2024 Emmys Director and Writing Predictions

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

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Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Directing/Writing (Drama, Comedy, Limited, TV Movie)

“SHOGUN” --  "Crimson Sky" -- Episode 9 (Airs April 16)  Pictured (C):  Anna Sawai as Toda Mariko.  CR: Katie Yu/FX
“SHOGUN” -- "Crimson Sky" -- Episode 9 (Airs April 16) Pictured (C): Anna Sawai as Toda Mariko. CR: Katie Yu/FX

Weekly Commentary (Updated: Aug. 19, 2024): More to come.

The Creative Arts and Governors Gala ceremonies will occur over two nights on Sept. 7-8. The 76th Primetime Emmy Awards will air on ABC on Sunday, Sept. 15.

Read: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’s Awards Circuit.

Directing (Drama Series)

Directing (Drama Series)
Directing (Drama Series)


And the Nominees Are

Rank

Series

1

Shо̄gun” (FX) — Frederick E. O. Toye, “Crimson Sky”

2

The Crown” (Netflix) — Stephen Daldry, “Sleep, Dearie Sleep”

3

Winning Time: The Rise Of The Lakers Dynasty” (Max) — Salli Richardson-Whitfield, “Beat L.A.”

4

Slow Horses” (Apple TV+) — Saul Metzstein, “Strange Games”

5

Mr. & Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video) — Hiro Murai, “First Date”

6

The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) — Mimi Leder, “The Overview Effect”

Writing (Drama Series)

Writing (Drama Series)
Writing (Drama Series)


And the Nominees Are

Rank

Series

1

The Crown” (Netflix) — “Ritz” by Peter Morgan and Meriel Sheibani-Clare

2

Shōgun” (FX) — “Chapter One: Anjin” by Rachel Kondo, Justin Marks

3

Shōgun” (FX) — “Chapter Nine: Crimson Sky” by Rachel Kondo, Caillin Puente

4

Mr. & Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video) — “First Date” by Francesca Sloane and Donald Glover

5

Slow Horses” (Apple TV+) — “Negotiating With Tigers” by Will Smith

6

Fallout” (Prime Video) — “The End” by Graham Wagner and Geneva Robertson-Dworet

Directing (Comedy Series)

Directing (Comedy Series)
Directing (Comedy Series)


And the Nominees Are

Rank

Series

1

The Bear” (FX) — Christopher Storer, “Fishes”

2

Abbott Elementary” (ABC) — Randall Einhorn, “Party”

3

Hacks” (Max) — Lucia Aniello, “Bulletproof”

4

The Ms. Pat Show” (BET+) — Mary Lou Belli, “I’m the Pappy”

5

The Bear” (FX) — Ramy Youssef, “Honeydew”

6

The Gentlemen” (Netflix) — Guy Ritchie, “Refined Aggression”

Writing (Comedy Series)

Writing (Comedy Series)
Writing (Comedy Series)


And the Nominees Are

Rank

Series

1

The Bear” (FX) — “Fishes” by Joanna Calo, Christopher Storer

2

Abbott Elementary” (ABC) — “Career Day” by Quinta Brunson

3

Hacks” (Max) — “Bulletproof” by Lucia Aniello, Paul W. Downs, Jen Statsky

4

The Other Two” (Max) — “Brooke Hosts a Night of Undeniable Good” by Chris Kelly and Sarah Schneider

5

What We Do in the Shadows” (FX) — “Pride Parade” by Jake Bender and Zach Dunn

6

Girls5eva” (Netflix) — “Orlando” by Meredith Scardino and Sam Means

Directing (Limited Series/TV Movie)

Directing (Limited Series/TV Movie)
Directing (Limited Series/TV Movie)


And the Nominees Are

Rank

Series

1

True Detective: Night Country” (Max) — Issa López, series

2

Ripley” (Netflix) — Steven Zaillian, series

3

Baby Reindeer” (Netflix) — Weronika Tofilska, “Episode 1”

4

Lessons in Chemistry” (Apple TV+) — Millicent Shelton, “Poirot”

5

Fargo” (FX) – Noah Hawley, “The Tragedy of the Commons”

6

Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX) – Gus Van Sant, “Pilot”

Writing (Limited Series/TV Movie)

Writing (Limited Series/TV Movie)
Writing (Limited Series/TV Movie)


And the Nominees Are

Rank

Series

1

Baby Reindeer” (Netflix) — Series by Richard Gadd

2

Ripley” (Netflix) — Series by Steven Zaillian

3

True Detective: Night Country” (Max) — Series by Issa López

4

Fellow Travelers” (Showtime) — “You’re Wonderful” by Ron Nyswaner

5

Fargo” (FX) — “The Tragedy of the Commons” by Noah Hawley

6

Black Mirror” (Netflix) — “Joan is Awful” by Charlie Brooker

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