Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor – Don Cheadle and Woody Harrelson Among Beloved Veterans in the Race

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UPDATED: July 28, 2022

2023 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:

A wide-open category with a few opportunities to reward some veterans such as three-time nominee Woody Harrelson (“Triangle of Sadness”) or one-timer Don Cheadle (“White Noise”).

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Oscars Predictions Hub

More to come.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

2022 category winner: Troy Kotsur, “CODA” (Apple Original Films)

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

Rank

Name

Film

Distributor

1

Paul Dano

“The Fabelmans”

Universal Pictures

A semi-autobiography based on Spielberg’s own childhood growing up in post-war Arizona, from age seven to eighteen.

2

Don Cheadle

“White Noise”

Netflix

“White Noise” dramatizes a contemporary American family’s attempts to deal with the mundane conflicts of everyday life while grappling with the universal mysteries of love, death, and the possibility of happiness in an uncertain world.

3

Woody Harrelson

“Triangle of Sadness”

Neon

A cruise for the super-rich sinks thus leaving survivors, including a fashion model celebrity couple, trapped on an island.

4

Brendan Gleeson

“The Banshees of Inisherin”

Searchlight Pictures

Two lifelong friends find themselves at an impasse when one abruptly ends their relationship, with alarming consequences for both of them.

5

Ke Huy Quan

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

A24

An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.

Next in Line

6

John David Washington

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Set in the ’30s, it follows three friends who witness a murder, become suspects themselves, and uncover one of the most outrageous plots in American history.

7

Barry Keoghan

“The Banshees of Inisherin”

Searchlight Pictures

Two lifelong friends find themselves at an impasse when one abruptly ends their relationship, with alarming consequences for both of them.

8

Mark Strong

“TÁR”

Focus Features

Set in the international world of classical music, the film centers on Lydia Tár. widely considered one of the greatest living composer/conductors and first-ever female chief conductor of a major German orchestra.

9

Brian Tyree Henry

“Causeway”

Apple Original Films

A US soldier suffers a traumatic brain injury while fighting in Afghanistan and struggles to adjust to life back home.

10

Tobey Maguire

“Babylon”

Paramount Pictures

Set in Hollywood during the transition from silent films to talkies, focusing on a mixture of historical & fictional characters.

Other Top-Tier Contenders

11

Seth Rogen

“The Fabelmans”

Universal Pictures

12

Jeremy Strong

“Armageddon Time”

Focus Features

13

Harry Styles

“Don’t Worry Darling”

Warner Bros

14

Frankie Faison

“Till”

Orion/United Artists Releasing

15

Tom Hanks

“Elvis”

Warner Bros.

16

Harry Melling

“The Pale Blue Eye”

Netflix

17

Ethan Hawke*

“Raymond & Ray”

Apple Original Films

18

Pedro Pascal

“The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent”

Lionsgate

19

Andre Braugher

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

20

Micheal Ward

“Empire of Light”

Searchlight Pictures

Also In Contention

21

Zen McGrath*

“The Son”

Sony Pictures Classics

22

Ciarán Hinds

“The Wonder”

Netflix

23

Russell Crowe

“The Greatest Beer Run Ever”

Apple Original Films

24

Ashton Sanders

“I Wanna Dance With Somebody”

Sony Pictures

25

Ben Aldridge

“Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies”

Focus Features

26

David Lynch

“The Fabelmans”

Universal Pictures

27

John Leguizamo

“The Menu”

Searchlight Pictures

28

Alessandro Nivola

“White Noise”

Netflix

29

Ethan Hawke

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

30

Daniel Brühl

“All Quiet on the Western Front”

Netflix

Other Awards Possibilities

31

Luke Macfarlane

“Bros”

Universal Pictures

32

Jalyn Hall*

“Till”

Orion/United Artists Releasing

33

Anthony Hopkins

“Armageddon Time”

