2025 Golden Globes Awards Predictions

Clayton Davis

1 November 2024 at 7:50 pm·15-min read

Golden Globes 2025: First Predictions With Movie Musicals, A-List Stars and Hit TV Shows Vying for Recognition

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

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Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

2025 Golden Globes Predictions:
Film & TV Categories

Weekly Commentary (Updated Nov. 4, 2024): November is here, which means awards season is heating up with the approach of crucial precursors and guild awards nominations. Among the most anticipated is the Golden Globes, which will celebrate its 82nd ceremony this January.

The submission deadline for film and TV entries is Monday, Nov. 4, and the race is wide open. This year’s field promises a mix of beloved and breakout movies and programs, attracting Hollywood’s biggest stars to the competition.

On the film side, the comedy and musical categories are shaping up to be exceptionally competitive. Netflix’s “Emilia Pérez,” Neon’s “Anora” and Universal’s “Wicked” are expected to vie for the top prize, with stars like Karla Sofía Gascón, Mikey Madison, and Cynthia Erivo in contention. Interestingly, the lead comedy actor category seems less crowded. Jesse Plemons, who won Cannes’ best actor award for his role in “Kinds of Kindness,” leads the charge and could bolster his Oscar prospects with a win.

That differs in the drama categories. The lead actor race is packed with talent, including Adrien Brody (“The Brutalist”), Ralph Fiennes (“Conclave”), Colman Domingo (“Sing Sing”), and Timothée Chalamet (“A Complete Unknown”). For lead actress, names like Angelina Jolie (“Maria”), Tilda Swinton (“The Room Next Door”), and Nicole Kidman (“Babygirl”) are likely to have their nominations locked and loaded. With the expansion to six slots in every category, there’s room for surprises.

Supporting actress is another field to watch, with potential nods for Selena Gomez (“Emilia Pérez”), Ariana Grande (“Wicked”), and Jennifer Lopez (“Unstoppable”), possibly occupying an entire category. And despite disappointing reviews and box office numbers for “Joker 2,” Lady Gaga could still snag a nomination for her acting or the original song “Folie à Deux.” Imagine the ratings with these four powerhouses.

The supporting actor category also boasts strong contenders, such as Kieran Culkin (“A Real Pain”) and Denzel Washington (“Gladiator II”), who could be battling it out all season long. Known for their occasional “outside-the-box” picks, Globe voters could go with someone like Josh O’Connor from “Challengers,” possibly alongside co-star Zendaya in lead actress and the film in best picture (comedy).

Turning to TV, recent Emmy winners like FX’s “Shogun,” HBO/Max’s “Hacks” and Netflix’s “Baby Reindeer” look solid for noms. However, the Globes’ voters have a soft spot for new releases. Netflix’s miniseries “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story,” NBC’s upcoming mockumentary “St. Denis Medical,” and Apple’s summer hit “Presumed Innocent” may also emerge in various categories. Returning favorites and familiar IP like Netflix’s “Squid Game,” Hulu’s “Only Murders in the Building,” and HBO/Max’s “The Penguin,” featuring Colin Farrell, are sure to make an impact.

Variety also exclusively broke the news that Disney+’s “Agatha All Along” with Kathryn Hahn will be submitted in the comedy categories for the awards season.

And we have the second year for the cinematic box office achievement and stand-up comedy categories to consider, likely to have movies like “Inside Out 2,” now the highest-grossing animated film of all time, and comedians like Adam Sandler, and even Globes host Nikki Glaser, hoping for mentions.

The new membership of the Golden Globes has improved the quality and diversity of choices.

In 2020, the Globes faced scrutiny over diversity, transparency, and ethical practices within the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). Since then, the organization has implemented a comprehensive reform process to enhance inclusivity, accountability, and transparency. Last year’s ceremony attracted roughly 10 million viewers across all platforms with seven days of delayed viewing, marking the largest audience since 2020, per Nielsen.

Glenn Weiss and Ricky Kirshner of White Cherry Entertainment are returning as executive producers and showrunners for the 2025 awards telecast. Dick Clark Productions will produce the event. The 82nd Golden Globe Awards will be held on Sunday, Jan. 5, and will be hosted by Nikki Glaser.

Read: You can see all Academy Award predictions in all 23 categories on one page on the Variety Awards Circuit: Oscars.

Variety parent company PMC owns Golden Globes producer Dick Clark Prods. in a joint venture with Eldridge.

