2022 Oscars Predictions Hub: All Awards Categories (ARCHIVED)
Visit the new 2023 Oscars Prediction Hub
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Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.
Welcome to THE HUB, the main page to access all the individual prediction categories and commentary for the upcoming Academy Awards, Emmys and more. You can also visit the archives of previous awards years.
To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit
THE OSCARS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from
THE OSCARS HUB
To see old predictions and commentary, click the OSCARS PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES
Revisit the prediction archive of the 2021 season THE ARCHIVE
Link to television awards is at
THE EMMYS HUB
UPDATED: March 24, 2022
Awards Season Calendar (2021-2022)
It’s all come down to this. Ninety-four years of Oscar history have been digested and cross-examined to help yield the critical answer: Which films and performances will win Academy Awards on March 27? All links to individual pages are down below.
2022 Academy Awards Predictions
Awards Circuit (Film Column) Archives
Final Oscar Predictions 2022: Why ‘CODA’ Will Win Best Picture – (March 24, 2022)
How Will Packer Plans to Revive the Oscars: ‘This Is The Year’ – (March 23, 2022)
‘CODA’ Surge Might Prove Oscars Are Looking for Joy During Pandemic and War – (March 22, 2022)
The Oscar Race Is Extremely Loud, and Incredibly Too Close to Call – (March 20, 2022)
6 Oscar Records That Could Be Broken This Year – (March 19, 2022)
31 Actors That Should Have Oscar Nominations by Now – (March 16, 2022)
All 18 Best Picture Nominees Directed by Women in Oscars History – (March 11, 2022)
Apple Might Be the Surprise Winner in the Streaming Race to Win Best Picture – (March 3, 2022)
Surprise SAG Win Gives ‘CODA’ an Oscar Boost for Best Picture – (Feb. 27, 2022)
Why the Oscars’ Best Actress Race Is Completely Up in the Air – (Feb. 25, 2022)
SAG Awards Final Predictions: Who Will Win and Who Could Win? – (Feb. 24, 2022)
Big Questions About the New Oscars Format — Is It Such a Terrible Idea? – (Feb. 22, 2022)
Does Netflix Finally Have the ‘Power’ for the Best Picture Oscar? – (Feb. 10, 2022)
Kenneth Branagh Becomes First Person Nominated in Seven Oscar Categories – (Feb. 8, 2022)
Oscar Voters Could Be Looking for a Good Mood Film – (Jan. 27, 2022)
Academy Awards Voting Opens: How I Would Fill Out My Ballot for the 94th Oscars – (Jan. 27, 2022)
Will Japan’s ‘Drive My Car’ Steer Its Way to a Best Picture Nomination? – (Jan. 25, 2022)
Will the Oscars Make Olivia Colman the Next Two-Time Lead Actress Winner? – (Jan. 24, 2022)
What I’ve Learned About Filling Out the Oscar Ballot – (Jan. 24, 2022)
Women Directors Could Set an Oscar Record in Screenplay Categories (and More) – (Jan. 23, 2022)
Oscars: How Kristen Stewart Could Still Win Best Actress for ‘Spencer’ – (Jan. 20, 2022)
Losing Sidney Poitier Reminds Us that Only Four Black Men Have Won Best Actor – (Jan. 13, 2022)
Will Disney Ever Win Best Picture? ‘West Side Story’ Is Another Loophole Chance – (Jan. 6, 2022)
‘Don’t Look Up’ or: How Netflix Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Discourse – (Dec. 30, 2021)
Can ‘Spider-Man: No Way Home’ Swing Into Best Picture Race After Massive Opening? – (Dec. 23, 2021)
Oscar’s Penis Problem: Why Does the Academy Ignore Actors Doing Full Frontal? – (Dec. 9, 2021)
Top 5 Ways to Make the Oscars Great Again (Column) – (Nov. 26, 2021)
How Many Movies Can Oscar and BAFTA Voters Watch Over Thanksgiving? – (Nov. 24, 2021)
Andrew Garfield and Will Smith Brought Best Actor Race Into Focus at AFI Fest – (Nov. 18, 2021)
Will Lady Gaga Have Her Cher Moment at the Oscars? – (Nov. 11, 2021)
‘House of Gucci’: Will Lady Gaga and Jared Leto Snag Their Second Oscars? – (Nov. 9, 2021)
How ‘Belfast’ and Kenneth Branagh Could Set a New Record at the Oscars – (Nov. 8, 2021)
Best Actress: Leading Women of Color Not Contending for Oscars – Why? – (Oct. 14, 2021)
Oscars: These Women Directors Could Be Standouts This Awards Season – (Oct. 7, 2021)
Awards Circuit Podcast Interview Archives
Jessica Chastain (“The Eyes of Tammy Faye”) – Feb. 24, 2022)
Phil Lord & Chris Miller (“The Mitchells vs. the Machines”) – Feb. 10, 2022
Willem Dafoe (“Nightmare Alley” and “Spider-Man: No Way Home”) – Jan. 27, 2022
Cate Blanchett (“Don’t Look Up” and “Nightmare Alley”) – Jan. 20, 2022
Penélope Cruz (“Parallel Mothers”) and Tessa Thompson (“Passing”) – Dec. 23, 2021
Sarah Snook and Nicholas Britell (HBO’s “Succession”) – Dec. 8, 2021
Ron Mael and Russell Mael (“The Sparks Brothers”) – Dec. 3, 2021
Corey Hawkins (“The Tragedy of Macbeth”) and Tim Blake Nelson (“Old Henry”) – Nov. 25, 2021
Clifton Collins, Jr. (“Jockey” and “Nightmare Alley”) – Oct. 29, 2021
Maggie Gyllenhaal (“The Lost Daughter”) and Jake Gyllenhaal (“The Guilty”) – Oct. 22, 2021
Oscar Isaac (“The Card Counter”) and Jeffrey Wright (“The French Dispatch”) – Oct. 15, 2021
Kirsten Dunst (“The Power of the Dog”) and Simon Rex (“Red Rocket”) – Oct. 1, 2021
About the Academy Awards (Oscars)
The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.
The 94th Oscars ceremony at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022, on ABC
About the SAG Awards
The Screen Actors Guild Awards, hosted by SAG-AFTRA, is an annual award show that has become one of the most essential indicators for the Oscars. For example, four films have won the most SAG awards with three: 1999’s “American Beauty,” 2002’s “Chicago,” 2011’s “The Help” and 2017’s “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri.” Likewise, three movies have been nominated for the most SAG awards with five: 1998’s “Shakespeare in Love,” “Chicago” and 2008’s “Doubt.”
28th Screen Actors Guild Awards televised live on TNT and TBS at 5 pm pst / 8 pm est
About the BAFTA Awards
The British Academy of Film and Television Arts, or BAFTA, is an independent charity that supports, develops and promotes the art forms of the moving image – particularly film, television and games – in the United Kingdom. The group is also an international program of learning events and initiatives offering access to talent through workshops, masterclasses, scholarships, lectures and mentoring in the U.K. and the United States.
The BAFTA Film Awards ceremony will take place on Sunday, Mar. 2, 2022.
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