2024 Emmys Supporting Actor Drama Predictions
Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
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2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Weekly Commentary (Updated: July 11, 2024): In 2022, the TV Academy had a record in supporting drama actor submissions with 436. Coming off of 2023’s 346 names, we find ourselves sitting with 217 contenders in the awards discussion, compared to supporting drama actress with 196. That will deliver seven nominees in each category.
Both categories have multiple candidates from the same shows, such as “The Crown” (Khalid Abdalla, Salim Daw, Jonathan Pryce, Elizabeth Debicki, Lesley Manville, Olivia Williams) and “The Morning Show” (Billy Crudup, Mark Duplass, Jon Hamm, Greta Lee, Audra McDonald, Julianna Margulies, Holland Taylor and Karen Pittman). Let’s not forget the largest ensemble ever to garner a SAG nomination, HBO’s period drama “The Gilded Age,” with five on the ballot (Ben Ahlers, Nathan Lane, Robert Sean Leonard, Blake Ritson, and John Douglas Thompson).
FX’s “Shо̄gun” has an embarrassment of riches led by Tadanobu Asano and the possibility for two of his co-stars to come in alongside him, Takehiro Hira and Tokuma Nishioka. We’ll see if the TV Academy really loves the epic series.
Could there be room for a few surprises? Of course, it’s the Emmys. Watch out for Benedict Wong from Netflix’s “3 Body Problem” or Jack Lowden from “Slow Horses,” who could come in with his leading co-star Gary Oldman.
Nominations-round voting is open from June 13 and closes on June 24 at 10:00 p.m. PT. Voting for peer group-specific top ten round panels (if applicable) takes place between June 28 and July 8. The Emmy nominations will be announced on July 17. The Creative Arts and Governors Gala ceremonies will occur over two nights on Sept. 7-8. The 76th Primetime Emmy Awards will air on ABC on Sunday, Sept. 15.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
And the Predicted Nominees Are
Rank | Performer and Series |
|---|---|
1 | Tadanobu Asano — “Shōgun” (FX) |
2 | Billy Crudup — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) |
3 | Jonathan Pryce — “The Crown” (Netflix) |
4 | Khalid Abdalla — “The Crown” (Netflix) |
5 | Nathan Lane — “The Gilded Age” (Max) |
6 | Jon Hamm — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) |
7 | Takehiro Hira — “Shōgun” (FX) |
Next in Line
Rank | Performer and Series |
|---|---|
8 | Benedict Wong — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix) |
9 | Mark Duplass — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) |
10 | Salim Daw — “The Crown” (Netflix) |
11 | Benny Safdie — “The Curse” (Showtime) |
12 | Ke Huy Quan — “Loki” (Disney+) |
13 | Tokuma Nishioka — “Shōgun” (FX) |
14 | Wendell Pierce — “Elsbeth” (CBS) |
15 | Aaron Moten — “Fallout” (Prime Video) |
Also in Contention
Rank | Performer and Series |
|---|---|
16 | Jason Clarke — “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max) |
17 | Hayden Christiansen — “Ahsoka” (Disney+) |
18 | Liam Cunningham — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix) |
19 | Robert Sean Leonard — “The Gilded Age” (Max) |
20 | Owen Wilson — “Loki” (Disney+) |
21 | Tim Robbins — “Silo” (Apple TV+) |
22 | Jovan Adepo — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix) |
23 | Jack Lowden — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+) |
24 | John Malkovich — “The New Look” (Apple TV+) |
25 | Moisés Arias — “Fallout” (Prime Video) |
Eligible Performers (Supporting Drama Actor)
**Officially submitted and on the Emmy nominations ballot.
Khalid Abdalla — “The Crown” (Netflix)
Barkhad Abdi — “The Curse” (Showtime)
Jovan Adepo — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix)
Benjamin Levy Aguilar — “Chicago P.D.”