FILM CATEGORIES

Motion Picture (Drama)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	“Conclave” (Focus Features)
2	“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
3	“The Brutalist” (A24)
4	“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
5	“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
6	“Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
Next in Line
7	“The Room Next Door”
8	“Babygirl”
9	“I’m Still Here”
10	“The Piano Lesson”

Motion Picture (Comedy or Musical)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
2	“Anora” (Neon)
3	“A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)
4	“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
5	“Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
6	“Challengers” (Amazon MGM)
Next in Line
7	“The Substance”
8	“Deadpool & Wolverine”
9	“The Wild Robot”
10	“Inside Out 2”

Actor (Drama)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Adrien Brody “The Brutalist” (A24)
2	Ralph Fiennes “Conclave” (Focus Features)
3	Colman Domingo “Sing Sing” (A24)
4	Timothée Chalamet “A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
5	Daniel Craig “Queer” (A24)
6	Paul Mescal “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Next in Line
7	Sebastian Stan, “The Apprentice”
8	John David Washington, “The Piano Lesson”
9	Andrew Garfield, “We Live in Time”
10	Jude Law, “The Order”

Actor (Comedy or Musical)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Jesse Plemons “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchlight Pictures)
2	Glen Powell “Hit Man” (Netflix)
3	Sebastian Stan “A Different Man” (A24)
4	Jesse Eisenberg “A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)
5	Ryan Reynolds “Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios)
6	Gabriel LaBelle “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
Next in Line
7	Joaquin Phoenix, “Joker: Folie à Deux”
8	Michael Keaton, “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice”
9	Hugh Grant, “Heretic”
10	Ryan Gosling, “The Fall Guy”

Actress (Drama)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Angelina Jolie “Maria” (Netflix)
2	Nicole Kidman “Babygirl” (A24)
3	Tilda Swinton “The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
4	Saoirse Ronan “The Outrun” (Sony Pictures Classics)
5	Marianne Jean-Baptiste “Hard Truths” (Bleecker Street)
6	Fernanda Torres “I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Next in Line
7	Pamela Anderson, “The Last Showgirl”
8	Florence Pugh, “We Live in Time”
9	Kate Winslet, “Lee”
10	Jodie Comer, “The Bikeriders”

Actress (Comedy or Musical)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Mikey Madison “Anora” (Neon)
2	Karla Sofía Gascón “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
3	Cynthia Erivo “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
4	Demi Moore “The Substance” (Mubi)
5	Zendaya “Challengers” (Amazon MGM Studios)
6	June Squibb “Thelma” (Magnolia Pictures)
Next in Line
7	Amy Adams, “Nightbitch”
8	Emma Stone, “Kinds of Kindness”
9	Emily Blunt, “The Fall Guy”
10	Olivia Colman, “Wicked Little Letters”

Supporting Actor (Motion Picture)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Denzel Washington “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
2	Kieran Culkin “A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)
3	Guy Pearce “The Brutalist” (A24)
4	Stanley Tucci “Conclave” (Focus Features)
5	Josh O’Connor “Challengers” (Amazon MGM Studios)
6	Jeremy Strong “The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment)
Next in Line
7	Yura Borisov, “Anora”
8	Clarence Maclin, “Sing Sing”
9	John Turturro, “The Room Next Door”
10	Drew Starkey, “Queer”

Supporting Actress (Motion Picture)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Zoe Saldaña “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
2	Saoirse Ronan “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
3	Danielle Deadwyler “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
4	Ariana Grande “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
5	Selena Gomez “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
6	Jennifer Lopez “Unstoppable” (Amazon MGM)
Next in Line
7	Margaret Qualley, “The Substance”
8	Isabella Rossellini, “Conclave”
9	Monica Barbaro, “A Complete Unknown”
10	Leonie Benesch, “September 5”

Director (Motion Picture)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Ridley Scott “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
2	Jacques Audiard “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
3	Sean Baker “Anora” (Neon)
4	Brady Corbet “The Brutalist” (A24)
5	Edward Berger “Conclave” (Focus Features)
6	Denis Villeneuve “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
Next in Line
7	Steve McQueen, “Blitz”
8	Walter Salles, “I’m Still Here”
9	Pedro Almodóvar, “The Room Next Door”
10	Coralie Fargeat, “The Substance”

Screenplay (Motion Picture)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	“Anora” (Neon) Sean Baker
2	“Conclave” (Focus Features) Peter Straughan
3	“The Brutalist” (A24) Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold
4	“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) Jacques Audiard
5	“A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures) Jesse Eisenberg
6	“The Substance” (Mubi) Coralie Fargeat
Next in Line
7	“Saturday Night”
8	“Blitz”
9	“A Complete Unknown”
10	“Challengers”

Score

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics) Alberto Iglesias
2	“The Brutalist” (A24) Daniel Blumberg
3	“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) Clément Ducol, Camille
4	“Conclave” (Focus Features) Volker Bertelmann
5	“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) Hans Zimmer
6	“Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures) Jon Batiste
Next in Line
7	“Blitz”
8	“Challengers”
9	“Gladiator II”
10	“September 5”

