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Escalation near Tabaivka is part of Russian strategy to bypass Kupyansk from south, says military expert

Ukrainian artillerymen
Ukrainian artillerymen

The recent escalation near the village of Tabaivka, Kharkiv Oblast, is part of the Russian strategy to bypass Kupyansk from the south. The enemy is withdrawing some troops from the Lyman sector in order to concentrate its forces and achieve at least some success, military expert Serhiy Hrabskyitold Radio NV on Jan. 29

Even the loss of the village will not complicate the situation for the Ukrainian forces. According to Hrabskyi, serious fighting has been going on near Krokhmalne and Tabayivka for about two weeks.

"Nevertheless, we must understand that the consolidation in this area can help the enemy to move towards Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, which is actually the main target of its offensive. That is, the enemy, unable to attack through Lyman Pershyi in the direction of Kupyansk, the enemy is now trying to bypass it from the south, to create a salient, and cut it off. Thus, Kupyansk remains its main objective.”

The Russians have the ability to concentrate human resources in this front sector.

"It is very difficult to say how far they will be able to advance. The next few days, at least this week, will be quite difficult... Having received such an impulse, the Russians will logically do everything possible to break through in this area."

Read also: Ukrainian Armed Forces spokesman denies Russian claims of Tabaivka village capture in Kharkiv Oblast

Earlier, The Russian forces have claimed to have captured the village of Tabaivka in KharkivOblast, but the U.S.-based Institute for the Study of War has no evidence to support this claim, ISW said in its latest report released on Jan. 27.

Analysts for the DeepState Telegram channel, by contrast, have reported that the Russian forces did indeed occupy the village.

The ISW reported on Jan. 21 that Russians had advanced along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminnaline and captured Krokhmalne in Kharkiv Oblast. Armed Forces spokesman Volodymyr Fitio later confirmed this, saying that the capture of the village had no strategic importance for the front.

Read also: Russia has no strategic success in eastern Ukraine, but continues offensives in Lyman-Kupyansk sector

According to DeepState, Russian forces have taken Tabaivka and are trying to build on their success towards Pishchane.

“The Lyman operational and tactical grouping is now facing a choice: either risk committing all their reserves to regain lost positions or stabilizing the contact line and gain a foothold on new defensive lines. This is logical and nothing secret has been announced.”

Russian claims that they have captured the village of Tabaivka in Ukraine's northeastern Kharkiv Oblast “do not correspond to reality,” Fitio told Espresso TV on Jan. 29.

Read also: Russia announces seizure of Kharkiv Oblast hamlet amid escalation around Kupyansk on eastern front

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Read the original article on The New Voice of Ukraine