Ben Ahlers — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
Kevin Alejandro — “Fire Country”
Dave Annable — “Special Ops: Lioness”
Moises Arias — “Fallout” (Prime Video)
Tadanobu Asano — “Shōgun” (FX)
Kelly AuCoin — “Billions”
Claes Bang — “The New Look” (Apple TV+)
Joey Batey — “The Witcher” (Netflix)
John Bell — “Outlander” (Starz)
Dennis Boutsikaris — “Sugar” (Apple TV+)
John Boyd — “FBI”
Mark Brandon — “When Calls the Heart”
Daniel Breaker — “Billions” (Showtime)
Christopher Briney — “The Summer I Turned Pretty”
Mehcad Brooks — “Law & Order” (NBC)
Matthew Broome — “The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)
London Brown — “Power Book III: Raising Kenan” (Starz)
Shamon Brown Jr — “The Chi” (Showtime)
Nestor Carbonell — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
Bertie Carvel — “The Crown” (Netflix)
Gavin Casalegno — “The Summer I Turned Pretty”
Stephen Chang — “Bosch: Legacy”
Michael Chiklis — “Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
Kenneth Choi — “9-1-1” (ABC)
Hayden Christiansen — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)
Christopher Chung — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
Jason Clarke — “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
Common — “Silo” (Apple TV+)
Curtiss Cook — “The Chi” (Showtime)
Nate Corddry — “Sugar” (Apple TV+)
David Costabile — “Billions” (Showtime)
James Cromwell — “Sugar” (Apple TV+)
Dermot Crowley — “The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime)
Billy Crudup — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
Wilson Cruz — “Star Trek: Discovery” (Paramount+)
Liam Cunningham — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix)
Daniel Dae Kim — “Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)
Tony Danza — “Power Book III: Raising Kenan” (Starz)
Salim Daw — “The Crown” (Netflix)
Blu Del Barrio — “Star Trek: Discovery” (Paramount+)
Simon Delaney — “The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime)
Arash DeMaxi — “The Irrational” (NBC)
Jeffrey DeMunn — “Billions” (Showtime)
Delante Desouza — “Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
Brian Dietzen — “NCIS”
Griffin Dunne — “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)
Mark Duplass — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
David Eigenberg — “Chicago Fire”
Tate Ellington — “Law & Order: Organized Crime”
Emun Elliott — “Sexy Beast”
Michael V. Epps — “The Chi” (Showtime)
Eman Esfandi — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)
Atkins Estimond — “Hightown”
Eamon Farren — “The Witcher” (Netflix)
Dónal Finn — “The Wheel of Time” (Prime Video)
Patrick John Flueger — “Chicago P.D.”
Scott Foley — “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)
Luther Ford — “The Crown” (Netflix)
Stephen Fry — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
Peter Gadiot — “Quantum Leap”
Hugo Diego Garcia — “Death and Other Details”
LaMonica Garrett — “Special Ops: Lioness”
Spencer Garrett — “Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
Edi Gathegi — “For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)
Iain Glen — “Silo” (Apple TV+)
Toney Goins — “Billions” (Showtime)
Adam Goldberg — “The Equalizer” (CBS)
Tony Goldwyn — “Law & Order” (NBC)
Nicholas Gonzalez — “La Brea”
Rick Gonzalez — “Law & Order: Organized Crime” (NBC)
Kiowa Gordon — “Dark Winds” (AMC)
Mark-Paul Gosselaar — “Found” (NBC)
Eric Graise — “Tracker”
Ryan Guzman — “9-1-1”
Vondie Curtis-Hall — “Justified: City Primeval” (FX)
Jon Hamm — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
Caleel Harris — “Swagger” (Apple TV+)
LaRoyce Hawkins — “Chicago P.D.”
Samuel T. Herring — “The Changeling” (Apple TV+)
Alex Hibbert — “The Chi” (Showtime)
Stephen Hill — “Magnum P.I.”
Takehiro Hira — “Shōgun” (FX)
Edwin Hodge — “FBI: Most Wanted”
Boyd Holbrook — “Justified: City Primeval” (FX)
Anders Holm — “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters” (Apple TV+)
Russell Hornsby — “BMF”
Mark Huberman — “The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime)
Ernie Hudson — “Quantum Leap”
Solomon Hughes — “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
Ke Huy Quan — “Loki” (Disney+)
Austin Hébert — “Special Ops: Lioness” (Paramount+)
Ice-T — “Law & Order: Special Victims Unit” (NBC)
Solomon Irama — “Swagger” (Apple TV+)
Theo Iver — “The Morning Show”
Tom Jackson — “Sullivan’s Crossing” (The CW)
Luke James — “The Chi” (Showtime)
Doug Jones — “Star Trek: Discovery” (Paramount+)
Orlando Jones — “Swagger” (Apple TV+)
James Jordan — “Special Ops: Lioness”
Tim Kang — “Magnum P.I.”
Show Kasamatsu — “Tokyo Vice” (Max)
Toby Kebbell — “For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)
Michael Kelly — “Special Ops: Lioness” (Paramount+)
Michael Kelly — “Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan” (Prime Video)
Ferdinand Kingsley — “Reacher”
Ferdinand Kingsley — “Silo” (Apple TV+)
Kadiff Kirwan — “Slow Horses”
Tory Kittles — “The Equalizer” (CBS)
Zachary Knighton — “Magnum P.I.”