Song

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) “Mi Camino” by Clément Ducol and Camille
2	“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) “El Mal” by Clément Ducol, Camille and Jacques Audiard
3	“Piece by Piece” (Focus Features) “Piece by Piece” by Pharrell Williams
4	“Better Man” (Paramount Pictures) — “Forbidden Road” by Robbie Williams, Freddy Wexler & Sacha Skarbek
5	“Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.) “Folie à Deux” by Lady Gaga
6	“The Last Showgirl” (Roadside Attractions) “Beautiful That Way” by Miley Cyrus, Lykke Li, and Andrew Wyatt
Next in Line
7	“Winter Coat” from “Blitz”
8	“Sick in the Head” from “Kneecap”
9	“Under the Tree” from “That Christmas”
10	“Compress/Regress” from “Challengers”

Animated Feature

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	“The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
2	“Inside Out 2” (Pixar)
3	“Memoir of a Snail” (IFC Films)
4	“Flow” (Janus Films/Sideshow)
5	“Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl” (Netflix)
6	“That Christmas” (Netflix)
Next in Line
7	“Piece by Piece”
8	“The Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim”
9	“Transformers One”
10	“The Colors Within”

Non-English Language Film

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) France
2	“I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics) Brazil
3	“The Seed of the Sacred Fig” (Neon) Germany
4	“All We Imagine as Light” (Janus Films/Sideshow) India
5	“Kneecap” (Sony Pictures Classics) Ireland
6	“Armand” (IFC Films) Norway
Next in Line
7	“Flow”
8	“The Girl with the Needle”
9	“Grand Tour”
10	“The Devil’s Bath”

Cinematic Box Office Achievement

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	“Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios)
2	“Inside Out 2” (Pixar)
3	“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
4	“Gladiator 2” (Paramount Pictures)
5	“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
6	“Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” (Warner Bros.)
7	“A Quiet Place: Day One” (Paramount Pictures)
8	“Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” (20th Century Studios)
Next in Line
9	“The Wild Robot”
10	“Alien: Romulus”

TELEVISION CATEGORIES

TV Series (Drama)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	“Shōgun” (FX)
2	“Squid Game” (Netflix)
3	“House of the Dragon” (HBO \| Max)
4	“Presumed Innocent” (Apple TV+)
5	“Fallout” (Prime Video)
6	“The Diplomat” (Netflix)
Next in Line
7	“Slow Horses”
8	“Mr. and Mrs. Smith”
9	“Black Doves”
10	“Bridgerton”

TV Series (Comedy or Musical)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	“Hacks” (HBO/Max)
2	“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
3	“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
4	“Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
5	“The Bear” ‘(FX)
6	“Agatha All Along” (Disney+)
Next in Line
7	“St. Denis Medical”
8	“Palm Royale”
9	“Bad Monkey”
10	“The Franchise”

TV Series (Limited or TV Movie)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
2	“Baby Reindeer” (Netflix)
3	“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
4	“The Penguin” (HBO/Max)
5	“True Detective: Night Country” (HBO/Max)
6	“American Sports Story: Aaron Hernandez” (FX)
Next in Line
7	“Ripley”
8	“Before”
9	“Feud: Capote vs. The Swans”
10	“A Very Royal Scandal”

TV Actor (Drama)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Hiroyuki Sanada “Shōgun” (FX)
2	Jake Gyllenhaal “Presumed Innocent” (Apple TV+)
3	Gary Oldman “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
4	Lee Jung-jae “Squid Game” (Netflix)
5	Colin Farrell “Sugar” (Apple TV+)
6	Billy Bob Thornton “Landman” (Paramount+)
Next in Line
7	Eddie Redmayne, “The Day of the Jackal”
8	Rufus Sewell, “The Diplomat”
9	Ben Whishaw, “Black Doves”
10	Zachary Quinto, “Brilliant Minds”

TV Actor (Comedy)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Jeremy Allen White “The Bear” (FX)
2	Steve Martin “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
3	Martin Short “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
4	Vince Vaughn “Bad Monkey” (Apple TV+)
5	Ray Romano “No Good Deed” (Netflix)
6	Theo James “The Gentlemen” (Netflix)
Next in Line
7	Jason Segel, “Shrinking”
8	Brian Jordan Alvarez, “English Teacher”
9	Adam Brody, “Nobody Wants This”
10	Larry David, “Curb Your Enthusiasm”

TV Actor (Limited Series or Movie)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Richard Gadd “Baby Reindeer” (Netflix)
2	Colin Farrell “The Penguin” (HBO \| Max)
3	Andrew Scott “Ripley” (Netflix)
4	Kevin Kline “Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
5	Josh Andres Rivera “American Sports Story: Aaron Hernandez” (FX)
6	Tom Hollander “Feud: Capote vs. The Swans” (FX)
Next in Line
7	Michael Sheen, “A Very Royal Scandal”
8	Nicholas Alexander Chavez, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”
9	Cooper Koch, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”
10	Ed O’Neill, “Clipped”

