Oscar Predictions: Best Actress – Former Winners Viola Davis and Frances McDormand Could Be Back in the Running

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UPDATED: July 28, 2022

2023 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST ACTRESS

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:

Multiple former winners could be in the running this year such as Cate Blanchett (“TAR”), Viola Davis (“The Woman King”) and Frances McDormand (“Women Talking”), with plenty of former nominees and possible breakthroughs on the horizon.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Oscars Predictions Hub

More to come.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

2022 category winner: Jessica Chastain, “The Eyes of Tammy Faye” (Searchlight Pictures)

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

Rank

Name

Film

Distributor

1

Michelle Yeoh

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

A24

An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.

2

Cate Blanchett

“TÁR”

Focus Features

Set in the international world of classical music, the film centers on Lydia Tár. widely considered one of the greatest living composer/conductors and first-ever female chief conductor of a major German orchestra.

3

Danielle Deadwyler

“Till”

Orion/United Artists Releasing

The story of Emmett Louis Till and the legacy of his mother who pursued justice for her lynched son.

4

Florence Pugh

“Don’t Worry Darling”

Warner Bros.

A 1950s housewife living with her husband in a utopian experimental community begins to worry that his glamorous company may be hiding disturbing secrets.

5

Frances McDormand*

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

A group of women in an isolated religious colony as they struggle to reconcile their faith with a string of sexual assaults committed by the colony’s men.

Next in Line

6

Olivia Colman

“Empire of Light”

Searchlight Pictures

“Empire of Light” is a love story set in and around a beautiful old cinema on the South Coast of England in the 1980s.

7

Viola Davis

“The Woman King”

Sony Pictures

A historical epic inspired by the true events that happened in The Kingdom of Dahomey, one of the most powerful states of Africa in the 18th and 19th centuries.

8

Carey Mulligan*

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

New York Times reporters Megan Twohey and Jodi Kantor break one of the most important stories in a generation — a story that helped launch the #MeToo movement and shattered decades of silence around the subject of sexual assault in Hollywood.

9

Zoe Kazan*

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

New York Times reporters Megan Twohey and Jodi Kantor break one of the most important stories in a generation — a story that helped launch the #MeToo movement and shattered decades of silence around the subject of sexual assault in Hollywood.

10

Margot Robbie

“Babylon”

Paramount Pictures

Set in Hollywood during the transition from silent films to talkies, focusing on a mixture of historical & fictional characters.

Other Top-Tier Contenders

11

Michelle Williams*

“The Fabelmans”

Universal Pictures

12

Greta Gerwig*

“White Noise”

Netflix

13

Florence Pugh

“The Wonder”

Netflix

14

Naomi Ackie

“I Wanna Dance With Somebody”

Sony Pictures

15

Jennifer Lawrence

“Causeway”

A24/Apple Original Films

16

Da’Vine Joy Randolph

“On the Come Up”

Paramount Pictures

17

Margot Robbie*

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

18

Regina King

“Shirley”

Netflix

19

Helen Mirren

“Golda”

Bleecker Street

20

Emma Corrin

“Lady Chatterly’s Lover”

Netflix

Also In Contention

21

Janelle Monáe*

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

22

Zar Amir Ebrahimi

“Holy Spider”

Utopia

23

Letitia Wright*

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

24

Sally Hawkins

“The Lost King”

Warner Bros

25

Ana de Armas

“Blonde”

Netflix

26

Anna Diop

“Nanny”

Amazon Studios

27

Jessica Chastain

“The Good Nurse”

Netflix

28

Thandiwe Newton

“God’s Country”

IFC Films

29

Léa Seydoux

“One Fine Morning”

Sony Pictures Classics

30

Emma Corrin

“Lady Chatterley’s Lover”

Netflix

Other Awards Possibilities

31

Julia Roberts

“Ticket to Paradise”

Universal Pictures

32

Zoe Saldaña

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

33

Tilda Swinton

“Three Thousand Years of Longing”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

34

Haley Lu Richardson

“Montana Story”

Bleecker Street

35

Bella Ramsey

“Catherine, Called Birdy”

Amazon Studios

36

Tang Wei

“Decision to Leave”

Mubi

37

Aimee Lou Wood*

“Living”

Sony Pictures Classics

38

Taylor Russell

“Bones & All”

Amazon Studios

39

Charibi Dean

“Triangle of Sadness”

Neon

40

Anna Kendrick

“Alice, Darling”

Lionsgate

Unranked Possible Contenders

Aimee Lou Wood

“Living”

Sony Pictures Classics

Amandla Stenberg

“Bodies Bodies Bodies”

A24

Ana de Armas

“Blonde”

Netflix

Anamaria Vartolomei

“Happening”

IFC Films

Anna Kendrick

“Alice, Darling”

Lionsgate

Anne Hathaway*

“Armageddon Time”

Focus Features

Anya Taylor-Joy*

“The Menu”

Searchlight Pictures

Anya Taylor-Joy*

“The Northman”

Focus Features

Ariel Donoghue

“Blueback”

No U.S. Distribution

Aubrey Plaza

“Emily the Criminal”

Roadside Attractions

Bella Ramsey

“Catherine, Called Birdy”

Amazon Studios

Bérénice Bejo

“The Hummingbird”

No U.S. Distribution

Carey Mulligan*

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

Cate Blanchett

“TÁR”

Focus Features

Charibi Dean

“Triangle of Sadness”

Neon

Da’Vine Joy Randolph

“On the Come Up”

Paramount Pictures

Dakota Johnson

“Am I OK?”

