What’s happening in Syria? A simple guide

Syria’s civil war is back in the spotlight after a new rebel coalition launched a surprise attack, capturing two major cities, shattering the stalemate of a war that never formally ended.

The renewed conflict, which has killed more than 300,000 and sent nearly 6 million refugees out of the country, has wide ramifications across the region and beyond.

Here’s what you need to know.

What happened in Syria’s civil war?

At the height of the Arab Spring in 2011, pro-democracy demonstrators took to the streets in Syria calling for the ouster of its authoritarian President Bashar al-Assad.

The protesters were met with deadly force. As Assad’s forces crushed the pro-democracy movement, an armed opposition began to form made up of small organic militias and some defectors from the Syrian military.

The opposition forces – decentralized, made up of different ideologies, but with a common goal of toppling Assad – were supported in various ways by foreign powers including neighboring Turkey, regional giants Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, as well as the United States.

As the anti-government forces grew, Syria’s allies Iran and Russia stepped up their support. On the ground, Iran’s Revolutionary Guard as well as its Lebanese proxy Hezbollah helped fight the armed rebel groups. In the skies, the Syrian Air Force was bolstered by Russian warplanes.

Extremist Islamists including al Qaeda took an interest in Syria, taking up a common cause with the moderate Syrian opposition who did not welcome jihadist involvement.

But by 2014 the extremists dominated and ISIS began sweeping across the country. Fearing Syria would become a permanent terror hotbed, an international coalition led by the US stepped in with a focus on eliminating the group but without confronting the Syrian regime.

The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) – a US partner made up of Kurdish fighters - fought against ISIS, effectively ending the group’s territorial existence.

In 2020, Russia and Turkey agreed a ceasefire in the last remaining opposition-held province, Idlib, agreeing to establish a security corridor with joint patrols.

There have been no major flare-ups since then but Syria’s government never regained all of its territory. And as events in Aleppo show, armed resistance never went away.

Why has the conflict reignited now?

The offensive began last week after rebels formed a new coalition called the “Military Operations Command.”

They quickly swept through villages outside Aleppo and residents have now said they control much of the city, meeting little resistance on the way.

More than a week after the offensive began, the rebels on Thursday entered Hama, a strategically important city about 150 kilometers (90 miles) south of Aleppo. Syria’s army said it was withdrawing from the city.

After taking Hama, the rebels said they plan to push further south to the city of Homs.

The fighters say they are seeking to liberate occupied territory and were responding to stepped up attacks from government forces and pro-Iranian militia groups.

The rebels may be seeking to capitalize on a weakened government whose key allies are heavily preoccupied with other conflicts.

Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022 and has ploughed manpower and resources into the war. Russia is Assad’s main partner in the sky.

Meanwhile Iran has suffered a series of attacks from Israel, in particular landing heavy blows on Hezbollah. Analysts told CNN that the Syrian rebels are using a vacuum left by the group to advance in Syria.

Losing Aleppo marks a significant setback for Assad’s forces. Once Syria’s largest city by population and its economic capital, it is one of the oldest inhabited cities in the world. Hama provides direct supply lines between the capital Damascus and Aleppo and rebels had until now been unable to capture the city.

Who are the rebels?

The new grouping is made up of a broad spectrum of opposition forces, from Islamist factions to moderates.

Leading them is Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a former al Qaeda affiliate in Syria that used to go by the name Al-Nusra Front.

The group officially cut ties with al Qaeda and has been the de facto ruler in Idlib. They have been joined by groups backed by Turkey and others previously supported by the US.

Complicating the situation is that some of the rebel groups are also fighting the Syrian Democratic Forces.

The Turkish-backed Free Syrian Army, which is part of the rebel coalition that took control of most of Aleppo city, said Sunday it had seized control of the city of Tal Rifaat and the towns of Ain Daqna and Sheikh Issa in the northern part of the Aleppo governorate. It also claimed to have captured the villages of Shaaleh and Nairabiyyeh in Aleppo’s northern countryside. Those territories were previously held not by the government of Bashar al-Assad but by the Syrian Democratic Forces.

The Syrian Democratic Forces are largely made up of Kurdish fighters from a group known as the Peoples’ Protection Units (YPG), which is considered a terrorist organization by neighboring Turkey.

How will Syria respond?

Syrian and Russian jets have been striking the rebels in Aleppo and Idlib, a tactic that was crucial in winning back territory during the civil war.

Assad has vowed that Syria will continue “to defend its stability and territorial integrity in the face of all terrorists and their supporters” and the defense ministry said it was preparing to launch a counteroffensive.

However the full extent of government ability or willingness to respond is unclear at this stage and much will depend on the support its key backers can bring.

There have been signs of Syria’s allies rallying around the government, with Iran’s top diplomat Abbas Araghchi traveling to Damascus from Tehran on Sunday.

With rebels in control of Aleppo, including key military sites and the airport, any counterattack will be difficult for the Syrian army. The city held out for nearly two years under near continuous siege from government forces before being captured in 2016.

CNN’s Eyad Kourdi, Ben Wedeman, Mostafa Salem and Christian Edwards contributed to this report.

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