Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
LAST UPDATED: Dec. 22, 2022
More from Variety
2023 Oscars Predictions: Best Original Song
CATEGORY COMMENTARY: Fifteen songs remain from the 82 that were in the mix for best original song.
The big music stars are here to help with ratings if the Academy feels inclined to lean into it. We have Lady Gaga, Taylor Swift, Rihanna, Drake, Jazmine Sullivan and Selena Gomez, with inventive selections like the team behind “Naatu Naatu” from “RRR.”
In the case of S.S. Rajamouli’s Tollywood epic, seeing its two leads N.T. Rama Rao Jr. and Ram Charan Teja performing the iconic dance sequence on the stage would likely throw the ceremony (and the ratings) into a new stratosphere of global entertainment. Please don’t pass this up Academy.
With these many superstars in the running, someone big is bound to miss. Rita Wilson and Diane Warren have immense support within the branch, representing the conventional choices and leaving room for inspired selections such as pop stars. Warren is coming off a killer speech at the Governors Awards where she was awarded an Honorary Oscar, giving momentum to her track from “Tell It Like a Woman.”
Wilson, who is also a producer of the film with her husband, two-time Oscar winner Tom Hanks (“Philadelphia” and “Forrest Gum”), has been working the campaign trail. The husband and wife could be one of the newest married couples to garner awards attention, which in recent years has given us power couples like Javier Bardem and Penelope Cruz.
Worth mentioning the few snubs from the shortlist including Billie Eilish and Finneas (“Nobody Like U” from “Turning Red”) and Joe Jonas (“Not Alone” from “Devotion”). I also wish Billy Eichner’s collaboration with Marc Shaiman on “Love is Not Love” from “Bros.”
See the 2022-2023 Awards Season calendar for all key dates and timelines.
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:
2023 Academy Awards Predictions
BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT
The 95th Oscars ceremony will be held at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on ABC on Sunday, March 12, 2023.
2022 category winner: “No Time to Die” by Billie Eilish and Finneas from “No Time to Die” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
About Variety Awards Circuit:
Variety’s unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online and provides inside reports on all the contenders in this year’s awards season races. In addition to predictions, the section includes — Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders in the race; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with the top contenders in the awards race and an expert roundtable discussion with Variety’s leading editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions Video Series, a deep dive into specific categories, led by the leading pundits.
Best of Variety