HBO Max

Dakota Johnson

“Persuasion”

Netflix

Dakota Johnson*

“Cha Cha Real Smooth”

Apple Original Films

Danielle Deadwyler

“Till”

Orion/United Artists Releasing

Dianna Agron

“As They Made Us”

Quiver

Elizabeth Banks

“Call Jane”

Roadside Attractions

Elizabeth Olsen*

“Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness”

Marvel Studios

Emily Browning

“Monica”

No U.S. Distribution

Emma Corrin

“Lady Chatterley’s Lover”

Netflix

Emma Corrin*

“My Policeman”

Amazon Studios

Florence Pugh

“The Wonder”

Netflix

Florence Pugh

“Don’t Worry Darling”

Warner Bros

Frances McDormand*

“Women Talking”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Greta Gerwig*

“White Noise”

Netflix

Haley Lu Richardson

“Montana Story”

Bleecker Street

Helen Mirren

“Golda”

Bleecker Street

Jane Fonda

“Moving On”

No U.S. Distribution

Janelle Monáe

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Netflix

Jennifer Lawrence

“Causeway”

A24/Apple Original Films

Jennifer Lopez

“The Mother”

Netflix

Jenny Slate

“Marcel the Shell with Shoes On”

A24

Jessica Chastain

“The Good Nurse”

Netflix

Jessica Chastain*

“The Forgiven”

Roadside Attractions

Jessie Buckley

“Men”

A24

Jodie Turner-Smith

“After Yang”

A24

Julia Roberts

“Ticket to Paradise”

Universal Pictures

Julianne Moore

“When You Finish Saving the World”

A24

Juliette Binoche

“Both Sides of the Blade”

IFC Films

Kaitlyn Dever

“Rosaline”

Hulu

Kate Beckinsale

“Prisoner’s Daughter”

No U.S. Distribution

Keke Palmer*

“Nope”

Universal Pictures

Léa Seydoux

“One Fine Morning”

Sony Pictures Classics

Léa Seydoux*

“Crimes of the Future”

Neon

Lesley Manville

“Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris”

Focus Features

Letitia Wright*

“The Silent Twins”

Focus Features

Letitia Wright*

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Marvel Studios

Lily James

“What’s Love Got to Do With It?”

No U.S. Distribution

Lily Tomlin

“Moving On”

No U.S. Distribution

Manal Issa

“The Swimmers”

Netflix

Margot Robbie

“Amsterdam”

20th Century Studios

Margot Robbie

“Babylon”

Paramount Pictures

Melissa Barrera

“Carmen”

Sony Pictures Classics

Michelle Williams*

“The Fabelmans”

Universal Pictures

Michelle Yeoh

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

A24

Naomi Ackie

“I Wanna Dance With Somebody”

Sony Pictures

Natalie Portman*

“Thor: Love and Thunder”

Marvel Studios

Olivia Colman

“Empire of Light”

Searchlight Pictures

Penélope Cruz

“Official Competition”

IFC Films

Regina Hall

“Master”

Amazon Studios

Regina King

“Shirley”

Netflix

Sally Hawkins

“The Lost King”

Warner Bros.

Sandra Drzymalska

“EO”

Janus Films and Sideshow

Saoirse Ronan*

“See How They Run”

Searchlight Pictures

Sara Serraiocco

“Il Signore Delle Formiche”

No U.S. Distribution

Tamara Lawrance*

“The Silent Twins”

Focus Features

Tang Wei

“Decision to Leave”

Mubi

Taylor Russell

“Bones & All”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Thandiwe Newton

“God’s Country”

IFC Films

Tilda Swinton

“The Eternal Daughter”

A24

Tilda Swinton

“Three Thousand Years of Longing”

MGM/United Artists Releasing

Vicky Krieps

“Corsage”

IFC Films

Viola Davis

“The Woman King”

TriStar Pictures

Virginie Efira

“Paris Memories”

Pathé

Zar Amir Ebrahimi

“Holy Spider”

Utopia

Zoe Kazan*

“She Said”

Universal Pictures

Zoe Saldaña

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

20th Century Studios

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

About the Academy Awards (Oscars)

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

  • The 95th Oscars ceremony at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on Sunday, March 12, 2022, on ABC

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