Election Forecaster Allan Lichtman Predicts Winner Between Harris And Trump
Allan Lichtman, who has a near-perfect record of predicting presidential elections over the past 40 years, announced his pick this week for November’s showdown between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris.
The American University history professor told The New York Times he analyzes 13 “keys,” including midterm election gains, social unrest, charisma and scandal. Lichtman’s prediction system has correctly called almost every presidential election since 1984 — the exception being the results in 2000, although he predicted correctly that Al Gore would win the popular vote.
If you want to know Lichtman’s pick immediately, keep reading under the Times’ fun video below.
If you want to watch him analyze the election as if it were a race around a track before declaring the victor, stop here and check out the clip:
So who did Lichtman foresee for the White House?
“Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States,” he said. “At least that’s my prediction. But the outcome is up to you. So get out and vote.”
For what it’s worth, Lichtman successfully foretold that Trump would win in 2016 (although Trump did not win the popular vote) and lose in 2020. But then again, he recently opined that President Joe Biden’s wobbly debate would have “zero” impact and that his withdrawal from the race would be “misguided.”
It seems even a forecaster hyped as a “Nostradamus” by some media outlets isn’t perfect.
This article has been updated with additional information about the 2000 and 2016 elections.
