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The second round of the NBA playoffs continues Thursday with Game 6 in Milwaukee. Yahoo Sports’ Jared Quay has the advice that you need.
All odds via BetMGM.
The Bucks are favored to force a Game 7.
Milwaukee returns home Thursday night after Kevin Durant took over to give Brooklyn a 3-2 series lead on Tuesday night. The home team has won each of the first five games in the series and the Nets won’t have Kyrie Irving for Game 6. Throw in a hobbled James Harden and that’s why Milwaukee is a two-possession favorite.
The Nets still have Durant, however, and he showed why he’s one of the best scorers in NBA history in Game 5. He poured in a triple-double on amazingly efficient shooting as Brooklyn put up a huge second-half comeback.
The under has been a popular play in recent Brooklyn games. The under has hit in five of the last six Nets games and it’s hit in four of Milwaukee’s last five games. That’s why the total is at just 220.5 on Thursday night. Remember, this is a series that featured a game that finished 86-83.
Quay likes the Bucks to cover the 6 points and force Game 7.
While Milwaukee is favored in Game 6, the Nets are still favored heavily to win the series. Brooklyn is -250 to win the series while Milwaukee is +195 to win both Game 6 and Game 7. You can get +180 odds on Brooklyn to win on Thursday night (and win the series 4-2) while it’s +160 if you think the Nets will take the series in seven games.
Prop bet we like: Jeff Green under 13.5 points (-110)
Jon Rahm is one of the stronger favorites we've seen this year at the U.S. Open, which is this weekend's marquee event. Right now, Rahm leads the field at +900, or 9-1, meaning you would win $900 on a $100 bet. That's not far off the odds of Bryson DeChambeau at the 2020 Masters (+750), equal to those of Dustin Johnson at the 2021 Masters, and better than Rory McIlroy at the PGA Championship (+1100).
It's always worth paying attention to how players fare on the biggest stage, since there is no greater prize in golf than a major. From that standpoint, three players jump out as having the lowest strokes per round in the last five years, with a minimum of four majors played: Johnson (+1600), Brooks Koepka (+1800) and Xander Schauffele (+1800).
Johnson has struggled lately, missing the cut at both the Masters and the PGA and triple-bogeying his way out of a potential win at the Palmetto Championship last weekend. Schauffele appears right on the edge of breaking through given his high-level play in the game's top events. And Koepka is always a beast at the majors, always seeming to find another gear.
No matter what, it should be a great tournament.
Well, well, well. For the first time in either Stanley Cup playoff semifinal series, we don't have a monster favorite of the -200 variety.
Game 3 is a tough one to bet on. It's probably easy to just take the plus-money with the Islanders at home and call it a day (won't argue with anyone who does, as the Isles are exactly the kind of team that can cash a plus-money ticket), but remember, these are the playoffs, and they're going against the defending champs; anything can happen (just look at what Montreal did to Vegas in Game 2).
So, let's shift gears a bit with Thursday night's picks.
Since making his playoff debut, Nikita Kucherov has been the engine that powers this Lightning attack. When he shines, they've shined. Consider this: Kucherov is currently riding a five-game point streak that has featured a whopping eight assists (four this series already). He's also played a pivotal role on the man-advantage, securing PPPs in every game this series. The Islanders have had their hands full with Kucherov and have shown no signs of stopping him. That goal will be made even more difficult if New York's Jean-Gabriel Pageau skates at less than 100 percent after leaving Game 2 late with an injury.
Suffice it to say, Kucherov is on a heater right now, and while variance will inevitably strike, I don't think it happens in Game 3, when Tampa will need his elite playmaking while skating in enemy territory.
Kucherov keeps his point streak alive tonight.
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