searchlight Pictures

Julia Butters

“The Fabelmans”

Universal Pictures

Julianne Nicholson

“Blonde”

Netflix

Kaitlyn Dever

“Ticket to Paradise”

Netflix

Kate Berlant

“Don’t Worry Darling”

Warner Bros

Kate Hallett

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Kate Hudson

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Kate Winslet

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

Kathryn Hahn

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Keke Palmer*

“Nope”

Universal Pictures

Kerry Condon

“The Banshees of Inisherin”

Searchlight Pictures

Kiki Layne

“Don’t Worry Darling”

Warner Bros

Kila Lord Cassidy

“The Wonder”

Netflix

Kim Dickens

“The Good Nurse”

Netflix

Kim Dickens

“The Good Nurse”

Netflix

Kimberly Guerrero

“Montana Story”

Bleecker Street

Kristen Stewart

“Crimes of the Future”

Neon

Lashana Lynch

“Matilda”

Netflix

Lashana Lynch

“The Woman King”

Sony Pictures

Laura Dern

“The Son”

Sony Pictures Classics

Léa Drucker

“Close”

A24

Léa Seydoux

“Crimes of the Future”

Neon

Lesley Sharp

“Catherine Called Birdy”

Amazon Studios

Leslie Uggams

“Nanny”

Amazon Studios

Li Jun Li

“Babylon”

Paramount Pictures

Lily Fisher

“Blonde”

Netflix

Lucy Boynton

“The Pale Blue Eye”

Netflix

Lupita Nyong’o

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Lyric Hurd

“Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile”

Sony Pictures

Mabel Cadena

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Madelyn Cline

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Malea Emma Tjandrawidjaja

“After Yang”

A24

Mar Carrera

“Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths”

Netflix

Margot Robbie*

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Maria Bakalova

“Bodies Bodies Bodies”

A24

Mariana Treviño

“A Man Called Otto”

Sony Pictures

Marianne Jean-Baptiste

“The Sea Beast”

Netflix

Marsha Stephanie Blake

“Brother”

No U.S. Distribution

May Nivola

“White Noise”

Netflix

Meteora Fontana

“Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths”

Netflix

Michael Hyatt

“Where the Crawdads Sing”

Sony Pictures

Michaela Coel

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Michelle McLeod

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Michelle Monaghan

“Nanny”

Amazon Studios

Michelle Williams*

“The Fabelmans”

Universal Pictures

Michelle Wilson

“A Love Song”

Bleecker Street

Michelle Yeoh

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

Niamh Algar

“The Wonder”

Netflix

Nicole Beharie

“Breaking”

Bleecker Street

Nicole Beharie

“Honk for Jesus. Save Your Soul.”

Focus Features

Avis Marie Barnes

“Honk for Jesus. Save Your Soul.”

Focus Features

Zoey Deutch

“The Outfit”

Focus Features

Nikki Amuka-Bird

“The Outfit”

Focus Features

Nicole Kidman

“The Northman”

Focus Features

Nicole LaLiberté

“Dog”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Nina Hoss

“Tár”

Focus Features

Noémie Merlant

“Tár”

Focus Features

Octavia Spencer

“Spirited”

Apple Original Films

Olivia DeJonge

“Elvis”

Warner Bros.

Olivia Wilde

“Babylon”

Paramount Pictures

Olivia Wilde

“Don’t Worry Darling”

Warner Bros

Oona Chaplin

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

Patricia Clarkson

“Monica”

No U.S. Distribution

Patricia Clarkson

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

Pattrakorn Tungsupakul

“Thirteen Lives”

Amazon Studios/MGM

Q’Orianka Kilcher

“Dog”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Queen Latifah

“Hustle”

Netflix

Quintessa Swindell

“Black Adam”

Warner Bros

Rachel Keller

“A Man Called Otto”

Sony Pictures

Rachel Keller

“Butcher’s Crossing”

Saban Films

Raffey Cassidy

“White Noise”

Netflix

Rose Decker

“Nanny”

Amazon Studios

Ruth Wilson

“See How They Run”

Searchlight Pictures

Sabrina Carpenter

“Emergency”

Amazon Studios

Sadie Sink

“The Whale”

A24

Sally Field

“Spoiler Alert”

Focus Features

Samantha Morton

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

Samantha Morton

“The Whale”

A24

Selenis Leyva

“Breaking”

Bleecker Street

Shayla Brown

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Sheila Atim

“The Woman King”

Sony Pictures

Sheila McCarthy

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Sigourney Weaver

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

Sigourney Weaver

“Call Jane”

Roadside Attractions

Sophie Kauer

“Tár”

Focus Features

Sophie Okonedo

“Raymond & Ray”

Apple Original Films

Stephanie Hsu

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

A24

Sydney Chandler

“Don’t Worry Darling”

Warner Bros

Nadine Marshall

“The Silent Twins”

Focus Features

Jodhi May

“The Silent Twins”

Focus Features

Tamara Tunie

“I Wanna Dance With Somebody”

Sony Pictures

Tanya Moodie

“Empire of Light”

Searchlight Pictures

Taylor Swift

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Tessa Thompson

“Thor: Love and Thunder”

Marvel Studios

Thuso Mbedu

“The Woman King”

Sony Pictures

Ts Madison

“Bros”

Universal Pictures

Vanessa Kirby

“The Son”

Sony Pictures Classics

Vicki Berlin

“Triangle of Sadness”

Neon

Whoopi Goldberg

“Till”

Orion/United Artists Releasing

Wunmi Mosaku

“Alice, Darling”

Lionsgate

Ximena Lamadrid

“Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths”

Netflix

Zawe Ashton

“Mr. Malcolm’s List”

Bleecker Street

Zoë Kravitz

“The Batman”

Warner Bros.

Zoe Renee

“Master”

Amazon Studios

Zoe Saldaña

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Zooey Deschanel

“Dreamin’ Wild”

No U.S. Distribution

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT

The 95th Oscars ceremony will be held at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on Sunday, March 12, 2022, on ABC.

2022 category winner: Ariana DeBose, "West Side Story" (20th Century Studios)

About Variety Awards Circuit:

Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provides inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races. In addition to predictions, the section includes -- Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders in the race; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with the top contenders in the awards race and an expert roundtable discussion with Variety's leading editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions Video Series, a deep dive into specific categories, led by the leading pundits.

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