TV Actress (Drama)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Anna Sawai “Shōgun” (FX)
2	Keri Russell “The Diplomat” (Netflix)
3	Kathy Bates “Matlock” (CBS)
4	Keira Knightley “Black Doves” (Netflix)
5	Marisa Abela “Industry” (HBO \| Max)
6	Myha’la Herrold “Industry” (HBO \| Max)
Next in Line
7	Emily Watson, “Dune: Prophecy”
8	Maya Erskine, “Mr. and Mrs. Smith”
9	Nicola Coughlan, “Bridgerton”
10	Emma D’Arcy, “House of the Dragon”

TV Actress (Comedy)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Kathryn Hahn “Agatha All Along” (Disney+)
2	Jean Smart “Hacks” (HBO/Max)
3	Quinta Brunson “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
4	Selena Gomez “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
5	Ayo Edebiri “The Bear” ‘(FX)
6	Kristen Bell “Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
Next in Line
7	Lisa Kudrow, “No Good Deed”
8	Maya Rudolph, “Loot”
9	Wendi McLendon-Covey, “St. Denis Medical”
10	Kristen Wiig, “Palm Royale”

TV Actress (Limited Series or Movie)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Jodie Foster “True Detective: Night Country” (HBO \| Max)
2	Cate Blanchett “Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
3	Sofía Vergara “Griselda” (Netflix)
4	Natalie Portman “Lady in the Lake” (Apple TV+)
5	Cristin Milioti “The Penguin” (HBO/Max)
6	Kate Winslet “The Regime” (HBO/Max)
Next in Line
7	Nicole Kidman, “The Perfect Couple”
8	Ruth Wilson, “A Very Royal Scandal”
9	Betty Gilpin, “Three Women”
10	Billie Piper, “Scoop”

Supporting Actor (Television)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Javier Bardem “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
2	Peter Sarsgaard “Presumed Innocent” (Apple TV+)
3	Harrison Ford “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
4	Ebon Moss-Bachrach “The Bear” (FX)
5	Robert Downey Jr. “The Sympathizer” (HBO \| Max)
6	Jack Lowden “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
Next in Line
7	Sacha Baron Cohen, “Disclaimer”
8	Paul W. Downs, “Hacks”
9	Tyler James Williams, “Abbott Elementary”
10	Tadanobu Asano, “Shōgun“

Supporting Actress (Television)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Jessica Gunning “Baby Reindeer” (Netflix)
2	Liza Colón-Zayas “The Bear” (FX)
3	Hannah Einbinder “Hacks” (HBO \| Max)
4	Kali Reis “True Detective: Night Country” (HBO \| Max)
5	Meryl Streep “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
6	Nava Mau “Baby Reindeer” (Netflix)
Next in Line
7	Ruth Negga, “Presumed Innocent”
8	Carol Burnett, “Palm Royale”
9	Patti LuPone, “Agatha All Along”
10	Chloë Sevigny, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”

Stand Up Comedy Performance

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank
1	Adam Sandler “Love You” (Netflix)
2	Nikki Glaser “Someday You’ll Die” (HBO \| Max)
3	Ali Wong “Single Lady” (Netflix)
4	Alex Edelman “Just For Us” (HBO \| Max)
5	Ramy Youssef “More Feelings” (HBO \| Max)
6	Ellen Degeneres “For Your Approval” (Netflix)
Next in Line
7	Katt Williams, “Woke Foke”
8	Jacqueline Novak, “Get On Your Knees”
9	Colin Jost & Michael Che, “New York After Dark”
10	Joe Rogan, “Burn the Boats”

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2025 Golden Globes Predictions:Film & TV Categories

FILM CATEGORIES

Motion Picture (Drama)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Motion Picture (Comedy or Musical)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Actor (Drama)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Actor (Comedy or Musical)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Actress (Drama)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Actress (Comedy or Musical)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Supporting Actor (Motion Picture)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Supporting Actress (Motion Picture)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Director (Motion Picture)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Screenplay (Motion Picture)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Score

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Song

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Animated Feature

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Non-English Language Film

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Cinematic Box Office Achievement

And the Predicted Nominees Are

TELEVISION CATEGORIES

TV Series (Drama)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

TV Series (Comedy or Musical)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

TV Series (Limited or TV Movie)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

TV Actor (Drama)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

TV Actor (Comedy)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

TV Actor (Limited Series or Movie)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

TV Actress (Drama)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

TV Actress (Comedy)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

TV Actress (Limited Series or Movie)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Supporting Actor (Television)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Supporting Actress (Television)

And the Predicted Nominees Are

Stand Up Comedy Performance

And the Predicted Nominees Are

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2025 Golden Globes Predictions:
Film & TV Categories