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Final Oscars Predictions: Costume Design – Will Catherine Martin or Ruth E. Carter Make History?

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

LAST UPDATED: March 9, 2023

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2023 Oscars Predictions: Best Costume Design

BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER, (aka BLACK PANTHER II), Letitia Wright, 2022. ph: Annette Brown / © Marvel / © Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures / Courtesy Everett Collection
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER, (aka BLACK PANTHER II), Letitia Wright, 2022. ph: Annette Brown / © Marvel / © Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures / Courtesy Everett Collection

CATEGORY COMMENTARY:

Despite being prone to a surprise, Catherine Martin seems to be marching towards her Oscar with her three noms for best picture, production design and costumes.

Ruth E. Carter behind “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,” who won the Oscar for the first entry, is a possibility for her stunning thread creations. If she wins, she’ll be the first Black woman to win more than one statuette in any category. This a stunning statistic considering how many artists have multiple Oscars. More than 3,100 Oscar statuettes have been handed out in the past 95 years. Of those, only 18 were awarded to Black women.

It’s unclear if we’ll have any new additions to the small list this year.

Don’t count out “Everything Everywhere All at Once” by Shirley Kurata, who bested Carter at the Costume Designers Guild Awards. That’s bubbling for an upset.

Will Win: “Elvis” (Warner Bros.) – Catherine Martin
Could Win: “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios) – Ruth E. Carter
Should Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24) – Shirley Kurata
Should have been here: “Don’t Worry Darling” (Warner Bros.) – Arianne Phillips

See the latest film predictions, in all 23 categories, in one place on Variety’s Oscars Collective. To see the ranked predictions for each individual category, visit Variety’s Oscars Hub.

See the 2022-2023 Awards Season calendar for all key dates and timelines.

Countdown to the Oscars with Variety here.

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

And The Nominees Are:

Rank

Film

Costume Designer(s)

Distributor

1

“Elvis”

Catherine Martin

Warner Bros.

The life of American music icon Elvis Presley, from his childhood to becoming a rock and movie star in the 1950s while maintaining a complex relationship with his manager, Colonel Tom Parker.

2

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Ruth Carter

Marvel Studios

The nation of Wakanda is pitted against intervening world powers as they mourn the loss of their king T’Challa.

3

“Babylon”

Mary Zophres

Paramount Pictures

Set in Hollywood during the transition from silent films to talkies, focusing on a mixture of historical & fictional characters.

4

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

Shirley Kurata

A24

An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.

5

“Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris”

Jenny Beaven

Focus Features

A widowed cleaning lady in 1950s London falls madly in love with a couture Dior dress, and decides that she must have one of her own.

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT

The 95th Oscars ceremony will be held at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on ABC on Sunday, March 12, 2023.

2022 category winner: "Cruella" (Walt Disney Pictures) - Jenny Beavan

About Variety Awards Circuit:

Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online and provides inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races. In addition to predictions, the section includes -- Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders in the race; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with the top contenders in the awards race and an expert roundtable discussion with Variety's leading editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions Video Series, a deep dive into specific categories, the top pundits.

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