Harris has slight lead over Trump ahead of Election Day: YouGov
Vice President Harris is narrowly outpacing former President Trump just days before Election Day, according to YouGov’s final presidential estimate.
The election model, unveiled Friday, shows Harris leading Trump by 3 points nationally, 50 percent to 47 percent. The latest update shows the vice president with 240 electoral votes compared to her GOP rival’s 218. Around 80 remain a toss-up.
The previous model from Oct. 16 showed Harris ahead with 250 electoral votes and the former president with 219. In that release, only 69 voters were considered toss-ups.
YouGov listed Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia as the likely battlegrounds — leaving off Michigan.
In Nevada, Harris leads Trump with 50 percent support to his 48 percent. In Arizona, Trump takes the lead, outpacing Harris by the same 3-point margin, the model shows.
In North Carolina and Pennsylvania, the vice president has a slight lead over the former president, 49 percent to 48 percent. She also outpaces the Republican nominee by 2 points in Wisconsin, 49 percent to 47 percent, according to the pollster.
Though in Georgia, the model shows the GOP nominee with a 1-point edge over his Democratic rival, 49 percent to 48 percent.
The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s polling index shows Harris with a razor-thin lead over Trump nationally — 48.3 percent to 48 percent.
The national poll interviewed 57, 784 registered voters from Oct. 25 to 31. The margin of error was 4.2 percentage points.
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