Emmy Predictions: Limited Series – ‘The Staircase’ Climbing the Charts With Late-Breaking Debut

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UPDATED: May 12, 2022

2022 EMMYS PREDICTIONS:
OUTSTANDING LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:

FX’s “Under the Banner of Heaven” is generating buzz and acclaim for its addicting plot and strong performances from its actors, most notably Andrew Garfield. It’ll be interesting to see if it can sneak into the lineup, especially with the comparisons to a favorite from last year, “Mare of Easttown.”

Something that could be helpful is if 60 limited series are submitted, per Emmy rules, that will allow six available slots for nominees. We are currently counting 56. Will anyone submit (or drop) a last-minute series to the race? The deadline is May 12.

Hulu could own the limited series race significantly this year with two highly acclaimed series – “Dopesick” and “The Dropout.” Not to mention they’re also bubbling with “Pam and Tommy,” “The Girl from Plainville” and “Candy.”

The streamer will face stiff competition from HBO Max, which could have the frontrunner with “The White Lotus,” in addition to handling “Station Eleven,” “The Staircase” and “The Tourist.” With the HBO counterpart, they’ll be looking to revive the buzz for “Scenes from a Marriage” and “Landscapers.”

Netflix will be steering “Maid,” which seems to be, on the surface, a sure-fire nominee. After winning big with “The Queen’s Gambit” last year, they’ll be looking to duplicate that success, along with managing “Colin in Black and White,” “Inventing Anna,” “Midnight Mass,” “Pieces of Her” and “Anatomy of a Scandal.”

Read more: Variety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

The Emmy eligibility period runs from June 1, 2021, to May 31, 2022. The deadline for entering programs for Primetime programming and uploading all entry materials is on May 12, 2022, at 6:00 PM PT.

The nomination round of voting runs from June 16 to June 27. The official nominations for the 74th Emmy Awards will be announced Tuesday, July 12.

The list of programs and potential nominees listed below is incomplete and is subject to change. The full television awards season calendar is linked here.

2021 category winner: “The Queen’s Gambit” (Netflix)

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

Dopesick — “Breakthrough Pain” – Episode 102 — OxyContin is on the market but faces a potential threat, Purdue’s vast influence reaches the town of Finch Creek, Bridget steps outside her DEA authority, and the criminal investigation of OxyContin begins. Betsy Mallum (Kaitlyn Dever), shown. (Photo by: Antony Platt/Hulu) - Credit: Courtesy of Hulu
Dopesick — “Breakthrough Pain” – Episode 102 — OxyContin is on the market but faces a potential threat, Purdue’s vast influence reaches the town of Finch Creek, Bridget steps outside her DEA authority, and the criminal investigation of OxyContin begins. Betsy Mallum (Kaitlyn Dever), shown. (Photo by: Antony Platt/Hulu) - Credit: Courtesy of Hulu

Courtesy of Hulu

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

RANK

SERIES

NETWORK

PRODUCER(S)

1

“Dopesick”

Hulu

Danny Strong, John Goldwyn, Warren Littlefield, Karen Rosenfelt, Barry Levinson, Beth Macy, Michael Keaton

2

“The White Lotus”

HBO/HBO Max

Nick Hall, David Bernad, Mike White

3

“The Staircase”

HBO/HBO Max

Antonio Campos, Maggie Cohn

4

“The Dropout”

Hulu

Elizabeth Meriwether, Katherine Pope, Michael Showalter, Jordana Mollick, Rebecca Jarvis, Taylor Dunn, Victoria Thompson, Liz Heldens, Liz Hannah

5

“Maid”

Netflix

John Wells, Molly Smith Metzler, Margot Robbie, Tom Ackerley, Erin Jontow, Brett Hedblom, Stephanie Land

NEXT IN LINE

6

“Under the Banner of Heaven”

FX

Jason Bateman, Gillian Berrie, Dustin Lance Black, Michael Costigan, Anna Culp, Samie Kim Falvey, Brian Grazer, Ron Howard, David Mackenzie

7

“1883”

Paramount+

Ron Burkle, David C. Glasser, John Linson, Art Linson, Taylor Sheridan, Bob Yari

8

“Moon Knight”

Disney+

Kevin Feige, Louis D’Esposito, Victoria Alonso, Brad Winderbaum, Grant Curtis, Oscar Isaac, Mohamed Diab, Jeremy Slater

9

“The Girl from Plainville”

Hulu

Liz Hannah, Patrick Macmanus, Elle Fanning, Brittany Kahan Ward, Lisa Cholodenko

10

“Inventing Anna”

Netflix

Shonda Rhimes, Betsy Beers, Tom Verica, David Frankel

11

“Scenes from a Marriage”

HBO/HBO Max

Hagai Levi, Michael Ellenberg, Oscar Isaac, Jessica Chastain, Lars Blomgren, Amy Herzog, M. Blair Breard, Daniel Bergman

12

“Station Eleven”

HBO/HBO Max

Patrick Somerville, Jessica Rhoades, Scott Steindorff, Dylan Russell, Scott Delman, Jeremy Podeswa, Hiro Murai, Nate Matteson

13

“Pam and Tommy”

Hulu

Sue Naegle, Ali Krug, Seth Rogen, Evan Goldberg, James Weaver, Alex McAtee, Robert Siegel, D.V. DeVincentis, Craig Gillespie, Dylan Sellers, Dave Franco