Focus Features

34

Nicholas Hoult

“The Menu”

Searchlight Pictures

35

Stephen Lang

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

36

Manuel Garcia-Rulfo

“A Man Called Otto”

Sony Pictures

37

Sean Patrick Thomas

“Till”

Orion/United Artists Releasing

38

Miles Teller

“Top Gun: Maverick”

Paramount Pictures

39

Winston Duke*

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

40

Colin Farrell*

“The Banshees of Inisherin”

Searchlight Pictures

All Contenders Listed (Unranked-Alphabetical)

Adrien Brody

“Blonde”

Netflix

Adrien Brody

“See How They Run”

Searchlight Pictures

Aldis Hodge

“Black Adam”

Warner Bros

Alessandro Nivola

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Alessandro Nivola

“White Noise”

Netflix

Alex Sharp

“Living”

Sony Pictures Classics

Ali Suliman

“The Swimmers”

Netflix

André Benjamin

“White Noise”

Netflix

Andre Braugher

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

André Holland

“Shirley”

Netflix

Andrés Almeida

“Bardo (or False Chronicle”

Netflix

Andrew Scott

“Catherine, Called Birdy”

Amazon Studios

Anthony Hopkins

“Armageddon Time”

Focus Features

Ashton Sanders

“I Wanna Dance With Somebody”

Sony Pictures

Barry Keoghan

“The Banshees of Inisherin”

Searchlight Pictures

Ben Aldridge

“Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies”

Focus Features

Ben Whishaw

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Benedict Wong

“Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness”

Marvel Studios

Bill Irwin

“Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies”

Focus Features

Bill Murray

“The Greatest Beer Run Ever”

Apple Original Films

Bobby Cannavale

“Blonde”

Netflix

Brad Pitt*

“Babylon”

Paramount Pictures

Brandon Perea

“Nope”

Universal Pictures

Brendan Gleeson*

“The Banshees of Inisherin”

Searchlight Pictures

Brian Tyree Henry

“Causeway”

A24/Apple Original Films

Chris Pine

“Don’t Worry Darling”

Warner Bros.

Chris Rock

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Ciarán Hinds

“The Wonder”

Netflix

Claes Bang

“The Northman”

Focus Features

Clarke Peters

“I Wanna Dance With Somebody”

Sony Pictures

Cliff Curtis

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

Colin Farrell

“Thirteen Lives”

Amazon Studios/MGM

Colin Farrell

“The Batman”

Warner Bros.

Colin Farrell*

“The Banshees of Inisherin”

Searchlight Pictures

Colin Firth*

“Empire of Light”

Searchlight Pictures

Daniel Bruhl

“All Quiet on the Western Front”

Netflix

Dave Bautista

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

David Dawson

“My Policeman”

Amazon Studios

David F. Sandberg

“Shazam! Fury of the Gods”

Warner Bros.

David Oyelowo

“See How They Run”

Searchlight Pictures

David Wenham

“Elvis”

Warner Bros.

Derek Jacobi

“Allelujah”

No U.S. Distribution

Diego Calva*

“Babylon”

Paramount Pictures

Djimon Hounsou

“Shazam! Fury of the Gods”

Warner Bros

Don Cheadle

“White Noise”

Netflix

Dustin Hoffman

“As They Made Us”

Quiver

Edward Norton

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Eric Bana

“Blueback”

No U.S. Distribution

Ernie Hudson

“Prisoner’s Daughter”

No U.S. Distribution

Ethan Hawke

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Ethan Hawke*

“Raymond & Ray”

Apple Original Films

Ewan McGregor*

“Raymond & Ray”

Apple Original Films

Frankie Faison

“Till”

Orion/United Artists Releasing

Harry Lloyd

“The Lost King”

Warner Bros.