Rahul Kohli — “Death and Other Details” (Hulu)
Daniel Kyri — “Chicago Fire”
Nathan Lane — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
Jacob Latimore — “The Chi”
Matt Lauria — “CSI: Las Vegas”
Konstantin Lavysh — “Power Book IV: Force”
Hoon Lee — “Warrior” (Max)
Robert Sean Leonard — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
Ken Leung — “Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)
Dallas Liu — “Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)
Jake Lockett — “Chicago Fire”
Kris D. Lofton — “Power Book IV: Force”
Domenick Lombardozzi — “Reacher”
Jack Lowden — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
Conor MacNeill — “The Tourist”
John Malkovich — “The New Look” (Apple TV+)
Jack Martin — “La Brea”
Neil Maskell — “Hijack” (Apple TV+)
Daryl McCormack — “The Woman in the Wall”
Gavin McHugh — “9-1-1”
Josh McKenzie — “La Brea”
Ed McVey — “The Crown” (Netflix)
Joe Miñoso — “Chicago Fire”
Rohan Mirchandaney — “La Brea”
Luke Mitchell — “Chicago Med”
Zackary Momoh — “Parish” (AMC)
Aaron Moten — “Fallout” (Prime Video)
Stephen Moyer — “Sexy Beast”
Avi Nash — “Silo”
Alex Neustaedter — “American Rust: Broken Justice”
Tokuma Nishioka — “Shōgun” (FX)
DeVaughn Nixon — “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
Amaury Nolasco — “Hightown”
Dean Norris — “Law & Order: Organized Crime”
Dohn Norwood — “Hightown”
Ozie Nzeribe — “Swagger”
Chiké Okonkwo — “La Brea”
John Ortiz — “The Green Veil” (The Network)
Ian Ousley — “Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)
David Oyelowo — “Silo” (Apple TV+)
Louis Ozawa — “Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan” (Prime Video)
Mason Alexander Park — “Quantum Leap”
Robert Patrick — “Reacher”
Will Patton — “Outer Range” (Prime Video)
Ethan Peck — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds”
James Pickens Jr — “Grey’s Anatomy” (ABC)
Wendell Pierce — “Elsbeth” (CBS)
Wendell Pierce — “Power Book III: Raising Kenan” (Starz)
Wendell Pierce — “Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan” (Prime Video)
Royce Pierreson — “The Witcher” (Netflix)
Octavio Pisano — “Law & Order: Special Victims Unit” (NBC)
Oliver Platt — “Chicago Med”
Jonathan Pryce — “The Crown” (Netflix)
J.R. Ramirez — “Manifest”
Richard Rankin — “Outlander” (Starz)
Anthony Rapp — “Star Trek: Discovery”
Carter Redwood — “FBI: International”
Guy Remmers — “The Buccaneers”
Callum Keith Rennie — “Star Trek: Discovery”
Blake Ritson — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
Jason Rivera-Torres — “Swagger”
Tim Robbins — “Silo” (Apple TV+)
Wyatt Russell — “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters” (Apple TV+)
Marcus Rutherford — “The Wheel of Time” (Prime Video)
Benny Safdie — “The Curse” (Showtime)
Angus Sampson — “The Lincoln Lawyer”
Devon Sawa — “Chucky” (Syfy)
Peter Scanavino — “Law & Order: Special Victims Unit”
Brandon Scott — “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)
Reid Scott — “Law & Order”
Jon Seda — “La Brea”
Jason Segel — “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
Alex Sharp — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix)
Shaun Sipos — “Outer Range”
Shaun Sipos — “Reacher”
Jeremy Sisto — “FBI”
Sean Patrick Small — “Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
Oliver Stark — “9-1-1”
Daniel Stern — “For All Mankind”
Ray Stevenson — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)
Christian Stolte — “Chicago Fire”
Josha Stradowski — “The Wheel of Time”
Paul Sun-Hyung Lee — “Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)
David Tennant — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)
Ashley Thomas — “Black Cake”
John Douglas Thompson — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
Joe Tippett — “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters”
Jason Tobin — “Warrior” (Max)
Elias Toufexis — “Star Trek: Discovery”
Michael Trotter — “Law & Order: Organized Crime”
Michael Trucco — “Average Joe” (BET+)
Glynn Turman — “Black Cake” (Hulu)
Chinaza Uche — “Silo” (Apple TV+)
Skeet Ulrich — “Parish” (AMC)
Charles Vandervaart — “Outlander” (Starz)
Eamonn Walker — “Chicago Fire”
Simon Wan — “Black Cake”
Ren Watabe — “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters” (Apple TV+)
Steven Weber — “Chicago Med”
Jonah Wharton — “Special Ops: Lioness”
Bradley Whitford — “Parish” (AMC)
Tristan Mack Wilds — “Swagger”
Owen Wilson — “Loki” (Disney+)
Benedict Wong — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix)
More Information (Supporting Drama Actor)
2023 category winner: Matthew Macfadyen as Tom — “Succession” (HBO) — Season 4
2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)
Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024
Feb. 29: Submissions open
May 9: Deadline for programs identifying as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.
June 13: Nominations-round voting begins
June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT
June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)
July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.
July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.
August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.
August 15: Final-round voting begins.
August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.
Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala
Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.
Emmy Prediction Categories
Drama | Comedy | Limited/Movie |
|---|---|---|
Documentary (Series, Special, Hosted Nonfiction, Exceptional Merit) |
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence; the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards, recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship; and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy hosts the Emmys and has over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.
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