14

“Midnight Mass”

Netflix

Mike Flanagan, Trevor Macy, Jeff Howard

15

“The First Lady”

Showtime

Jeff Gaspin, Brad Kaplan, Aaron Cooley, Pavlina Hatoupis, Alyson Feltes, Viola Davis, Julius Tennon, Andrew Wang, Cathy Schulman, Susanne Bier

16

“Gaslit”

Starz

Robbie Pickering, Matt Ross, Sam Esmail, Chad Hamilton, Julia Roberts, Gabriel Roth, Josh Levin

17

“Candy”

Hulu

Robin Veith, Nick Antosca, Alex Hedlund, Jessica Biel, Michelle Purple, Michael Uppendahl

18

“Impeachment: American Crime Story”

FX

To be added

19

“A Very British Scandal”

Amazon Prime Video

Sarah Phelps, Anne Sewitsky, Claire Foy, Kate Triggs, Delyth Scudamore, Graham Broadbent, Peter Czernin, Diarmuid McKeown, Lucy Richer, Dominic Treadwell-Collins, Chris Ballantyne

20

“Dr. Death”

Peacock

Patrick Macmanus, Todd Black, Jason Blumenthal, Taylor Latham, Steve Tisch, Aaron Hart, Marshall Lewy, Hernan Lopez, Christian Slater, Alec Baldwin, Matt Del Piano, Maggie Kiley, Evan Wright

ALSO IN CONTENTION

21

“Landscapers”

HBO/HBO Max

To be added

22

“Anatomy of a Scandal”

Netflix

To be added

23

“Hawkeye”

Disney+

To be added

24

“The Last Days of Ptolemy Grey”

Apple TV+

To be added

25

“Colin in Black and White”

Netflix

To be added

26

“The Essex Serpent”

Apple TV+

To be added

27

“The Shrink Next Door”

Apple TV+

To be added

28

“Super Pumped: The Battle for Uber”

Showtime

Allyce Ozarski, Stephen Schiff, Paul Schiff,

Beth Schacter, Brian Koppelman, David Levien, Mike Harrop, Mike Isaac, Safia M. Dirie, Sarah Acosta

29

“The Tourist”

HBO/HBO Max

To be added

30

“Women of the Movement”

ABC

To be added

UNRANKED CONTENDERS

“American Horror Stories”

FX

To be added

“American Horror Story: Double Feature”

FX

To be added

“Angelyne”

Peacock

To be added

“Clickbait”

Netflix

To be added

“Conversations with Friends”

Hulu

To be added

“Creep Show”

Shudder

To be added

“DMZ”

HBO/HBO Max

To be added

“Joe vs. Carole”

Peacock

To be added

“Lisey’s Story”

Apple TV+

To be added

“Love Life”

HBO/HBO Max

To be added

“Modern Love”

Amazon Prime Video

To be added

“Nine Perfect Strangers”

Hulu

To be added

“Pieces of Her”

Netflix

To be added

“Pistol”

FX

To be added

“Roar”

Apple TV+

To be added

“Slasher: Flesh and Blood”

Shudder

To be added

“The Girl Before”

HBO/HBO Max

To be added

“The Hot Zone: Anthrax”

National Geographic

To be added

“The Offer”

Paramount+

To be added

“The Pursuit of Love”

Amazon Prime Video

To be added

“The Thing About Pam”

NBC

To be added

“The Woman in the House Across the Street from the Girl in the Window”

Netflix

To be added

“This is Going to Hurt”

BBC One

To be added

“Time”

BritBox

To be added

“True Story”

Netflix

To be added

“We Own This City”

HBO/HBO Max

To be added

“WeCrashed”

Apple TV+

To be added

“Why Didn’t The Ask Evans?”

BritBox

To be added

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Best Limited or Anthology Series)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television's most prestigious artistic award. There are many records held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.

This category has continually undergone rule changes and inceptions over the years, making it misleading to account for significant historical wins and nominations. "Prime Suspect" has the most wins in this category with three, while "American Crime Story" is right behind with two. The former also has the most nominations for a continuing series with five, while "American Horror Story" is close behind with four.

Since the beginning of this category in 1973, HBO has the most wins in this category with 11, with NBC and PBS close behind with 10. Netflix is the only streaming platform to win this category with "The Queen's Gambit" in 2021.

2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions

2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions

  • Outstanding Television Movie

  • Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series

  • Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series

  • Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series

  • Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series

  • Outstanding Reality Host

  • Outstanding Directing for a Variety Series

  • Outstanding Writing for a Variety Series

  • Outstanding Directing for a Variety Special

  • Outstanding Writing for a Variety Special

  • Outstanding Animated Program

  • Outstanding Short Form Animated Program

  • Outstanding Voice-Over Performance

  • Outstanding Narrator

  • Outstanding Structured Program

  • Outstanding Unstructured Program

  • Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Series

  • Outstanding Documentary Special

  • Outstanding Documentary Filmmaking

  • Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special

  • Outstanding Main Title Design

  • Outstanding Main Title Theme Music

  • Outstanding Music for Series

  • Outstanding Music for Limited Series

  • Outstanding Music and Lyrics

  • Outstanding Music Supervision

About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes - Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.

  • The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.

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