Harry Melling

“The Pale Blue Eye”

Netflix

Harry Styles

“Don’t Worry Darling”

Warner Bros

Jalyn Hall*

“Till”

Orion/United Artists Releasing

Jaylin Webb

“Armageddon Time”

Focus Features

Jeffrey Wright

“The Batman”

Warner Bros.

Jeremy Strong

“Armageddon Time”

Focus Features

Joe Alwyn

“Catherine, Called Birdy”

Amazon Studios

Joel Edgerton

“Thirteen Lives”

Amazon Studios/MGM

John Boyega

“The Woman King”

Sony Pictures

John David Washington

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

John Glover

“TÁR”

Focus Features

John Leguizamo

“The Menu”

Searchlight Pictures

John Patton Ford

“Emily the Criminal”

Roadside Attractions

Juancho Hernangómez

“Hustle”

Netflix

Ke Huy Quan

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

A24

Kelvin Harrison Jr.

“Elvis”

Warner Bros.

Lance Reddick

“Shirley”

Netflix

Leslie Odom Jr.

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Lior Ashkenazi

“Golda”

Bleecker Street

Lucas Hedges

“Shirley”

Netflix

Luke Macfarlane

“Bros”

Universal Pictures

Malcolm McDowell

“Moving On”

No U.S. Distribution

Manuel Garcia-Rulfo

“A Man Called Otto”

Sony Pictures

Mark Rylance

“Bones & All”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Mark Rylance

“The Way of the Wind”

No U.S. Distribution

Mark Strong

“TÁR”

Focus Features

Martin Freeman

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Matthias Schoenaerts

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Michael Shannon

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Michael Stuhlbarg

“Bones & All”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Micheal Ward*

“Empire of Light”

Searchlight Pictures

Mike Epps

“On the Come Up”

Paramount Pictures

Mike Myers

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Miles Teller

“Top Gun: Maverick”

Paramount Pictures

Nicholas Hoult

“The Menu”

Searchlight Pictures

Noah Jupe

“Dreamin’ Wild”

No U.S. Distribution

Oh Kwang-rok

“Return to Seoul”

Sony Pictures Classics

Paul Dano

“Spaceman”

Netflix

Paul Dano

“Spaceman”

Netflix

Paul Dano

“The Fabelmans”

Universal Pictures

Paul Dano

“The Batman”

Warner Bros.

Pedro Pascal

“The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent”

Lionsgate

Peter Lanzani

“Argentina, 1985”

Amazon Studios

Ralph Fiennes*

“The Menu”

Searchlight Pictures

Rami Heuberger

“Golda”

Bleecker Street

Rami Malek

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Richard Roxburgh

“Elvis”

Warner Bros.

Robert DeNiro

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Robert DeNiro

“About My Father”

Lionsgate

Robert Duvall

“The Pale Blue Eye”

Netflix

Russell Crowe

“The Greatest Beer Run Ever”

Apple Original Films

Scott Speedman

“Crimes of the Future”

Neon

Sean Patrick Thomas

“Till”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Seth Rogen

“The Fabelmans”

Universal Pictures

Stanley Tucci

“I Wanna Dance With Somebody”

Sony Pictures

Stephen Lang

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

Steven Yeun

“Nope”

Universal Pictures

Taika Waititi

“Thor: Love and Thunder”

Marvel Studios

Terrence Howard

“Shirley”

Netflix

Terrence Howard

“Shirley”

Netflix

Timothy Olyphant

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Tobey Maguire

“Babylon”

Paramount Pictures

Toby Jones

“Empire of Light”

Searchlight Pictures

Tom Burke

“Living”

Sony Pictures Classics

Tom Hanks

“Elvis”

Warner Bros.

Tom Pelphrey

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

Viggo Mortensen*

“Thirteen Lives”

Amazon Studios/MGM

Winston Duke*

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Woody Harrelson

“Triangle of Sadness”

Neon

Zen McGrath*

“The Son”

Sony

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The 95th Oscars ceremony at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on Sunday, March 12, 2022, on ABC

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