Emmy Predictions: Supporting Actor in a Drama Series – Can Cousin Greg Find ‘Succession’ Love from the TV Academy?

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UPDATED: May 12, 2022

2022 EMMYS PREDICTIONS:
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:

Multiple actors from HBO’s “Succession” are favored in this category to snag the very likelihood of eight available spots. Kieran Culkin and Matthew Macfadyen seem to be leading with the buzz for their performances during the third season while Nicholas Braun and Alan Ruck are fan favorites, heavily in the discussion. After “Succession” took all five directing spots at the DGA Awards, could they take half the spots in this race?

Multiple actors from the same television series seem to be the theme this awards season with “Better Call Saul” (Jonathan Banks, Giancarlo Esposito and Michael Mando), “The Morning Show” (Billy Crudup and Steve Carell), “Severance” (John Turturro and Christopher Walken) and others.

This is not the full list of submitted contenders, additions will be added every Thursday.

Read more: Variety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

The Emmy eligibility period runs from June 1, 2021, to May 31, 2022. The deadline for entering programs for Primetime programming and uploading all entry materials is on May 12, 2022, at 6:00 PM PT.

The nomination round of voting runs from June 16 to June 27. The official nominations for the 74th Emmy Awards will be announced Tuesday, July 12.

The list of programs and potential nominees listed below is incomplete and is subject to change. The full television awards season calendar is linked here.

2021 category winner: Tobias Menzies, “The Crown” (Netflix)

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

Kate Toby Split This Is Us
Kate Toby Split This Is Us

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

RANK

CONTENDER

SERIES

NETWORK

1

Kieran Culkin

“Succession”

HBO/HBO Max

2

Jonathan Banks

“Better Call Saul”

AMC

3

Matthew Macfadyen

“Succession”

HBO/HBO Max

4

Billy Crudup

“The Morning Show”

Apple TV+

5

Oh Young-soo

“Squid Game”

Netflix

6

John Turturro

“Severance”

Apple TV+

7

Chris Sullivan

“This Is Us”

NBC

8

Nicholas Braun

“Succession”

HBO/HBO Max

NEXT IN LINE

9

Giancarlo Esposito

“Better Call Saul”

AMC

10

Gil Birmingham

“Yellowstone”

Paramount Network

OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

11

Alan Ruck

“Succession”

HBO/HBO Max

12

Eric Dane

“Euphoria”

HBO/HBO Max

13

Tramell Tillman

“Severance”

Apple TV+

14

David Harbour

“Stranger Things”

Netflix

15

Christopher Walken

“Severance”

Apple TV+

16

Steve Carell

“The Morning Show”

Apple TV+

17

Mark Duplass

“The Morning Show”

Apple TV+

18

Clancy Brown

“Dexter: New Blood”

Showtime

19

Mandy Patinkin

“The Good Fight”

Paramount+

20

Bill Camp

“American Rust”

Showtime

ALSO IN CONTENTION

21

Park Hae-Soo

“Squid Game”

Netflix

22

Bill Nighy

“The Man Who Fell to Earth”

Showtime

23

Owen Wilson

“Loki”

Disney+

24

Michael Mando

“Better Call Saul”

AMC

25

Edward James Olmos

“Mayans M.C.”

FX

26

Noah Reid

“Outer Range”

Amazon Prime Video

27

Joe Keery

“Stranger Things”

Netflix

28

Adrien Brody

“Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty”

HBO/HBO Max

29

Jonathan Pryce

“Slow Horses”

Apple TV+

30

Asante Blackk

“This Is Us”

NBC

UNRANKED CONTENDERS

Adrian Holmes

“Bel-Air”

Peacock

Alano Miller

“Dexter: New Blood”

Showtime

Alfonso Herrera

“Ozark”

Netflix

Anupam Tripathi

“Squid Game”

Netflix

Asia Kate Dillon

“Billions”

Showtime

Barney Harris

“The Wheel of Time”

Amazon Prime Video

Bruce Dern

“Goliath”

Amazon Prime Video

Calam Lynch

“Bridgerton”

Netflix

Caleb McLaughlin

“Stranger Things”

Netflix

Chai Hansen

“Night Sky”

Amazon Prime Video

Charlie Heaton

“Stranger Things”

Netflix

Chris Pang

“As We See It”

Amazon Prime Video

Clarke Peters

“The Man Who Fell to Earth”

Showtime

Cole Hauser

“Yellowstone”

Paramount Network

Daniel Henney

“The Wheel of Time”

Amazon Prime Video

Dave Bautista

“See”

Apple TV+

David Alvarez

“American Rust”

Showtime

David Wenham

“Pieces of Her”

Netflix

Devon Sawa

“Chucky”

Syfy

Eamon Farren

“The Witcher”

