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NFL player props: Prey on the Seahawks with these two Saints

The Seattle Seahawks will try to avoid dropping to 2-5 tonight as they host the New Orleans Saints as four-point underdogs. BetMGM doesn't offer any props on how many shots we'll get of Pete Carroll masticating his gum on the sidelines (my model predicts 16), but it does have hundreds of others, including these two that I'll be playing:

Jameis Winston over 202.5 passing yards

Famous Jameis owns the seventh-highest QBR of any starting quarterback this year. Sean Payton has allowed him to open things up a bit more in the last two games, leading to successive season highs in passing attempts and passing yards and hitting this prop both times. Seattle's defense ranks in the bottom 10 in completion percentage allowed, yards allowed per passing attempt, and quarterback rating. Gadget quarterback Taysom Hill is out with a concussion, which means he won't be stealing opportunities from Winston. I think we'll see Winston continue to be unleashed tonight on prime time against a toothless Seahawks secondary.

Marquez Callaway over 43.5 receiving yards

Like Winston, Callaway has gone over this prop in the last two games. The pair established a connection in the preseason and Callaway is the Saints' most-targeted receiver entering Monday night's contest. Winston loves heaving bombs to the sophomore wideout and we could see him surpass this number on a single reception.

New Orleans Saints wide receiver Marquez Callaway celebrates with New Orleans Saints quarterback Jameis Winston after connecting on a touchdown pass against the Washington Football Team during the fourth quarter at FedExField. (Geoff Burke/USA TODAY Sports)
New Orleans Saints wide receiver Marquez Callaway celebrates with Jameis Winston after connecting on a touchdown pass against the Washington Football Team. (Geoff Burke/USA TODAY Sports)

Stats provided by Pro Football Reference and nfl.com.