The year 2000 was full of suspense and jaw-dropping shockers. Seven days after we faded the Y2K virus, the Tennessee Titans pulled off the Music City Miracle to beat the Buffalo Bills in the AFC wild-card game. Seventy-eight days after that, Angelina Jolie open-mouth kissed her brother at the Academy Awards. Like I said, it was a year full of jaw-droppers.
Tonight's matchup will be the 11th meeting between the Bills and Titans since that infamous playoff moment. Buffalo have won and covered four in a row and are six-point favorites. They say a tie is like kissing your sister and you can get +10000 for that in this game (the tie part, not the sister part). I won't be betting that prop, but there are two player props on BetMGM that I'm liking tonight:
Zach Moss over 61.5 rushing and receiving yards
The Bills running back was a healthy scratch in Week 1 and received 10 touches in a blowout win over the Dolphins in Week 2. Since then, Moss has become a rolling stone in the Bills' explosive offense, averaging 14.7 touches and 81.3 total yards per game. He's played on 74% of red zone snaps, 76% of third-downs, and 77% of two-minute snaps over the last three games. The Titans rank in the bottom 10 in yards per carry (4.5), so I'm expecting another productive outing from Moss.
A.J. Brown under 57.5 receiving yards
Buffalo allows the fewest yards per passing attempt and the second-lowest completion percentage in the league. Brown had double-knee surgery in the offseason, hasn't come close to hitting this prop this year, is on a limited snap count until Week 10 because of his hamstring, was downgraded to questionable yesterday with an undisclosed illness and will draw coverage from Bills shutdown cornerback Tre'Davious White. Does this sound like a recipe for success? I'm fading harder than a rookie barber.
Stats provided by Pro Football Reference and nfl.com.