Netflix

Felix Solis

“Ozark”

Netflix

Finn Wolfhard

“Stranger Things”

Netflix

Gaten Matarazzo

“Stranger Things”

Netflix

Giancarlo Esposito

“Godfather of Harlem”

Epix

Gil Birmingham

“Pieces of Her”

Netflix

Griffin Dunne

“This Is Us”

NBC

Jack Alcott

“Dexter: New Blood”

Showtime

Jamie Bell

“Shining Girls”

Apple TV+

Jamie Campbell Bower

“Stranger Things”

Netflix

Jason Clarke

“Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty”

HBO/HBO Max

Jason Segel

“Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty”

HBO/HBO Max

Jimmi Simpson

“Pachinko”

Apple TV+

Jimmi Simpson

“The Man Who Fell to Earth”

Showtime

Joe Dempsie

“Pieces of Her”

Netflix

Joe Mantegna

“As We See It”

Amazon Prime Video

Joey Bada$$

“Power Book III: Raising Kanan”

Starz

Joey Batey

“The Witcher”

Netflix

Joseph Quinn

“Stranger Things”

Netflix

Josha Stradowski

“The Wheel of Time”

Amazon Prime Video

Ken Watanabe

“Tokyo Vice”

HBO/HBO Max

Kim Bodnia

“The Witcher”

Netflix

Lewis Pullman

“Outer Range”

Amazon Prime Video

London Brown

“Power Book III: Raising Kanan”

Starz

Luke Newton

“Bridgerton”

Netflix

Luke Thompson

“Bridgerton”

Netflix

Malcolm Goodwin

“Reacher”

Amazon Prime Video

Malcolm Mays

“Power Book III: Raising Kanan”

Starz

Marcus Rutherford

“The Wheel of Time”

Amazon Prime Video

Martins Imhangbe

“Bridgerton”

Netflix

Matthew Modine

“Stranger Things”

Netflix

Mustafa Shakir

“Cowboy Bebop”

Netflix

Noah Schnapp

“Stranger Things”

Netflix

Olly Sholotan

“Bel-Air”

Peacock

Omari Hardwick

“Pieces of Her”

Netflix

Quincy Isaiah

“Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty”

HBO/HBO Max

Richard Rankin

“Outlander”

Starz

Richard Schiff

“The Good Doctor”

ABC

Richard Thomas

“Ozark”

Netflix

Rob Delaney

“The Man Who Fell to Earth”

Showtime

Royce Pierreson

“The Witcher”

Netflix

Rupert Grint

“Servant”

Apple TV+

Rupert Young

“Bridgerton”

Netflix

Taylor Handley

“Mayor of Kingstown”

Paramount+

Tom Pelphrey

“Outer Range”

Amazon Prime Video

Travis Fimmel

“Raised by Wolves”

HBO/HBO Max

Will Patton

“Outer Range”

Amazon Prime Video

Zach Cherry

“Severance”

Apple TV+

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Supporting Actor Drama)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television's most prestigious artistic award. There are many records held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.

For wins: Peter Dinklage is the most awarded actor in this category, with four individual wins for his turn as Tyrion Lannister on HBO's "Game of Thrones." Art Carney, Don Knotts and Aaron Paul are the second most awarded with three wins each. "Game of Thrones," "L.A. Law" and "The West Wing" each have four wins for its actors in this category over its runs, the most of any television series.

For nominations: Peter Dinklage is the most nominated person in this category with eight nominations, all for each season of "Game of Thrones." Five actors are tied behind him with six nominations: Jonathan Banks, Ed Begley Jr, Will Geer, Jimmy Smits, and Bruce Weitz. Banks and Begley Jr are the only two to have not won yet in any Primetime Emmy category.

"Hill Street Blues" is the series that has received the most nominations in this category over its run, with 16 nominations with "L.A. Law" and "The West Wing" close behind with 15 and 14 nods, respectively.

2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions

2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions

  • Outstanding Television Movie

  • Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series

  • Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series

  • Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series

  • Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series

  • Outstanding Reality Host

  • Outstanding Directing for a Variety Series

  • Outstanding Writing for a Variety Series

  • Outstanding Directing for a Variety Special

  • Outstanding Writing for a Variety Special

  • Outstanding Animated Program

  • Outstanding Short Form Animated Program

  • Outstanding Voice-Over Performance

  • Outstanding Narrator

  • Outstanding Structured Program

  • Outstanding Unstructured Program

  • Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Series

  • Outstanding Documentary Special

  • Outstanding Documentary Filmmaking

  • Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special

  • Outstanding Main Title Design

  • Outstanding Main Title Theme Music

  • Outstanding Music for Series

  • Outstanding Music for Limited Series

  • Outstanding Music and Lyrics

  • Outstanding Music Supervision

About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes - Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.

  • The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.

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