Emmy Predictions: Lead Actress in a Drama Series – Has Mandy Moore Finally Arrived at Her Emmy Moment for ‘This Is Us’?

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UPDATED: May 12, 2022

2022 EMMYS PREDICTIONS:
OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:

Is it finally time for Mandy Moore to get her Emmy statuette for NBC’s “This Is Us?” According to Sterling K. Brown, it is, and many of the fans have stuck by the series for all of these years. Could she be the spoiler waiting in the wings?

Don’t ever discount Laura Linney in any awards race, proven by her surprise upsets over the years. For the final season of “Ozark,” she could be the one with the goods to unseat presumed frontrunner Zendaya.

Zendaya, already the youngest actress to win lead actress drama in Emmy history, looks to extend her record with a possible second win for “Euphoria.” She’s also the second Black woman to win the category following Viola Davis for “How to Get Away with Murder,” so she would also be the first Black woman to win multiple leading trophies.

She’ll face stiff competition from Melanie Lynskey (“Yellowjackets”), and any number of her co-stars that are vying for a spot including Juliette Lewis and Tawny Cypress.

Read more: Variety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

The Emmy eligibility period runs from June 1, 2021, to May 31, 2022. The deadline for entering programs for Primetime programming and uploading all entry materials is on May 12, 2022, at 6:00 PM PT.

The nomination round of voting runs from June 16 to June 27. The official nominations for the 74th Emmy Awards will be announced Tuesday, July 12.

The list of programs and potential nominees listed below is incomplete and is subject to change. The full television awards season calendar is linked here.

2021 category winner: Olivia Colman, “The Crown” (Netflix)

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

. - Credit: Apple TV Plus
. - Credit: Apple TV Plus

Apple TV Plus

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

RANK

CONTENDER

SERIES

NETWORK

1

Zendaya

“Euphoria”

HBO/HBO Max

2

Laura Linney

“Ozark”

Netflix

3

Melanie Lynskey

“Yellowjackets”

Showtime

4

Mandy Moore

“This Is Us”

NBC

5

Jennifer Aniston

“The Morning Show”

Apple TV+

6

Toni Collette

“Pieces of Her”

Netflix

NEXT IN LINE

7

Juliette Lewis

“Yellowjackets”

Showtime

8

Britt Lower

“Severance”

Apple TV+

9

Jodie Comer

“Killing Eve”

BBC America

10

Sandra Oh

“Killing Eve”

BBC America

11

Elisabeth Moss

“Shining Girls”

Apple TV+

12

Reese Witherspoon

“The Morning Show”

Apple TV+

13

Simone Ashley

“Bridgerton”

Netflix

14

Carrie Coon

“The Gilded Age”

HBO/HBO Max

15

Sissy Spacek

“Night Sky”

Amazon Prime Video

16

Christine Baranski

“The Good Fight”

Paramount+

17

Winona Ryder

“Stranger Things”

Netflix

18

Caitríona Balfe

“Outlander”

Starz

19

Aunjanue Ellis

“61st Street”

AMC

20

Tawny Cypress

“Yellowjackets”

Showtime

ALSO IN CONTENTION

21

Naomie Harris

“The Man Who Fell to Earth”

Showtime

22

Élodie Yung

“The Cleaning Lady”

Fox

23

Minha Kim

“Pachinko”

Apple TV+

24

Octavia Spencer

“Truth Be Told”

Apple TV+

25

Kristin Scott Thomas

“Slow Horses”

Apple TV+

26

Katja Herbers

“Evil”

Paramount+

27

Queen Latifah

“The Equalizer”

CBS

28

Sonequa Martin-Green

“Star Trek: Discovery”

Paramount+

29

Annie Murphy

“Kevin Can F**k Himself”

AMC

30

Catalina Sandino Moreno

“From”

Epix

UNRANKED CONTENDERS

Amanda Collin

“Raised by Wolves”

HBO/HBO Max

Angela Bassett

“9-1-1”

Fox

Anna Paquin

“Flack”

Amazon Prime Video

Anya Chalotra

“The Witcher”

Netflix

Daniella Pineda

“Cowboy Bebop”

Netflix

Emily Hampshire

“Chapelwaite”

Epix

Freya Allan

“The Witcher”

Netflix

Golshifteh Farahani

“Invasion”

Apple TV+

Imogen Poots

“Outer Range”

Amazon Prime Video

Jennifer Connelly

“Snowpiercer”

TNT

Lauren Ambrose

“Servant”

Apple TV+

Maura Tierney

“American Rust”

Showtime

Molly Parker

“Lost in Space”

Netflix

Neve Campbell

“The Lincoln Lawyer”

Netflix

Niv Sultan

“Tehran”

Apple TV+

Patina Miller

“Power Book III: Raising Kanan”

Starz

Rosamund Pike

“The Wheel of Time”

Amazon Prime Video

Rutina Wesley

“Queen Sugar”

OWN

Sue Ann Pien

“As We See It”

Amazon Prime Video

Uma Thurman

“Suspicion”

Apple TV+

Victoria Pedretti

“You”

Netflix

Willa Fitzgerald

“Reacher”

Amazon Prime Video

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Lead Actress Drama)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television's most prestigious artistic award. There are many records held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.

For wins: Tyne Daly and Michael Learned have the most awards in this category with four, while Barbara Bain, Kathy Baker, Edie Falco and Loretta Young all have three each. "Cagney & Lacey" is the series with the most awards in this category, with six.

For nominations: Angela Lansbury has the most nominations in this category with 12, which were all consecutive, failing to win. The next most nominated actors are Sharon Gless, Mariska Hargitay, Michael Learned and Julianna Margulies, with eight apiece.

"Cagney & Lacey" and "Murder, She Wrote" are the series with the most nominations in this category, with 12 each.

2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions

2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions

  • Outstanding Television Movie

  • Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series

  • Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series

  • Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series

  • Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series

  • Outstanding Reality Host

  • Outstanding Directing for a Variety Series

  • Outstanding Writing for a Variety Series

  • Outstanding Directing for a Variety Special

  • Outstanding Writing for a Variety Special

  • Outstanding Animated Program

  • Outstanding Short Form Animated Program

  • Outstanding Voice-Over Performance

  • Outstanding Narrator

  • Outstanding Structured Program

  • Outstanding Unstructured Program

  • Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Series

  • Outstanding Documentary Special

  • Outstanding Documentary Filmmaking

  • Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special

  • Outstanding Main Title Design

  • Outstanding Main Title Theme Music

  • Outstanding Music for Series

  • Outstanding Music for Limited Series

  • Outstanding Music and Lyrics

  • Outstanding Music Supervision

About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes - Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.

  • The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.

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